It is a simple equation for the weekly punt this week, get nearly of all the tips to come up and show the profit for the second year running at the end of the home and away season. With the odds looking good again confirmation may arrive before Sunday. Of course it will continue to provide insights on betting tips for the finals.
The best team in the AFL at beating the lines for whatever reason is the best bet again this week. In fact they play the single worst team at beating the betting lines, the Eagles. The Crows have beaten betting lines almost twice as many times as West Coast this year. If that doesn’t sway you, the Crows have beaten the betting line six out of the last seven weeks while the Eagles have only done so twice in that same time. Centrebet will offer the best line and odds for Adelaide at +2.5 and $1.91, in what will be the easiest money of the round.
The weekly punt knows how important home-ground advantage can be, especially interstate advantage. When Geelong were up by nearly ten goals last time they played the Lions at the Gabba, the Lions somehow managed to win after the siren. The Cats will want to more than just makeup for the Gabba calamity. The last game at Simonds for 2013 should be one for their supporters to savour. Geelong tend to also beat the lines more often than not and Brisbane on the other hand do not, so taking the -53.5 with Betstar is the only sensible thing to do.
Equal with Adelaide as the best in the AFL at beating the betting lines, the Kangaroos play Collingwood who are the second worst in the AFL at it. North may not win the game but they will certainly be competitive, so taking them on the +13.5 line with Centrebet should be almost guaranteed.
Port Adelaide is seriously becoming the most overrated team in the AFL, they have now only beaten a a betting line once in the last two months. Carlton has done no better than Port over the course of they year but they have their fate in their own hands – a win will secure a finals spot for the Blues. Carlton’s best should be enough to beat Port but just in case there are any odd bounces at the end of the game, take the +6.5 line with Centrebet.
The Swans currently have not beaten a line since round eighteen, the worst streak in the AFL. They play the premiership favourite Hawks this week at a ground they do not play that well in ANZ, and they are not in great shape or form as their injury list keeps growing. The Hawks line with Sportsbet at -11.5 looks like a good bet this week.
It might seem crazy to put money on a Melboure line but then again they play the Bulldogs who have not beaten anyone by more than five goals since round one. In fact the Dogs played Melbourne two months ago and ended up losing. Given that the Bulldogs had to travel back from Brisbane last week, the +40.5 line with Sportsbet for Melbourne seems like a perfectly sound bet.
Current Betting Fund: $1,280.35
Total staked for 2013: $1,593.50
West Coast v Adelaide – Handicap (+2.5) – $200 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Geelong v Brisbane – Handicap– (-53.5) $200 @ $1.91 Betstar
Collingwood v North Melbourne – Handicap (+13.5) – $150 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Port Adelaide v Carlton – Handicap (+6.5) – $150 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Sydney v Hawthorn – Handicap(-11.5) – $100 @ $1.91 Centrebet
Western Bulldogsv Melbourne – Handicap (+40.5) – $100 @ $1.92 Sportsbet
(Bet is on team in Bold)
Odds correct at time of posting
