Last week the weekly punt had its best betting round yet and that is saying something as it has yet to post a loss in any week this year. Last week four out the five lines paid out and there are five more lines again this round to double your funds with.
Hawthorn last week was the bet of the round and it is no different this week. The Hawks are in superhot form, having played all of last year’s finalists and are six wins and one loss with the second best percentage to boot. If that is not enough to indicate the gap between them and GWS who lost last week by 135 points then I do not what is. Hawks at Aurora with Sportsbet and the -95.5 line is the bet of the round.
If the Cats did not convince you last week they probably never will. If you are still hopeful about Collingwood chances this year then you must know something the Weekly Punt does not know. The Pies have only beaten the line once this season, equal last in the AFL along with Brisbane. The Cats are way too confident and way too good right now so they should easily account for the -20.5 handicap this week with Sportsbet who offer best value at $1.92.
Fremantle have defied bookmakers twice this year beating the Eagles and the Pies after starting as non-favourites. The play Sydney this week who after a relatively soft draw have shown they cannot dance with the big boys. Fremantle may not yet be a big boy but they are on their way and currently on a roll. Expect this game to go right down to the wire at the SCG. Take the Dockers line with Centrebet who will give you +18.5 head start.
Even though it was only GWS last week, 135 points is still a significant win. What was more significant is that Adelaide found another viable scoring option up forward with Walker out in Lynch booting ten. He will not to that this week against the Saints but the Crows are looking good now. Two weeks before they nearly knocked the premiership favourites Hawthorn at AAMI. Expect another excellent performance from the Crows in front of their supporters and they should easily account for the -22.5 line offered by Sportsbet
The Lions did perform well last week against the Eagles and the bet that was put on them last week was the first time this season they beat the line. This week they face the Dons and the Bombers have hit a bit of a road block after their excellent start. Essendon have not paid out on the line in the last two weeks and usually the trend follows for a third week. The Brisbane +53.5 line is a very good bet this week with Sportsbet.
Current Betting Fund: $1,624.00
Total staked so far: $513.50
Hawthorn v GWS – Handicap (-95.5) – $200 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Collingwood v Geelong –Handicap (-20.5) – $200 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Sydney v Fremantle– Handicap (+18.5) – $150 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Adelaide v St Kilda –Handicap (-22.5) – $150 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
Essendon v Brisbane –Handicap (+53.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
(Bet is on team in Bold)
Odds correct at time of posting
