NBA 2023/2024

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Free hit Game 1 Thunder v Mavs

I thought Kyries defensive pressure has lifted, Was a point mentioned by Salter in comms over the win on Clippers in decider.

Having a stab on this in Game 1:

Kyrie 2+ Steals
Kyrie Over 22.5 Alt Pts
Giddey 6+ Assists
Holmgren 2+ Threes

Odds: $19.50
 
I'm on
10P/7R at 3.80
15P/10R at 13.00

15/12 on SB was $45.25. I just missed tipoff by about 3 secs...

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Although I did pig out irresponsibly on Gafford 15+ @ $11.23 on mate's account, so I am pretty covered.
 

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They really wound in the Gafford odds, was hoping to go back to the well there

Then thought of Tatum but odds way too low for 25,+ so no bets for me, unless I see some valuable degeneracy posted
 
Noticed a reasonable common pattern that Luka starts hot & Kyrie is the go to in the 4th with his handles & insane creation of a path to the basket.

Checked out Lukas 1Q stats v Thunder, home games v Clips in first round & away games v Clips. He normally plays until the final seconds of the 1Q

V Thunder:
16 points 3 assists
8 points, 3 assists

Home v Clips:
14 points, 4 assists
10 points, 1 assist
2 points, 1 assist (1/5 shooting, 2 turnovers, benched 3 minutes earlier than normal)

Away v Clips:
11 points, 1 assist
12 points, 3 assists
8 points, 3 assists

On B365
O7.5 points 1Q $1.74 (cleared 7/8 this playoffs)
10 points 1Q $2.60 (cleared 5/8)
O2.5 assists 1Q $1.74 (cleared 5/8)
 

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