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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Round 13 AFL
- Thread starter IDIG
- Start date
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Think the lions should be at about 1.35 tonight. They will do enough to beat Richmond in Fevs 200th IMO.
Brisbane
2U @ 1.46
Brisbane
2U @ 1.46
jefffff34
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 20, 2001
- 17,804
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Shane Edwards at $51 getting the second goal is fairly disappointing.
Come on Banfield!
I should also add that my first goalscorer units are actually 0.1 units and not full units.
Come on Banfield!
I should also add that my first goalscorer units are actually 0.1 units and not full units.
- Mar 28, 2008
- 3,144
- 445
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- Geelong
The Royal Sampler
Floreat Pica, Bitch!
Happy to get Freo but did not see Richmond pulling that off. 
Should've followed me!Happy to get Freo but did not see Richmond pulling that off.
asanque
Premium Platinum
Small go on Freo +24.5 handicap at 1.45, either team under 15.5 points
.
Will be an interesting match and I think it will be high scoring and close.
Edit: Murphy is out
I got on Gibbs at 6.00 for most possies
I was also on Tiges +24.5 and Freo +24.5 late.
Won on Rockliff v Rich - DT
Lost on Palmer v Hasleby - DT
Also on Cotchin v Cousins - DT
Overall though, I ended up about even as my big bets lost and small bets won
Edit: Bloody inaccuracy in first quarter
I remember you saying after the Pies/Dogs match that you were closing all your accounts that night.
For some reason forgot to mention that I'm on WCE for $10 @ $3.22ish as I think they're at silly odds given they're at home, went ok against Geelong and I don't really rate the Dogs.
Pretty happy with my calls on the three games so far, though.
The Royal Sampler
Floreat Pica, Bitch!
You're probably right!Should've followed me!
In this instance it's only my tipping on the line though; I've had a rare year where betting wise I'm in the red. My betting activities are very minimal as I scrounge together a low-risk bankroll. I'm rather like Sauron after his defeat by Isildur, waiting for someone to return me my ring.
I honestly have no idea what that last sentence means. Sauron? Isildur? Uhhh!You're probably right!
In this instance it's only my tipping on the line though; I've had a rare year where betting wise I'm in the red. My betting activities are very minimal as I scrounge together a low-risk bankroll. I'm rather like Sauron after his defeat by Isildur, waiting for someone to return me my ring.
I was having a shocker too following a betting system that worked with historical data but was killing me earlier. Gave it up and have backed my own knowledge as well as a new system for picking Most Goals winners and have turned it around significantly to the point where I'm about $500 up for the year now, from about $300 down. All in six weeks too, quite remarkable and I know it won't last. $10 each on Thomas @ $26 v Freo and McKinley @ $23 v Saints helped that!
The Royal Sampler
Floreat Pica, Bitch!
Sorry, Lord of the Rings reference, forget I posted it.
Very nice! I am -$360 or so this year, which is terrible for me really, but my main problem is a lack of patience/betting too high a percentage of my bankroll. I'll have to grind it out but my plan is to be back in the black (and with a small bankroll) by the start of the NFL season.I was having a shocker too following a betting system that worked with historical data but was killing me earlier. Gave it up and have backed my own knowledge as well as a new system for picking Most Goals winners and have turned it around significantly to the point where I'm about $500 up for the year now, from about $300 down. All in six weeks too, quite remarkable and I know it won't last. $10 each on Thomas @ $26 v Freo and McKinley @ $23 v Saints helped that!
It is the first time in several years that I've been in the red, so I should really suck it up as a normal variance.
Yeah, I was the same. Had a bankroll pre-season at around $1000 and was betting $100 a game (between 2-5 games a week) plus around $25 a week on Most Goals. Have amended it to three different types of H2H bets - $10, $20 and $40 - and $10 each game on Most Goals. Betting significantly less and winning more. Ludicrous.Sorry, Lord of the Rings reference, forget I posted it.
Very nice! I am -$360 or so this year, which is terrible for me really, but my main problem is a lack of patience/betting too high a percentage of my bankroll. I'll have to grind it out but my plan is to be back in the black (and with a small bankroll) by the start of the NFL season.
Sorry, Lord of the Rings reference, forget I posted it.
Very nice! I am -$360 or so this year, which is terrible for me really, but my main problem is a lack of patience/betting too high a percentage of my bankroll. I'll have to grind it out but my plan is to be back in the black (and with a small bankroll) by the start of the NFL season.
you're doing ok royal. I'm -$3700 this year if that makes you feel better
asanque
Premium Platinum
Been a pretty tough year on the punt for many
Dutchy is down this year.
