GreyCrow
Make me an Admin!
- Mar 21, 2016
- 81,605
- 133,503
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
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- Sturt, White Sox
What a weekend
Hopefully the home team wins this afternoon
Hopefully the home team wins this afternoon
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
No need to apologize. I hope for the same thing!Game day! Hopefully this result is better than Friday nights.
Apologies to the Port supporting Swampies.
Quarter past four16.15
Result | Hitouts | Kicks | Marks | Handballs | Tackles | Frees For | Frees Ag. | Smothers | Ironouts | Inside50 | Goals | Behinds | Disposals |
W | 2.222222 | 10.66667 | 6 | 15.555556 | 1.333333 | -0.333333 | 0.3333333 | 0.2222222 | 2.333333 | 2.111111 | 4 | 1.222222 | 26.222222 |
L | 2 | -14 | -17.5 | -26.5 | 2.5 | -1 | 1 | -1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -5 | 0.5 | -40.5 |
Result | Hitouts | Kicks | Marks | Handballs | Tackles | Frees For | Frees Ag. | Smothers | Ironouts | Inside50 | Goals | Behinds | Disposals |
W | -1.25 | 10 | 3.25 | 4 | 4.75 | -0.625 | 0.625 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 5.75 | 4.25 | 2.5 | 14 |
L | -3.33333 | -12.3333 | -4 | -23.333333 | 2.666667 | -1.333333 | 1.3333333 | -1.6666667 | -0.666667 | 1.666667 | -4.33333 | 3 | -35.66667 |
I had the breakfast of champions to carb load for the game, The Filth Wizard.
View attachment 988631
#stackedsixView attachment 988553
As we approach the biggest clash of the season to date between the star-studded Gold City Royal lineup and the rampaging, ladder-leading, reigning premiers the Sin City Swamprats. I'm going old school in the lead-up as I post content that's exclusively a litany of stats, Qooty and numbers. The type of content that you haven't seen in match threads since PVF was a thing!
Let's start with an overview of each team's seasons in terms of differentials
GOLD CITY ROYALS
View attachment 988572
SIN CITY SWAMPRATS
View attachment 988571
Initial Takeaways
The Swamprats consistently at least breakeven or gain an advantage in the ruck as they regularly have a positive hitouts differential. In comparison, the Royals often lose the taps but it does not correlate much at all to outcome of the game as GreyCrow is a very mobile ruck and finds ways to contribute around the ground. The Royals are very consistent in applying defensive pressure around the stoppages and causing turnovers as seen by the fact that only once this season have the Royals been out-tackled. Meanwhile, the Swamprats tend to be very prolific in winning the ball on average getting 14 more disposals per game than their opponents. However, when the Royals are in possession, there is a more concerted effort to get the ball forward and gain territory as there has only been two games where the Royals have less inside 50s than the opposition (although one was in the Round 1 win against the Swamprats).
From these observations: the Royals' game will be centered around applying defensive pressure to disrupt forward entries and make it easier for the #stackedsix to rebound, and taking territory whenever in possession to look to play the game in the forward half. The Swamprats meanwhile will want to grab the initiative in the ruck to get first-use to the mids who will play a high-tempo game and set up quick scoring opportunities.
16.15
All I see is the avergae winning margin over the last three games. And I'm kicking 4 or the toys go out!QUARTER BY QUARTER
With differential statistics well and truly covered, we can make observations now of in-game patterns for both teams. Starting with the Royals:
View attachment 988637
One look at the data will tell you the Gold City Royals are fast starters averaging 30 points in the first quarter and a two-goal lead. And when that double-digit lead manifests, it will usually set up the Royals for the win as on 8 occasions the Royals have had a quarter-time lead of 10 or more and all of them have resulted in wins. The 3 occasions when it didn't occur have seen losses.
The middle quarters tend to see a holding pattern as the opposition often wrestles back into the game. But the final quarter is when the Royals' stifling defence comes to the fore after the opposition have been worn down. In the final quarter, we concede only 15 points on average and have only conceded more than 21 points on one occasion this season.
Now let's take a look at the Swamprats:
View attachment 988646
Such is the dominance this season that the Swamprats that the worst quarter is the opening one - but even then they breakeven on average. But if there's any stage of the game where the Swamprats show vulnerability it's the start as twice in their winning streak they've ended up 20 points or more down.
Usually, the Swamprats kick things up a notch defensively in the second quarter as they've kept teams to single-digit scores in the second on 4 occasions. The Rats have also been fast finishers in the final quarter this season doing a lot of damage, but they've lost the last quarter in two out of the past three games which shows the form wavering.
If history is any indication, expect in this game the Royals to come out of the blocks, Rats to work their way back into it in the middle quarters and the game to be up for grabs in the final quarter.
SCS
Noobz0r Blacky Kennedy Parker
Power Raid SarahSmiles LukeParkerno1
MrPremiership spookism Smartys Power
Sparkle philreich Firestarter
Paddles_ brahj Kapow!!!
sataris GotTheGoodes MannumPower
ShaunDuggan CakeEater Ulahoopski
Rich the babe Evans jackster83 akkaps
NTRabbit The Filth Wizard BRAB
Quadzilla Far Kern Wojcinski
GCR
GCR Foll : GreyCrow, Marlowe, nahnah
SCS Foll : Ant Bear, ant555, Nunez
GCR INT : Easty, grumbleguts
SCS INT : Gameova_, projectv