Keep the lid on North fans but if history is any indicator, your team has a 50% chance at winning the 2016 Premiership.

In 120 years of VFL/AFL, just 16 sides have started the season 9-0 or better. Eight of them have gone on to win the flag that year.

Team Year Wins to start season Result
Essendon 2000 20 Premiers
St Kilda 2009 19 R/U
Collingwood 1929 18 Premiers
Melbourne 1956 13 Premiers
Geelong 1953 13 R/U
Geelong 2009 13 Premiers
Geelong 2011 13 Premiers
West Coast 1991 12 R/U
Carlton 1908 11 Premiers
St Kilda 2004 10 PF
Melbourne 1955 10 Premiers
South Melbourne 1932 10 SF
Collingwood 1936 9 Premiers
Fremantle 2015 9 PF
Hawthorn 2008 9 Premiers
North Melbourne 2016 9 ???
Footscray 1946 9 SF

 

The Roos have certainly had an easy start to the year, having only faced two Top 8 sides in the Crows and Bulldogs.

The true test of their 2016 Premiership credentials will come with games against Sydney (SCG), Richmond (BA), Hawthorn (ES), Geelong (ES) and Adelaide (AO) in the next five weeks.

How do you rate North’s flag chances? Discuss their chances in the forum.

Thanks to smiley_mick on the AFL subreddit for the research.