Media Relevant or Not: Umpires do they even matter?

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You know how it is, the umpire blows his whistle to start the match. He bounces the ball and seconds into match, he blows his whistle and there's some free kick lottery in the ruck contest. Some larrikin in the crowd calls out "He's been doin' it all DAY umpire!" and nobody actually knows what the free kick was for. But the game goes on.

Sometimes after a big game, you look back at the free kick count, and think to yourself: Those umpires screwed us.

In this episode of relevant or not, we check if free kicks have a say in the final scoreline.

Short answer THEY DON'T. In the 42 games studied, there was no correlation between the free for/against ratio and the final scoreline. Zero, nada, none.

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The correlation coefficient for this data is -0.04. Not even a psychologist could find a correlation here.

It seems the umpires can do as they please, everyone now knows their silly little games they play trying to affect outcomes will come to no avail. They suck at their jobs and they suck at making decisions, and their sucking does even matter.
 
Goal umpires are the most important umpires, even in qooty there are some sketchy "shaved the post" calls.
At least in qooty, they don't use the grainy cameras they use to photograph the Loch Ness monster to do score reviews.
 

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You know how it is, the umpire blows his whistle to start the match. He bounces the ball and seconds into match, he blows his whistle and there's some free kick lottery in the ruck contest. Some larrikin in the crowd calls out "He's been doin' it all DAY umpire!" and nobody actually knows what the free kick was for. But the game goes on.

Sometimes after a big game, you look back at the free kick count, and think to yourself: Those umpires screwed us.

In this episode of relevant or not, we check if free kicks have a say in the final scoreline.

Short answer THEY DON'T. In the 42 games studied, there was no correlation between the free for/against ratio and the final scoreline. Zero, nada, none.

View attachment 1816138

The correlation coefficient for this data is -0.04. Not even a psychologist could find a correlation here.

It seems the umpires can do as they please, everyone now knows their silly little games they play trying to affect outcomes will come to no avail. They suck at their jobs and they suck at making decisions, and their sucking does even matter.
Which game had that big outlier? Which it seems didn't even affect the result... 👀
 

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Media Relevant or Not: Umpires do they even matter?

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