- Apr 23, 2016
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US Election just got a lot closer.
Would've been a landslide for Trump if Biden stayed as the nominee.
Harris in my opinion is an underrated candidate, it's easy to forget she made massive inroads in the 2020 primaries before getting behind Biden. Trump will be Trump no matter what, but Harris will seem sensible next to him without the smugness that in part lost 2016 for Clinton. The fragility of Biden's candidacy made Trump's seem much stronger than it actually is. His base is loyal and loud, but it's still the 50% of independent voters that will decide the election.
I'd say it's back to a 50/50 race now. As we know US presidential elections aren't really national in our modern times as much as they are reliant on the results of ~5 swing states.
Pennsylvania is one of the most important of those states in question and I think that it'll probably go to Trump given he was shot there. JD Vance is Trump's pick to appeal to the rustbelt and I'd say it's certain Harris will choose a running mate from the same area.
Josh Shapiro is the Governor of Pennsylvania and is one of the names they keep mentioning as a potential running mate, I assume to try to swing that state.
Josh Shapiro - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org