Mathematical formula for player value movements

[chooka_delic]

so that means if skipper scores 50 this week he will rise 25,730

what numbers you use to get that?

 

[Cassius_Clay]

so that means if skipper scores 50 this week he will rise 25,730

You're a few hundred dollars off but close enough.

 

[chooka_delic]

what numbers you use to get that?

i got $25,300

 

[Cassius_Clay]

i got $25,300

You're right.

 

[D0nk]

i got $25,300

Yep, exaclty what I've got.

 

[Blinger]

i got $25,300

Give or take a couple of hudred dollars, it should be pretty close.

 

[Delroy]

If Cox gets 100 this week using that one, Ive got him as going down 9960?

Or have I done it wrong

 

[D0nk]

By my calculations and rounding to the nearest 100 I get 9700.

 

[Cassius_Clay]

By my calculations and rounding to the nearest 100 I get 9700.

Nup. You're pretty close though.

 

[sheller891]

can't anyone give us the formula and then we can work at players for oursevles

cmon

 

[Cassius_Clay]

If Cox gets 100 this week using that one, Ive got him as going down 9960?

Or have I done it wrong

Wrong aswell.

 

[chooka_delic]

Wrong aswell.

By my calculations he only needs a 70 and his price will go up

 

[Delroy]

Up 18500?

 

[Cassius_Clay]

He'll go down slightly with 70.

 

[D0nk]

By my calculations and rounding to the nearest 100 I get 9700.

Increasing that is.

 

[rgauci]

I'm lost to where you guys are getting 27-28%. What are yo referring to, is that the percentage the player will move from old average to current average?

BTW: 100 points = 366000 (refer Henry Slattery - 0 change after 3 games) <-- or is this wrong?

 

[Pixies]

been getting quite accurate results when using different formulas for players of different starting values (or starting averages as they are related), seems to be a bit more accurate than any other methods i have seen.
not working for all players however eg. beau waters, robert murphy. waters could be explained as having a differenet formula since he playerd no games last year. Is anybody able to get an accurate result for robert murphy? (rise of $5200, starting price 342900, current avg 99, 2005 avg 82.5)

 

[Gift]

Next week would it use Rounds 2,3 and 4's scores for the increase? or the total average of all 4 weeks? Or is this totally off? Thanks

 

[SnIcKeRs #3]

2,3 and 4

 

[Cassius_Clay]

been getting quite accurate results when using different formulas for players of different starting values (or starting averages as they are related), seems to be a bit more accurate than any other methods i have seen.
not working for all players however eg. beau waters, robert murphy. waters could be explained as having a differenet formula since he playerd no games last year. Is anybody able to get an accurate result for robert murphy? (rise of $5200, starting price 342900, current avg 99, 2005 avg 82.5)

Yep, I got it. A tiny bit off but close enough.

By the way, last years average is irrelevant.

 

[D0nk]

I was having problems with Murphy and Waters also, fine-tuend it now and tested on others, pretty accurate I think, will have to wait and see what happens next week.

Edit: This is, of course if they round up or down to the nearest hundred (eg. 1450 would be rounded up to 1500, 1449 down to 1400)

 

[rgauci]

By popular demand formula deleted.

3 week rolling average everyone.


BIg tip: Henry Slattery.

 

[SnIcKeRs #3]

jeez jus tell every1 why dont ya

 

[Gift]

Its working for Dream Team 2006... why isnt it working for last years stats?

http://footy.virtualsports.com.au/?p=research&pid=322

Im trying it on Everitt for Round 22 last year and it doesnt work

 

[Skooks]

I'm lost to where you guys are getting 27-28%. What are yo referring to, is that the percentage the player will move from old average to current average?

BTW: 100 points = 366000 (refer Henry Slattery - 0 change after 3 games) <-- or is this wrong?

Formula Complete!