Stat Observations

[Engimal v3]

Note that some possessions go off the ground, as I based my field model on Docklands' dimensions.

 

[Engimal v3]

Tristan Xerri

38

Tristan Xerri

Age

25

Ht

201cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

5.5

1star

K

3.0

1star

HB

2.5

2star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

2.5

5star

D

5.5

1star

K

3.0

1star

HB

2.5

2star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

2.5

5star

D

5.5

2star

K

3.0

1star

HB

2.5

3star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

2.5

5star

's possessions over 2024


Ok - last one for now (unless someone requests a player).

 

[Sphynx]

I decided to do an exercise when assessing the Zurhaar contract situation.

Eddie Ford is definitely one of the more underrated players in the competition at the moment.

I think in general, the coaching staff have been misusing him quite badly.

So I've decided to prove why I think Zurhaar shouldn't be on anything but a standard playing contract comparable to what Ford or Curtis would be offered.

I've compared CZ/Curtis/Ford and adjusted their season averages per 120 minutes (100% TOG). Now obviously a players ability to run out more TOG is important, but Fords season stats are all over the place because of 5 sub appearances.

There's also an element of Zurhaar being a senior player and having right of way currently over Ford also.

This is purely to assess like for like, their impact when they are on the ground for the same time.

All of them are extremely comparable:

• Ford has the best football IQ. He gets the most of the ball per 120 minutes.
• Curtis is the most damaging per possession, he also puts on the most pressure, the eye test would back that up.
• Zurhaar kicks just slightly more goals than Curtis/Ford. I think Ford plays higher up the ground on average so is more dangerous per minute spent I50 than probably both Curtis and Zurhaar. It's because of his overhead ability.
• I think most people would be surprised at Fords scoreboard impact vs Curtis/Zurhaar. He's already as good as both.
• Ford is the best overhead of the 3.
• Fords goal assist and score involvements are good considering his ratio of disposals per inside 50 vs Curtis and Zurhaar.

- Zurhaar is 4 years older than Ford and 5 years old than Curtis.


Now, based on the below, would you be offering 5 or 6 years at $700k+ to Zurhaar, if so, are you prepared to offer that to all 3 of them over the next 2 years?

Based on the below, it's absolutely incredible that Ford has been the sub as much as he has. Curtis and Zurhaar are statistically in our best 10 players, how the coaches have deemed Eddie isn't in the best 22 for 1/3 of this season is almost alarming. How Stephenson has played so much football at half forward over him is mind boggling.

Adjusting TOG back down to 80% for a medium forward, the coaches have basically been miss handling a 22 year old, 15 disposal a game, 35 goal a season medium forward.

Tom Papley

11

Tom Papley

Age

28

Ht

177cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.1

4star

K

9.1

4star

HB

5.0

4star

M

3.7

4star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.5

5star

D

12.3

3star

K

8.9

4star

HB

3.4

2star

M

4.5

4star

T

1.5

2star

G

2.4

5star

D

13.4

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

3.4

4star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.6

5star

averaged 15 disposals a game and kicked 36 in 2023. Kosi Pickett averaged 11 dispoisals and kicked 37.

No player under the age of 23 kicked 35 goals and averaged 15 disposals per game in 2023.


If Ford was afforded the same game time and opportunity as Zurhaar and Curtis, he'd be averaging those numbers in 2024 based on the per minute stats across a big sample size.

Player

Age

Age_Decimal

Matches

Kicks

Handballs

Disposals

Inside50s

ContestedPossessions

Marks

ContestedMarks

MarksInside50

Tackles

TacklesInside50

Goals_Total

Goals_Avg

Behinds

ShotsAtGoal

GoalAssists

ScoreInvolvements

ScoreInvolvementPercentage

OnePercenters

Tackles

PressureActs

Cameron Zurhaar

26​

26.61​

14​

9.4​

6.5​

15.8​

3.2​

6.8​

4.2​

0.8​

1.8​

3.2​

1.8​

27.0​

1.9​

1.2​

3.6​

0.5​

5.9​

33.5​

1.3​

3.2​

14.3​

Eddie Ford

22​

22.52​

12​

9.6​

7.7​

17.4​

1.5​

6.9​

6.4​

0.9​

2.2​

3.0​

1.5​

21.2​

1.8​

0.7​

2.8​

0.5​

5.7​

33.2​

1.2​

3.0​

14.8​

Paul Curtis

21​

21.82​

15​

8.7​

5.3​

14.0​

2.3​

6.8​

4.3​

0.8​

1.4​

3.3​

1.6​

26.4​

1.8​

1.1​

3.4​

0.7​

6.2​

35.9​

1.0​

3.3​

17.4​

 

[Engimal v3]

I decided to do an exercise when assessing the Zurhaar contract situation.