The onthepunt tipster is marginally up but has only got an amazing 3/11 of his best bets right. He is doing well in round 13 though.
You can also see here, that the average bet at the TAB is also getting lower and lower (indicating bookies are winning).
http://www.onthepunt.com.au/AussieRules.php
I guess that's why we all need to keep banding together and posting relevant tips to try and get an edge.
I'm on Port +19.5 tomorrow and either side within 15.5 points.
Whilst Port is on a losing streak, and North are on a winning streak, I feel that it will be a tough slog.
Port have some notable outs, but North are still missing Anthony and Petrie.
The last 3 games have been within 15 points (1 played earlier this year and 2 last year).
Edit: also McMahon is out for the Roos.
Port has done well at Etihad recently v hawks and also dons.
Dutchy is down this year.
The onthepunt tipster is marginally up but has only got an amazing 3/11 of his best bets right. He is doing well in round 13 though.
You can also see here, that the average bet at the TAB is also getting lower and lower (indicating bookies are winning).
http://www.onthepunt.com.au/AussieRules.php
I guess that's why we all need to keep banding together and posting relevant tips to try and get an edge.
I'm on Port +19.5 tomorrow and either side within 15.5 points.
Whilst Port is on a losing streak, and North are on a winning streak, I feel that it will be a tough slog.
Port have some notable outs, but North are still missing Anthony and Petrie.
The last 3 games have been within 15 points (1 played earlier this year and 2 last year).
Edit: also McMahon is out for the Roos.
Port has done well at Etihad recently v hawks and also dons.
The Royal Sampler
Floreat Pica, Bitch!
Ah, geez tarky that's terrible.you're doing ok royal. I'm -$3700 this year if that makes you feel better
I hope things turn around for you mate.I actually tried to build myself a bankroll starting with the Melbourne vs. Port Adelaide game, at which time Port were playing reasonably well and I backed them @ $1.55 to win. They came from 6 goals down in the last quarter, hit the front by a goal with seven minutes left, and lost anyway by a point!
My fault really for trying to start up a bankroll with one decent sized bet, so now I'm doing it the hard way. I really have nothing to complain about, and I feel a bit sheepish for having a whinge on here when others are obviously doing it tougher than I am.
Poker players (as I am) are known for being too loose when it comes to sports betting, it's because it's the antithesis of grinding it out at the limit tables!
Been tough for me too lately. I was at one stage up over 20 units for the year but have lost my last 10 AFL bets and with it 8.5 units. Still, Im doing alright for the season overall but would like to start winning again if I want to see profit at the end of the season.
Anyway, my last 2 AFL bets for Round 13 a:
Port Adelaide +19.5
0.5U @ 1.92
West Coast +20.5
0.5U @ 1.92
Anyway, my last 2 AFL bets for Round 13 a:
Port Adelaide +19.5
0.5U @ 1.92
West Coast +20.5
0.5U @ 1.92
Been a pretty tough year on the punt for many
Dutchy is down this year.
The onthepunt tipster is marginally up but has only got an amazing 3/11 of his best bets right. He is doing well in round 13 though.
You can also see here, that the average bet at the TAB is also getting lower and lower (indicating bookies are winning).
http://www.onthepunt.com.au/AussieRules.php
I guess that's why we all need to keep banding together and posting relevant tips to try and get an edge.
I'm on Port +19.5 tomorrow and either side within 15.5 points.
Whilst Port is on a losing streak, and North are on a winning streak, I feel that it will be a tough slog.
Port have some notable outs, but North are still missing Anthony and Petrie.
The last 3 games have been within 15 points (1 played earlier this year and 2 last year).
Edit: also McMahon is out for the Roos.
Port has done well at Etihad recently v hawks and also dons.
Mate i with you!
I reckon port are a very good chance against north,
Def get on 20.5 start
And port to win $3.30
- Thread starter
- #96
I've got a fair whack on Port +24.5 into Doggies h2h.
Got a couple of decent multis going to Port line and Doggies as well. Last night's games finally brought some much needed funds, especially in the rugby with 2 late field goals to get my bet up. The joys of punting
Got a couple of decent multis going to Port line and Doggies as well. Last night's games finally brought some much needed funds, especially in the rugby with 2 late field goals to get my bet up. The joys of punting
- Mar 28, 2008
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Doggies by over 39.5 @ $3.00.
Eagles are a terrible side, Doggies finding there mojo the last few weeks and will spank them.
Eagles are a terrible side, Doggies finding there mojo the last few weeks and will spank them.
The Eagles have been competitive with both Geelong and St Kilda over in WA this year though. I don't think it'll be that clear cut.
