Triple J hottest 100 of 2012 Prediction thread.

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Plenty of examples of unearthed artists who toured a lot but didn't receive commercial airplay polling well i.e Parlez Vous Francais etc.

Also true. As I said, it's not a hard and fast rule, and there's plenty of exceptions (if we class, say, top 20 as success, you could add Jezabels, Cloud Control, and many others I've surely forgotten to the list). But as a general rule, if you're taken a route to success that something's like...

Get played on triple J > get put on high rotation > get added to Nova/MMM/Fox/etc > have a single that charts in the ARIA top 20

You're usually on a path that'll get you in the top 15-20 at the VERY least (examples from the last two years alone - Angus and Julia Stone, Mumford and Sons, La Roux, Birds of Tokyo, Little Red, Ceelo Green, Lisa Mitchell, Lily Allen, Duck Sauce, Dizzee Rascal, etc etc etc).
 
Interesting picks guys. I'm just going through youtube now picking my 100. Damn the 100 songs fills up quick.

Scanning peoples votes online still doesn't give me a clear idea for the top 10 (apart from gotye).

My votes were:
Luke Million - Arnold
360 - Killer
Foster The People - Call It What You Want
Foster The People - Houdini
Foster The People - Warrant
Florence & The Machine - Shake It Out
Grouplove - Tongue Tied
Justice - Audio, Video, Disco
Architecture In Helsinki - Contact High
Boy & Bear - Feeding Line
 

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ARGGH! Foster the people are seriously messing with my mind! I can't split Call it what you want, Houdini and Helena beat. I'm seeing an equal split of votes everywhere :(
 
ARGGH! Foster the people are seriously messing with my mind! I can't split Call it what you want, Houdini and Helena beat. I'm seeing an equal split of votes everywhere :(

Im 80% sure Helena Beat will be there highest ranked song. Very tight for 2nd and 3rd. They are pretty much guaranteed 3 songs in the count but I'm hoping Waste gets in somewhere towards the start of the count, but it's looking unlikely.
 
Hmmm, I disagree. Not sure if it was intentional or not (maybe my eyes are deceiving me), but you didn't include Helena Beat at all.

It's at 24 :)

Yeah, just had a stab at separating 'call it what you want' and 'helena beat'. I couldn't decide which song to slip in into the final spot of the top 10 so I just used my own favouritism ;)
 
It's at 24 :)

Yeah, just had a stab at separating 'call it what you want' and 'helena beat'. I couldn't decide which song to slip in into the final spot of the top 10 so I just used my own favouritism ;)

Haha i looked through twice! Yeah fair enough, I reckon Helena Beat has had a lot more playtime, is a better song and if you have a look at various betting markets it's easily their highest rated song, not that that means too much.

Great songs, great band and a bloody great album.
 