Eddie Ford is definitely one of the more underrated players in the competition at the moment.

I think in general, the coaching staff have been misusing him quite badly.

So I've decided to prove why I think Zurhaar shouldn't be on anything but a standard playing contract comparable to what Ford or Curtis would be offered.

I've compared CZ/Curtis/Ford and adjusted their season averages per 120 minutes (100% TOG). Now obviously a players ability to run out more TOG is important, but Fords season stats are all over the place because of 5 sub appearances.

There's also an element of Zurhaar being a senior player and having right of way currently over Ford also.

This is purely to assess like for like, their impact when they are on the ground for the same time.

All of them are extremely comparable:

• Ford has the best football IQ. He gets the most of the ball per 120 minutes.
• Curtis is the most damaging per possession, he also puts on the most pressure, the eye test would back that up.
• Zurhaar kicks just slightly more goals than Curtis/Ford. I think Ford plays higher up the ground on average so is more dangerous per minute spent I50 than probably both Curtis and Zurhaar. It's because of his overhead ability.
• I think most people would be surprised at Fords scoreboard impact vs Curtis/Zurhaar. He's already as good as both.
• Ford is the best overhead of the 3.
• Fords goal assist and score involvements are good considering his ratio of disposals per inside 50 vs Curtis and Zurhaar.

- Zurhaar is 4 years older than Ford and 5 years old than Curtis.


Now, based on the below, would you be offering 5 or 6 years at $700k+ to Zurhaar, if so, are you prepared to offer that to all 3 of them over the next 2 years?

Based on the below, it's absolutely incredible that Ford has been the sub as much as he has. Curtis and Zurhaar are statistically in our best 10 players, how the coaches have deemed Eddie isn't in the best 22 for 1/3 of this season is almost alarming. How Stephenson has played so much football at half forward over him is mind boggling.

Adjusting TOG back down to 80% for a medium forward, the coaches have basically been miss handling a 22 year old, 15 disposal a game, 35 goal a season medium forward.

Tom Papley averaged 15 disposals a game and kicked 36 in 2023. Kosi Pickett averaged 11 dispoisals and kicked 37.

No player under the age of 23 kicked 35 goals and averaged 15 disposals per game in 2023.


If Ford was afforded the same game time and opportunity as Zurhaar and Curtis, he'd be averaging those numbers in 2024 based on the per minute stats across a big sample size.

Player

Age

Age_Decimal

Matches

Kicks

Handballs

Disposals

Inside50s

ContestedPossessions

Marks

ContestedMarks

MarksInside50

Tackles

TacklesInside50

Goals_Total

Goals_Avg

Behinds

ShotsAtGoal

GoalAssists

ScoreInvolvements

ScoreInvolvementPercentage

OnePercenters

Tackles

PressureActs

Cameron Zurhaar

26​

26.61​

14​

9.4​

6.5​

15.8​

3.2​

6.8​

4.2​

0.8​

1.8​

3.2​

1.8​

27.0​

1.9​

1.2​

3.6​

0.5​

5.9​

33.5​

1.3​

3.2​

14.3​

Eddie Ford

22​

22.52​

12​

9.6​

7.7​

17.4​

1.5​

6.9​

6.4​

0.9​

2.2​

3.0​

1.5​

21.2​

1.8​

0.7​

2.8​

0.5​

5.7​

33.2​

1.2​

3.0​

14.8​

Paul Curtis

21​

21.82​

15​

8.7​

5.3​

14.0​

2.3​

6.8​

4.3​

0.8​

1.4​

3.3​

1.6​

26.4​

1.8​

1.1​

3.4​

0.7​

6.2​

35.9​

1.0​

3.3​

17.4​

Here's the spread of their scoring this year, for reference:

 

[The Butcher]

It's incredibly hard, particularly from outside looking it, to "zero out" or account for a sufficient number factors when trying to compare, with much confidence, players output and worth, now and into the future. I commend your effort sir.

 

[Engimal v3]

Charlie Comben's intercept marks over 2024

 

[muttley45]

Good work, when those ovals flip over they reminded me of a petri dish full of bugs.