Last week the weekly punt had only one bet come up. As bad as that round was for our betting we still are in front for the year. That is important to note because we do not ever change a winning strategy because of one bad week, no matter how poor. This is one of the first mistakes punters make: they over compensate or chase losses. There is no need because the weekly punt system has been proven to be profitable for two years and on we go.
Betting against Port Adelaide was the only bet that came up last week. It was also the fifth straight consecutive week Port had not paid out on the line. No team has shown to be more profitable to bet against and given they play the Cats this week – the third best in the AFL at beating lines – what else do you think is going to be the outcome. Geelong line with Pinnacle this week is still at -38.5 and with the best odds at 1.952 but not for long.
There was enough evidence last week that even a spirited and determined group of young players who had not won a game in almost a year could easily account for Melbourne. What do you think the Suns will do to the Dees this week considering last time they played them at the MCG they won by ten goals? This week at Metricon Gold Coast is definitely a lot better than the -36.5 line offered by Sportsbet who will give you the best payout at 1.92.
You do not beat the premiership favourite by over 40 points on a wet day at the MCG and not expect to do even better against Brisbane this week on the same ground, rain, hail or shine. Well maybe not hail, but there is no such forecast. What is forecasted by the weekly punt is another massive win for the Tigers. Richmond is looking to easily beat the -32.5 line with Sportsbet offering the best odds and line again for the favourite.
Current Betting Fund: $2,030.35
Total staked for 2013: $1,593.50
Geelong v Port Adelaide– Handicap (-38.5) – $200 @ $1.952 Pinnacle
Gold Coast v Melbourne– Handicap (-36.5) – $200@ $1.92 Sportsbet
Richmond v Brisbane–Handicap– $150 (-32.5) @ $1.92 Sportsbet
(Bet is on team in Bold)
Odds correct at time of posting