So from my final count of 5400 votes. Not totally sure if im happy with it but here goes.
1 Gotye - Somebody That I Used To Know {Ft. Kimbra}
2 Black Keys, The - Lonely Boy
3 M83 - Midnight City
4 Lana Del Rey - Video Games
5 Matt Corby - Brother
6 Calvin Harris - Feel So Close
7 Boy & Bear - Feeding Line
8 Foster The People - Call It What You Want
9 San Cisco - Awkward
10 Grouplove - Tongue Tied
11 Architecture In Helsinki - Contact High
12Hilltop Hoods - I Love It {Ft. Sia}
13 Example - Changed The Way You Kiss Me
14 360 - Boys Like You {Ft. Gossling}
15 Foster The People - Helena Beat
16 Nero - Promises
17 Jay-Z & Kanye West - Otis {Ft. Otis Redding}
18 Wombats, The - Jump Into The Fog
19 Jezabels, The - Endless Summer
20 Wombats, The - Techno Fan
21 Radiohead - Lotus Flower
22 Strokes, The - Under Cover Of Darkness
23 Florence & The Machine - Shake It Out
24 Benny Benassi - Cinema {Skrillex Remix}
25 Gotye - I Feel Better
26 Kimbra - Good Intent
27 Kimbra - Cameo Lover
28 Jebediah - She's Like A Comet
29 Skrillex - Scary Monsters And Nice Sprites
30 Active Child - Hanging On
31 Bluejuice - Act Yr Age
32 Seeker Lover Keeper - Even Though I'm A Woman
33 Ball Park Music - All I Want Is You
34 Calvin Harris - Bounce
35 Grouplove - Itchin' On A Photograph
36 Drapht - Sing It (The Life Of Riley)
37 Florence & The Machine - What The Water Gave Me
38 Bon Iver - Perth
39 Drums, The - Money
40 Emma Louise - Jungle
41 Hermitude - Speak Of The Devil
42 Example - Stay Awake
43 Ball Park Music - It's Nice To Be Alive
44 360 - Killer
45 Grates, The - Turn Me On
46 Art Vs Science - A.I.M. Fire!
47 Boy & Bear - Part Time Believer
48 Foo Fighters - Rope
49 Sparkadia - Mary
50 Foster The People - Houdini
51 Architecture In Helsinki - Escapee
52 Noah And The Whale - L.I.F.E.G.O.E.S.O.N
53 Snakadaktal - Air
54 Bon Iver - Holocene
55 Boy & Bear - Milk & Sticks
56 James Blake - The Wilhelm Scream
57 Skrillex - First Of The Year (Equinox)
58 Arctic Monkeys - Don't Sit Down Cause I've Moved Your Chair
59 Kasabian - Re-Wired
60 Washington - Holy Moses
61 Sparkadia - China
62 Chiddy Bang - Ray Charles
63 Drapht - Bali Party {Ft. Nfa}
64 Flight Facilities - Foreign Language
65 Cut Copy - Need You Now
66 Lykke Li - I Follow Rivers
67 PJ Harvey - The Words That Maketh Murder
68 Wombats, The - 1996
69 Aston Shuffle, The - Start Again
70 Martin Solveig - Ready 2 Go {Ft. Kele}
71 Luke Million - Arnold
72 360 - Throw It Away {Ft. Josh Pyke}
73 City And Colour - Fragile Bird
74 Bon Iver - Calgary
75 Busby Marou - Biding My Time
76 TV On The Radio - Will Do
77 James Blake - Limit To Your Love
78 Beastie Boys - Make Some Noise
79 Josh Pyke - No One Wants A Lover
80 Florence & The Machine - No Light, No Light
81 Owl Eyes - Pumped Up Kicks {Like A Version}
82 Pnau - The Truth
83 Joe Goddard - Gabriel
84 Kasabian - Days Are Forgotten
85 SBTRKT - Wildfire {Ft. Little Dragon}
86 Radiohead - Codex
87 Kooks, The - Junk Of The Heart (Happy)
88 Owl Eyes - Raiders
89 Kills, The - Future Starts Slow
90 Little Dragon - Ritual Union
91 Rubens, The - Lay It Down
92 Art Vs Science - With Thoughts
93 Eskimo Joe - Love Is A Drug
94 Friendly Fires - Hawaiian Air
95 Illy - Cigarettes
96 Big Scary - Gladiator
97 Cosmo Jarvis - Gay Pirates
98 New Navy - Zimbabwe
99 Tim & Jean - I Can Show You
100 Ellesquire - On The Prowl
 
Ah very nice thewitness. At a glance I think we have about 80 of the same songs. I think on Tuesday or Wednesday ill edit the original post to include your, Drummosolo and my final lists.
 

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I have a feeling i may have put no song into position 67, I will check later. That would mean 68-100 move up one spot and a new song sneaks into 100. I can't recall what that song will be maybe austra, or another SBTRKT song.

My concerns with this years stats were there were actually some big gaps within the counts. Normally its a pretty steady decline in number of votes counted as you head down the list. But this time around there were some big gaps, it may be a result of Gotye getting so a large proportion of the votes. Also fairly big gaps between 3-4, 11-12 and a few others down the list.
 
I have a feeling i may have put no song into position 67, I will check later. That would mean 68-100 move up one spot and a new song sneaks into 100. I can't recall what that song will be maybe austra, or another SBTRKT song.

My concerns with this years stats were there were actually some big gaps within the counts. Normally its a pretty steady decline in number of votes counted as you head down the list. But this time around there were some big gaps, it may be a result of Gotye getting so a large proportion of the votes. Also fairly big gaps between 3-4, 11-12 and a few others down the list.

