Opinion INTERNATIONAL Politics: Adelaide Board Discussion Part 5

[Eagleboy2011]

More likely to send to his mate Putin to end the war...

Didn't Putin endorse Harris.

‘Russia backs Kamala Harris’: Putin’s history of US election ‘endorsements’

For two decades, President Putin has stirred the US election pot, including by signalling support for candidates.

www.aljazeera.com

Putin says he backs Harris over Trump, adds he's ready for talks with Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the presidency over former President Trump after previously claiming Trump is an unpredictable politician.

www.foxnews.com

 

[PeterSalt]

[

Didn't Putin endorse Harris.

‘Russia backs Kamala Harris’: Putin’s history of US election ‘endorsements’

For two decades, President Putin has stirred the US election pot, including by signalling support for candidates.

www.aljazeera.com

Putin says he backs Harris over Trump, adds he's ready for talks with Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the presidency over former President Trump after previously claiming Trump is an unpredictable politician.

www.foxnews.com

Go to bed d/h

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Didn't Putin endorse Harris.

‘Russia backs Kamala Harris’: Putin’s history of US election ‘endorsements’

For two decades, President Putin has stirred the US election pot, including by signalling support for candidates.

www.aljazeera.com

Putin says he backs Harris over Trump, adds he's ready for talks with Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the presidency over former President Trump after previously claiming Trump is an unpredictable politician.

www.foxnews.com

Lol, surely you are not that naive...

 

[adelaidecrows]

Not that I think it stops them voting for him but those are some bored chuds.

Since the republicans pay their workers and pay them to go to these events to fit narratives there isnt even a certainty they will vote for him.

 

[adelaidecrows]

Didn't Putin endorse Harris.

‘Russia backs Kamala Harris’: Putin’s history of US election ‘endorsements’

For two decades, President Putin has stirred the US election pot, including by signalling support for candidates.

www.aljazeera.com

Putin says he backs Harris over Trump, adds he's ready for talks with Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the presidency over former President Trump after previously claiming Trump is an unpredictable politician.

www.foxnews.com

Actually he didnt. It was a tongue in cheek remark during an interview and Putin has since come out and fully endorsed Trump

 

[119others]

Are you suggesting that there are sexual predators amongst us and that they seem politically to be right of centre?

Sorry not really sure what this means but Jenny’s response below covers it

 

[119others]

View attachment 2158810

NRA and guns - highly correlated with being Republicans (twice as likely as Dems) - don’t seem to mind pink rifles for teenage girls.

One thing we should ALL agree on here - their gun laws and shooting deaths are a ****** disgrace

Imagine marketing pink rifles to teen girls. Beyond comprehension

Crickett® Rifle – Pink Synthetic “My First Rifle” S/S

Manufactured in the USA for the beginner youth shooter for over 20 years. "My First Rifle" is a manual cocking, single shot, bolt action rifle.

keystonesportingarmsllc.com

 

[AmericanCrow]

Appropriate song for a lot of reasons to kick off election day…polls have just opened in Arizona

 

[119others]

I agree with this in principle but think a lot of people have memory holed COVID. If there was an ace in their sleeve, I think it's the SC overturning Roe v Wade. That could potentially mean a gender divide where women break hard for Harris and though Trump is more popular with male voters, historically women have been shown to be more likely to vote than men.

Agreed, this is they key.

Early voting has over 7m MORE WOMEN voting so far in data released (53% to 44%) as per link. Keep on voting ladies

Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots by State 2024 Results

View the results for mail-in and early in-person ballots in your state for the 2024 general elections

www.nbcnews.com

 

[adelaidecrows]

Election day is here people.

Well all the polls (the real ones anyway) have Harris romping to victory. Of course polls dont vote but it looks more likely the democrats are engaged to end Trump and MAGA for ever. The Polls are now indicating that Trump is performing worse than 2020. Nearly 2 million more women have voted in the swing states than men but even then, who says men will vote for Trump?

