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Random thought, but…

There’s been a conversation I’ve been stewing over for a while.

At our neighbourhood Christmas party, I got into a long chat with a bloke who works as one of the main strategists for one of the most popular betting companies in Australia.

He said when it came to AFL, the biggest exposure his company has is with overs/unders bets, in particular with respect to the weather. Ie. often the people setting the odds don’t bother to (or don't have the ability to) factor in crazy winds and rain into their over/under odds. The idea being if you know a sudden storm is about to hit halfway through the first q (for example), you bet on the unders.

It’s an interesting idea that got me thinking that there could be a worthwhile approach in sharing realtime weather info between likeminded folks in different states who are interested in overs/unders AFL bets. Tassie games in particular could be amazing for it, given the variability of the weather.

Anyway, given I live in NSW, I might fool around with this idea for GWS and Swans home games for a few rounds to see if there's something to it.
 

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Random thought, but…

There’s been a conversation I’ve been stewing over for a while.

At our neighbourhood Christmas party, I got into a long chat with a bloke who works as one of the main strategists for one of the most popular betting companies in Australia.

He said when it came to AFL, the biggest exposure his company has is with overs/unders bets, in particular with respect to the weather. Ie. often the people setting the odds don’t bother to (or don't have the ability to) factor in crazy winds and rain into their over/under odds. The idea being if you know a sudden storm is about to hit halfway through the first q (for example), you bet on the unders.

It’s an interesting idea that got me thinking that there could be a worthwhile approach in sharing realtime weather info between likeminded folks in different states who are interested in overs/unders AFL bets. Tassie games in particular could be amazing for it, given the variability of the weather.

Anyway, given I live in NSW, I might fool around with this idea for GWS and Swans home games for a few rounds to see if there's something to it.
i have gone this path a few times with the overs/unders and there has been a couple of occassions where the odds look much better than they should be, but not when the weather has already set in prior to the bounce. and then with my luck the rain blows over without causing much trouble and the unders is cleared early in the 3rd quarter :p
 

I used to have shares in a few horses.

Our trainers stable also had a horse called The Shinboner.
Former North Melbourne player Bert Johnson was tied up with it, hence the name.
I wish I had of chatted with him more at the time, but I was in my late teens & didn’t appreciate the situation enough at the time.

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LDU for the Browlow into Wardlaw for the Rising star. Paying over 200.

Worth it for the early payout after they both blitz in the early rounds.
Very good thinking Mav, was going to back LDU the last two years but held back because I didn't think he was quite ready, now that he's gotten fitter and more games under his belt, this year he is going to surprise a lot of non North Melbourne people. George without doubt is the guy I've been thinking about as well as Colby. LDU is $31 for the Brownlow, while Rising star is currently not listed on the TAB.
 
Very good thinking Mav, was going to back LDU the last two years but held back because I didn't think he was quite ready, now that he's gotten fitter and more games under his belt, this year he is going to surprise a lot of non North Melbourne people. George without doubt is the guy I've been thinking about as well as Colby. LDU is $31 for the Brownlow, while Rising star is currently not listed on the TAB.
The north trifecta, LDU brownlow, Wardlaw rising star, and Larkey coleman is paying $2255.00

Pixel Pokemon GIF
 
The 4th of February and still the TAB don't have the rising star on the betting board. Is this unusual or what?
 
Sale races today - race 3 number 2 - Shinboner. The racing colours are the NM stripes. Anyone know the connection to NMFC?
Second start on a good track over an unsuitable distance, an okay run, being by Lonhro, he needs more ground. Owned by Simon Zahra racing, J. Docherty, G S T brothers, J Laming, Off power road and D Murkies & Mustangs. I would say all North Melbourne supporters.
 
Second start on a good track over an unsuitable distance, an okay run, being by Lonhro, he needs more ground. Owned by Simon Zahra racing, J. Docherty, G S T brothers, J Laming, Off power road and D Murkies & Mustangs. I would say all North Melbourne supporters.
I know one of them and is a north supporter
 

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