Ah I see the problem re the missing #67 ... there are two #62s.
Interesting to see that one of them is Bali Party by Drapht, which IIRC wasn't getting any love when you compiled your first list. I found that song very hard to place in my list based partly on that first list but also the presence of Sing It (Life of Riley) - I eventually settled at #38 as a compromise but there must be heaps of variation across people's lists.

+1 for requesting the actual counts, at least for the Top 20-30.
 
So from my final count of 5400 votes. Not totally sure if im happy with it but here goes.


7 Boy & Bear - Feeding Line
8 Foster The People - Call It What You Want
9 San Cisco - Awkward

23 Florence & The Machine - Shake It Out



Great list, although when it comes to the pointy end I have my doubts with those I've left above. Can see the top three being lower than that and Florence being higher. My stats (from a sample of over 100 voters) had Gotye clearly ahead of M83 with another small drop off to Lonely Boy, Brother, Video Games and Shake It Out. Good luck on any bets you've put on!
 
Thanks for picking up the #62's/#67 problem, it would have come up because there were a few ties, and i just seperated them by personal opinion and then not adjusted the numbers correctly. I'll post the numbers in terms of % for the top 20 or so later.
 
My final top 100. I think. I hope. We'll see.


1. Gotye – Somebody That I Used To Know (feat. Kimbra)
2. Boy And Bear – Feeding Line
3. Hilltop Hoods – I Love It
4. Calvin Harris – Feel So Close
5. Example – Changed The Way You Kiss Me
6. Florence and the Machine – Shake It Out
7. The Black Keys – Lonely Boy
8. The Jezabels – Endless Summer
9. M83 – Midnight City
10. Nero - Promises
11. Foster the People – Helena Beat
12. Bluejuice – Act Your Age
13. Florence and the Machine – What the Water Gave Me
14. Architecture in Helsinki – Contact High
15. Calvin Harris - Bounce
16. Lana Del Rey – Video Games
17. Jay-Z & Kanye West - Otis
18. Skrillex – Scary Monsters and Nice Sprites
19. Jebediah – She’s Like A Comet
20. The Wombats – Jump Into The Fog
21. Kimbra – Cameo Lover
22. 360 – Boys Like You (feat. Gossling)
23. Matt Corby – Brother
24. Foster the People – Call It What You Want
25. Emma Louise - Jungle
26. San Cisco - Awkward
27. Grouplove – Tongue Tied
28. Cut Copy – Need You Now
29. Sparkadia – Mary
30. Arctic Monkeys - Don’t Sit Down ‘Cause I’ve Moved Your Chair
31. 360 – Killer
32. The Wombats – Techno Fan
33. The Grates – Turn Me On
34. The Strokes – Under Cover of Darkness
35. Drapht – Sing It (The Life Of Riley)
36. Art vs Science – A.I.M Fire!
37. Ball Park Music – It’s Nice To Be Alive
38. Grouplove – Itchin’ On A Photograph
39. Bon Iver - Calgary
40. Benny Benassi – Cinema (Skrillex Remix)
41. Sparkadia - China
42. Seeker Lover Keeper – Even Though I’m A Woman
43. Pnau – The Truth
44. Drapht – Bali Party
45. Flight Facilities – Foreign Language
46. Kimbra – Good Intent
47. The Living End – The Ending is Just the Beginning Repeating
48. Foo Fighters - Rope
49. James Blake – Limit To Your Love
50. Josh Pyke – No One Wants A Lover
51. Example – Stay Awake
52. Washington – Holy Moses
53. 360 – Throw It Away (feat. Josh Pyke)
54. The Wombats - 1996
55. Cosmo Jarvis – Gay Pirates
56. Skrillex – Equinox (First of the Year)
57. Chiddy Bang – Ray Charles
58. Art vs. Science – With Thoughts
59. Luke Arnold - Million
60. Joe Goddard - Gabriel
61. Architecture In Helsinki - Escapee
62. Gotye – I Feel Better
63. Ball Park Music - All I Want Is You
64. Friendly Fires – Hawaiian Air
65. The Aston Shuffle – Start Again
66. Boy & Bear – Milk & Sticks
67. Snakadaktal - Air
68. Boy and Bear – Part Time Believer
69. Lykke Li – I Follow Rivers
70. Owl Eyes - Raiders
71. The Jezabels - Trycolour
72. Beastie Boys – Make Some Noise
73. City and Colour – Fragile Bird
74. Owl Eyes – Pumped Up Kicks (Like A Version)
75. Hermitude – Speak of the Devil
76. Pnau – Solid Ground
77. Eskimo Joe – Love is A Drug
78. Foster the People - Houdini
79. Cage the Elephant – Shake Me Down
80. Bon Iver - Holocene
81. Kasabian – Days Are Forgotten
82. Noah and the Whale – L.I.F.E.G.O.E.S.O.N
83. Nero – Me & You
84. Loon Lake – Bad To Me
85. Illy - Cigarettes
86. Justice – Audio, Video, Disco
87. Active Child – Hanging On
88. Strange Talk – Eskimo Boy
89. Austra – Lose It
90. SBTRKT - Wildfire
91. The Drums - Money
92. The Panics - Majesty
93. Tyler the Creator - Yonkers
94. Grouplove – Naked Kids
95. Foo Fighters - Arlandria
96. Florence and the Machine – No Light, No Light
97. The Getaway Plan – The Reckoning
98. Radiohead – Lotus Flower
99. TV On the Radio – Will Do
100. Big Scary - Gladiator
 
