Week 1 of Finals Tips and Crowd Expectations

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ADE v GWS - 75pts 50k
GEE v RICH - 40pts 91k
SYD v ESS - 120pts 40k
PORT v WCE 80pts 50k
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Adelaide 22 v GWS: 51/capacity
Geelong v Richmond 999 : 98/capacity
Sydney 47 v Essendon: 42
Port 1 v West Coast : 51/capacity

Capacity meaning whatever they actually make available

Port v West Coast to be 0-0 draw as port can't beat top 8 teams and west coast can't beat anyone away from Perth. Ken Hinkley reminds his players that west coast only made finals because Adelaide didn't actually care, and they perhaps aren't top 8 quality. They still struggle, but kick a behind in golden point to win.
 

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Adelaide 34 points, 35,000
Geelong 14 points 75,000
Sydney 44 points 42,000
Port Adelaide 31 points 35,000
 
I wonder if WC are truly a 50-50 chance. History suggests so, but history also says that you can't rely on accurate goal kicking and goals against the run of play whilst getting beaten convincingly around the ground and inside 50's, like last time.
 
Adelaide by 35 points. Game over at 3 qtr time, but GWS shorten the Crows' lead. GWS play shit in Adelaide.
Geelong by 9 points. Richmond a great chance, but haven't beaten Geelong since 2006 I believe. If Richmond can win, they are a huge chance for the premiership. My secondary tip would be Richmond by 4 points, Geelong haven't lost a really close game while Richmond haven't won a really close game. Things can change.
Sydney by 26. I do feel that Essendon can get revenge for last time though. Game will be close until Sydney have a power surge to come away with the win.
West Coast by 16. Eagles are a dangerous side in Adelaide, haven't ever lost to Port at the Oval. Have only lost once here, an aberrational thrashing against the Crows in 2015. West Coast at Adelaide Oval = Collingwood at AAMI Stadium. Who knows, the Eagles could be cocky and cop it - or it could be the other way around.
 
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Adelaide vs. GWS 28pts 40K Adelaide too strong at home, GWS haven't learnt as yet to play as a team.
Geelong vs. Richmond 25pts 84k Geelong hasn't lost to Richmond at the MCG since 1999, it won't change this year.
Sydney vs. Essendon 18pts 22K For some reason I think Swans may falter a little in the finals. Have no idea why.
Port Adelaide vs. West Coast 8pts 33k Meh, who cares.
 
I will just pick my favourites from each match:

Adelaide vs Greater Western Sydney 14 points
Geelong vs Richmond 25 points
Sydney vs Essendon 43 points
Port Adelaide vs West Coast 12 points
 

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Week 1 of Finals Tips and Crowd Expectations

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