Nbl 2010/2011

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Was gonna make a big play at the overs but it went down to $1.65 which is bullshit so put it on breakers at the line. BIG MISTAKE
 
Looking at past seasons, the play would have been to go over the total match points line.

2 up-tempo teams, that like to press up in the back court which leads to steals and points or the press been beaten and points at the other end, and lots of fouls going for steals leading to free points at the line. In Wildcats away games last year there was a total score average of 170.5 points.
 
depends if they got any brains mate doesn't it. Only have to look at last weekends results to realise this was a one off and to leave the lines under 155 would be a smart idea
 
Last year they were unpredictable.

If a total flew over, they would set it a bit higher. If it stayed way under, they would set it lower.

See if they have learnt anything.
 
sporting bet have tomorrows line at 163.5
Wollongong vs Townsville
Past Three Head-To-Head
Wollongong Hawks defeated Townsville Crocodiles 88-76, Game 3 Semi-Finals, 2010
Townsville Crocodiles defeated Wollongong Hawks 82-53, Game 2 Semi-Finals, 2010
Wollongong Hawks defeated Townsville Crocodiles 87-68, Game 1 Semi-Finals, 2010

average total 151.33

Last week Wollongong match total = 160
Last week Townsville match total = 149

more confident in this bet than last nights and think it will only drop til tip off
 
Taking Wollongong at the line (-4.5) over Townsville tonight $100 @ 1.9.
They only lost 1 out of 13 last season at home and the closest it got against Townsville at home was 7 points last season.
 

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Heres more stats on wollongong at home:

They played 17 home games in total last season and lost only 1.

The average winning score for them at home was 12 points.

Out of the 16 winning games only 3 games had a margin of under 6 points.


Having said all this, Wollongong will probably lose tonight or win by 2 points.
 
Also, the average total game points for all of Wollongongs home games last season was approximately 164.5.

All these are bare stats obviously, player moves or changes to the team etc should also considered.
 
I presume he took the under hence his reaction at 1/4 time.

For people that have bet on the NBL for the last 5 years and followed it particularly the last two, know that they normally shoot high in the first quarter and possibly the second, then struggle in the third and fourth.

Last season if you backed first half overs, and game unders, you would come out on top.

If you backed the under in play, and waited till quarter time, the total would have been about 190's.

Just because they score 52 points in a quarter, doesn't mean the bet is lost. They have been doing it for the last few seasons. Look at the history of all the scores and you will see what i mean.

Most games go to 90 points in the first half, and then they struggle to put 50 on the board in the second half. It's a trend which has been around the NBL for the last 2-3 seasons.
 
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