If you do the maths

18m voters 60% of men were projected to vote for Trump, and only about 30% of women. Which equates to approximately Harris being 20 points up in the swing states differential. basically 60% of the vote is expected to be for Harris based on the turnout and the gender polls. But I mean 60% of men, is now considered an outdated figure and it could be much lower. So Trump could be not only looking down the barrel of losing every swing state, but he needs to now be concerned about losing deep red states like Iowa and Florida.

What appears to have seriously hurt his campaign is the Puerto Rico garbage joke, that looks like that was the final nail on the coffin for a lot of his voters with many Puerto Ricans flipping their vote purely on the back of it.

So my final prediction.

Winner: Harris with over 70m votes

I dont see Trump getting to 50m votes. He could be on track to get the lowest republican vote since the 2000 election. which would see Harris win in a landslide.

This would be the best result. Why? because it sends a definitive message that fascism is unwelcome and any wannabes wont become president. Its an excellent wake up call for parties like the republican party who decided selling their soul to corruption was their best chance of ruling the country.

 

[adelaidecrows]

I agree with this in principle but think a lot of people have memory holed COVID. If there was an ace in their sleeve, I think it's the SC overturning Roe v Wade. That could potentially mean a gender divide where women break hard for Harris and though Trump is more popular with male voters, historically women have been shown to be more likely to vote than men.

Yeah but many men want to look after the women in their lives. And i think Harris is going to score big with men in the end. Of course he is positioned to get the single men and the womanising alpha males but honestly, how many married men and fathers of a daughter or even someone who witnessed their wife in texas need an emergency abortion just to save her life going to vote for Trump. I am just not sure he is going to get the male vote people think he is going to get.

 

[119others]

Didn't Putin endorse Harris.

‘Russia backs Kamala Harris’: Putin’s history of US election ‘endorsements’

For two decades, President Putin has stirred the US election pot, including by signalling support for candidates.

www.aljazeera.com

Putin says he backs Harris over Trump, adds he's ready for talks with Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he supports Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the presidency over former President Trump after previously claiming Trump is an unpredictable politician.

www.foxnews.com

If you actually believe a word Putin says, esp when mockingly supporting her as he likes “her laugh”….then I don’t know what to tell you

How Putin views the choice between Harris and Trump, and what the election means for Russia

The U.S. presidential election on Tuesday carries significant stakes for the Kremlin. Vice President Kamala Harris is likely to try to continue the massive military and economic support to Ukraine undertaken by President Joe Biden as it defends itself against the invasion by Russia.

apnews.com

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/11/03/us-elections-russia-putin/

 

[119others]

Lol, surely you are not that naive...

He has been for mths. Why change now?

 

[adelaidecrows]

He has been for mths. Why change now?

He is trolling mate. They are doing it for a laugh.

 

[PeterSalt]

Appropriate song for a lot of reasons to kick off election day…polls have just opened in Arizona

lol .. loving your work

 

[119others]

Election day is here people.

Well all the polls (the real ones anyway) have Harris romping to victory. Of course polls dont vote but it looks more likely the democrats are engaged to end Trump and MAGA for ever. The Polls are now indicating that Trump is performing worse than 2020. Nearly 2 million more women have voted in the swing states than men but even then, who says men will vote for Trump?

If you do the maths

18m voters 60% of men were projected to vote for Trump, and only about 30% of women. Which equates to approximately Harris being 20 points up in the swing states differential. basically 60% of the vote is expected to be for Harris based on the turnout and the gender polls. But I mean 60% of men, is now considered an outdated figure and it could be much lower. So Trump could be not only looking down the barrel of losing every swing state, but he needs to now be concerned about losing deep red states like Iowa and Florida.

What appears to have seriously hurt his campaign is the Puerto Rico garbage joke, that looks like that was the final nail on the coffin for a lot of his voters with many Puerto Ricans flipping their vote purely on the back of it.

So my final prediction.

Winner: Harris with over 70m votes

I dont see Trump getting to 50m votes. He could be on track to get the lowest republican vote since the 2000 election. which would see Harris win in a landslide.