Here goes - My final list:

1 Somebody that I used to know Gotye feat. Kimbra
2 Feeding line Boy and bear
3 Midnight city M83
4 Brother Matt Corby
5 Lonely boy Black Keys
6 Tongue tied Grouplove
7 I love it Hilltop Hoods feat. Sia
8 Video games Lana del Ray
9 Endless Summer Jezabels
10 Feel so close Calvin Harris
11 Changed the way you kiss me Example
12 Awkward San Cisco
13 Boys like you 360 (feat. Gossling)
14 Helena beat Foster the People
15 What the water gave me Florence and the Machine
16 Shake it out Florence and the Machine
17 Act yr age bluejuice
18 First of the year (Equinox) Skrillex
19 Jump into the fog Wombats
20 Contact high Architecture in Helsinki
21 Cameo lover Kimbra
22 Turn me on Grates
23 Promises Nero
24 A.I.M. Fire Art v Science
25 Call it what you want Foster the People
26 Otis Jay-Z and Kanye West
27 Itchin' on a photograph Grouplove
28 Bounce Calvin Harris
29 Scary monsters and nice sprites Skrillex
30 Sing it (Life of Riley) Drapht
31 Don't sit down 'cos I've moved your chair Arctic Monkeys
32 Killer 360
33 Mary Sparkadia
34 Calgary Bon Iver
35 She's like a comet Jebediah
36 Re-wired Kasabian
37 Speak of the devil Hermitude
38 Bali party Drapht
39 Hanging on Active Child
40 It's nice to be alive Ball Park Music
41 Under cover of darkness Strokes
42 No light no light Florence and the Machine
43 Techno fan Wombats
44 Jungle Emma Louise
45 Foreign language Flight Facilities
46 Even though I'm a woman Seeker Lover Keeper
47 Trycolour Jezabels
48 Gladiator Big Scary
49 With thoughts Art vs Science
50 Holocene Bon Iver
51 Rope Foo Fighters
52 The ship song Lisa Mitchell
53 Good intent Kimbra
54 Raiders Owl Eyes
55 Sweet dreams Grates
56 Milk and sticks Boy and Bear
57 Need you now Cut Copy
58 Air Snakadaktal
59 Holy Moses Washington
60 Gay pirates Cosmo Jarvis
61 Cigarettes Illy
62 Cinema Benny Benassi (Skrillex remix)
63 Black water rising Stonefield
64 Days are forgotten Kasabian
65 The truth P'nau
66 I feel better Gotye
67 Throw it all away 360 (feat. Josh Pyke)
68 The end is just the beginning repeating Living End
69 Two way street Kimbra
70 Natural disaster City and Colour
71 Escapee Architecture in Helsinki
72 Shot yourself in the foot again Skream and Example
73 I follow rivers Lykke Li
74 Me and you Nero
75 Perth Bon Iver
76 Houdini Foster the People
77 Black treacle Arctic Monkeys
78 Higher Art vs Science
79 1996 Wombats
80 All I want is you Ball Park Music
81 An argument with myself Jens Lekman
82 Suck it and see Arctic Monkeys
83 The devil takes care of his own Band of Skulls
84 Pumped up kicks Owl Eyes
85 Rosebud Jezabels
86 Lotus flower Radiohead
87 Part time believer Boy and Bear
88 The repairer Adalita
89 Make some noise Beastie Boys
90 The sum of it all Herd
91 Levels Avicii
92 China Sparkadia
93 Bulldozer Cold War Kids
94 Rich kid blues Lykke Li
95 S** with a bearded man The Beards
96 Sure as hell not Jesus Cosmo Jarvis
97 Naked kids Grouplove
98 Light all my lights Seeker Lover Keeper
99 How come you never go there Feist
100 What did I do? Kele ft. Lucy Taylor
 
