Opinion Non-Crows AFL 11: Footy's Back At Last

Haha we need a mathematician to clarify this ... cmndstab ??? Is it you who knows what numbers are?
They're independent events, so no, the chances of a win don't increase with every loss. Like tossing a coin - a string of heads doesn't make it more likely the next toss will be tails.
 
They're independent events, so no, the chances of a win don't increase with every loss. Like tossing a coin - a string of heads doesn't make it more likely the next toss will be tails.
But doesn’t the odds of us continuing our winning streak get less?
50% 25% etc?
 
But doesn’t the odds of us continuing our winning streak get less?
50% 25% etc?
When you have 0 consecutive wins then the probability of getting a winning streak of length n is (0.5)^n assuming 50% probability of winning any given match. But once you have an winning streak of length n it is still 50% of making it n+1.
 
Melbourne are going to struggle this year.

They did a good job against the Giants last week, but conditions were favourable to them.

Steven May a huge lost for the short term, their midfield doesn't bat very deep and their front 6 lacks top end talent
 
Look if we can't beat North at home with our full strength side we don't deserve to make finals

Spot on. And it will be another warm day as well, our players have been use to these conditions all summer.

We probably have the most lethal forward line in the AFL.

Assuming no significant changes to it, an opposition is going to probably kick 90-100 points to win.
 

Opinion Non-Crows AFL 11: Footy's Back At Last


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