This would be the best result. Why? because it sends a definitive message that fascism is unwelcome and any wannabes wont become president. Its an excellent wake up call for parties like the republican party who decided selling their soul to corruption was their best chance of ruling the country.

Man, I hope you are right. Your political analysis in recent mths has been next level - many thanks

 

[adelaidecrows]

Man, I hope you are right. Your political analysis in recent mths has been next level - many thanks

Havent won yet. Polls dont vote. So while its easy to predict the result based on the polls, if just 20% of democrats chose not to be bothered voting because they see going out with their friends or catching up on work as more important Trump wins easily. So Im confident but not counting my chickens yet.

 

[119others]

I just watched a random Aussie dude on YT walking around MLB asking people who they would vote for. 24 men and 20 women surveyed

NOT ONE woman said they would vote for Trump. Final score 27 Harris and 7 to Trump and the rest undecided/insufficient knowledge

Trumps reputation and incompetence is known well beyond the shores of the US.

 

[119others]

Havent won yet. Polls dont vote. So while its easy to predict the result based on the polls, if just 20% of democrats chose not to be bothered voting because they see going out with their friends or catching up on work as more important Trump wins easily. So Im confident but not counting my chickens yet.

What has me most excited:

latest polling inc the A+ poll from Iowa and potential magnitude of swing from women

Women outnumbering men massively overall and close to 2m in swing states as u say

Independent/undecided reportedly swinging hard to Dems

talk of potential big cross over from registered Rep women to Dems (Liz Cheney style)

His rallies ended in a whimper - half full crowds on the final day. No energy. Hers are concert events and up to 50k rejoicing

Mood in the Trump group is apparently foul and blaming each other and esp Trump as they head into the election, opposite mood for Dems as per TV coverage currently

 

[adelaidecrows]

I just watched a random Aussie dude on YT walking around MLB asking people who they would vote for. 24 men and 20 women surveyed

NOT ONE woman said they would vote for Trump. Final score 27 Harris and 7 to Trump and the rest undecided/insufficient knowledge

Trumps reputation and incompetence is known well beyond the shores of the US.

My gut feel with the media coverage is that they have deliberately made it seem like its a close election for c puple of reasons. firstly, to avoid MAGA and Trump backlash and two, to engage democrats to vote. But when you see surveys like what you mentioned, everyone seems motivated with Harris. I dont see a lot of pro Trump.

 

[adelaidecrows]

What has me most excited:

latest polling inc the A+ poll from Iowa and potential magnitude of swing from women

Women outnumbering men massively overall and close to 2m in swing states as u say

Independent/undecided reportedly swinging hard to Dems

talk of potential big cross over from registered Rep women to Dems (Liz Cheney style)

His rallies ended in a whimper - half full crowds on the final day. No energy. Hers are concert events and up to 50k rejoicing

Mood in the Trump group is apparently foul and blaming each other and esp Trump as they head into the election, opposite mood for Dems as per TV coverage currently

Every historical metric says Harris will be the next president. Trump has to defy history and logic to win. It has to be a huge win so Trump cant convincingly argue voter fraud. But it will be interesting what his rhetoric will be tomorrow.

 

[119others]

Every historical metric says Harris will be the next president. Trump has to defy history and logic to win. It has to be a huge win so Trump cant convincingly argue voter fraud. But it will be interesting what his rhetoric will be tomorrow.

Under 12 hrs now until first significant dump of data in I believe.8pm eastern time I think both Georgia and Nth Carolina will release results from early votes which they start tallying the start of election day. Other states seem to wait until the end of day to start counting? Bizarre how different every states rules are inc the Electoral College even with Maine and Nebraska breaking states votes up

Might try and sleep for a few hrs and hope Orange man doesn’t infiltrate my sub conscious.

Big day tomorrow (Oz time)

 

[AmericanCrow]

 

[relapse]

View attachment 2158809

You'll have to ask Eagle who is who.

Back when the mid-terms were happening he described US politics in terms of it being "goodies" vs "baddies" like it was a 1940s John Wayne western