I hope your wrong about boy and bear - feeding line. Matt Corby at 23? No way he will get that low.

Most likely am very wrong, but where's the fun in the list without a bold prediction or two? :D

Just get this feeling the average punter isn't going to know Corby that well and might hold him back a little.
 
I'm really impressed with all the discussion that goes on here. It's gonna make the countdown that much better seeing how everyone's predictions fared.

I've decided to expand my top ten prediction for my family's competition to a top fifty. Not as ambitious as some of you, but hey, I wanted to toss my hat into the ring too.

Good luck everyone and happy Australia day!

1. Somebody That I Used To Know – Gotye
2. Feeding Line – Boy & Bear
3. Jump Into The Fog – The Wombats
4. I Love It – Hilltop Hoods (Feat. Sia)
5. Shake It Out – Florence And The Machine
6. Lonely Boy – The Black Keys
7. Feel So Close – Calvin Harris
8. Video Games – Lana Del Ray
9. Midnight City – M83
10. Brother – Matt Corby
11. Endless Summer – The Jezabels
12. Changed The Way You Kissed Me – Example
13. Tongue Tied – Grouplove
14. Boys Like You – 360 (Feat. Gossling)
15. Awkward – San Cisco
16. Promises – Nero
17. What The Water Gave Me – Florence & The Machine
18. Helena Beat – Foster The People
19. Contact High – Architecture In Helsinki
20. Scary Monsters And Nice Sprites – Skrillex
21. Cameo Lover – Kimbra
22. Otis – Jay-Z And Kanye West
23. Act Yr Age – Bluejuice
24. Call It What You Want – Foster The People
25. Bali Party – Drapht
26. Techno Fan – The Wombats
27. All I Want Is You – Ball Park Music
28. A.I.M Fire – Art Vs Science
29. Under Cover Of Darkness – The Strokes
30. Bounce – Calvin Harris (Feat. Kelis)
31. Turn Me On – The Grates
32. Sing It (The Life Of Riley) – Drapht
33. Jungle – Emma Louise
34. Itchin’ On A Photograph – Grouplove
35. Calgary – Bon Iver
36. I Feel Better – Gotye
37. Rope – Foo Fighters
38. Cinema [Skrillex Remix] – Benny Banassi
39. Mary – Sparkadia
40. Even Though I’m A Woman – Seeker Lover Keeper
41. Don’t Sit Down ‘Cause I’ve Moved Your Chair – Arctic Monkeys
42. She’s Like A Comet – Jebediah
43. It’s Nice To Be Alive – Ball Park Music
44. Killer – 360
45. Part Time Believer – Boy & Bear
46. Speak Of The Devil – Hermitude
47. Lotus Flower – Radiohead
48. Hanging On – Active Child
49. Need You Now – Cut Copy
50. Good Intent – Kimbra
 
My final top 100. I think. I hope. We'll see.


1. Gotye – Somebody That I Used To Know (feat. Kimbra)
2. Boy And Bear – Feeding Line
3. Hilltop Hoods – I Love It
4. Calvin Harris – Feel So Close
5. Example – Changed The Way You Kiss Me
6. Florence and the Machine – Shake It Out
7. The Black Keys – Lonely Boy
8. The Jezabels – Endless Summer
9. M83 – Midnight City
10. Nero - Promises
11. Foster the People – Helena Beat
12. Bluejuice – Act Your Age
13. Florence and the Machine – What the Water Gave Me
14. Architecture in Helsinki – Contact High
15. Calvin Harris - Bounce
16. Lana Del Rey – Video Games
17. Jay-Z & Kanye West - Otis
18. Skrillex – Scary Monsters and Nice Sprites
19. Art vs. Science – A.I.M Fire!
20. The Wombats – Jump Into The Fog
21. Kimbra – Cameo Lover
22. 360 – Boys Like You (feat. Gossling)
23. Matt Corby – Brother
24. Foster the People – Call It What You Want
25. Emma Louise - Jungle
26. San Cisco - Awkward
27. Grouplove – Itchin’ On a Photograph
28. Cut Copy – Need You Now
29. Sparkadia – Mary
30. Arctic Monkeys - Don’t Sit Down ‘Cause I’ve Moved Your Chair
31. 360 – Killer
32. The Wombats – Techno Fan
33. The Grates – Turn Me On
34. The Strokes – Under Cover of Darkness
35. Drapht – Sing It (The Life Of Riley)
36. Flight Facilities – Foreign Language
37. Ball Park Music – It’s Nice To Be Alive
38. Grouplove – Tongue Tied
39. Bon Iver - Calgary
40. Benny Benassi – Cinema (Skrillex Remix)
41. Sparkadia - China
42. Seeker Lover Keeper – Even Though I’m A Woman
43. Pnau – The Truth
44. Drapht – Bali Party
45. Nero – Me & You
46. Kimbra – Good Intent
47. The Living End – The Ending is Just the Beginning Repeating
48. Foo Fighters - Rope
49. James Blake – Limit To Your Love
50. Josh Pyke – No One Wants A Lover
51. Example – Stay Awake
52. Washington – Holy Moses
53. 360 – Throw It Away (feat. Josh Pyke)
54. The Wombats - 1996
55. Cosmo Jarvis – Gay Pirates
56. Skrillex – Equinox (First of the Year)
57. Chiddy Bang – Ray Charles
58. Art vs. Science – With Thoughts
59. Luke Arnold - Million
60. Joe Goddard - Gabriel
61. Architecture In Helsinki - Escapee
62. Gotye – I Feel Better
63. Ball Park Music - All I Want Is You
64. Friendly Fires – Hawaiian Air
65. The Aston Shuffle – Start Again
66. Boy & Bear – Milk & Sticks
67. Snakadaktal - Air
68. Boy and Bear – Part Time Believer
69. Lykke Li – I Follow Rivers
70. Owl Eyes - Raiders
71. The Jezabels - Trycolour
72. Beastie Boys – Make Some Noise
73. City and Colour – Fragile Bird
74. Owl Eyes – Pumped Up Kicks (Like A Version)
75. Hermitude – Speak of the Devil
76. Pnau – Solid Ground
77. Eskimo Joe – Love is A Drug
78. Foster the People - Houdini
79. Cage the Elephant – Shake Me Down
80. Bon Iver - Holocene
81. Kasabian – Days Are Forgotten
82. Noah and the Whale – L.I.F.E.G.O.E.S.O.N
83. Aston Shuffle – Won’t Get Lost
84. Loon Lake – Bad To Me
85. Illy - Cigarettes
86. Justice – Audio, Video, Disco
87. Active Child – Hanging On
88. Strange Talk – Eskimo Boy
89. Austra – Lose It
90. SBTRKT - Wildfire
91. The Drums - Money
92. The Panics - Majesty
93. Tyler the Creator - Yonkers
94. Grouplove – Naked Kids
95. Foo Fighters - Arlandria
96. Florence and the Machine – No Light, No Light
97. The Getaway Plan – The Reckoning
98. Radiohead – Lotus Flower
99. TV On the Radio – Will Do
100. Big Scary - Gladiator

I'll take that as the actual H100 anyday, fantastic list. Best so far. :thumbsu:
 

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