Opinion Non-Crows AFL 11: Footy's Back At Last

[1970crow]

Yeah, I know... but I wouldn't be a mathematician if I wasn't a pedant as well

I remember when I was a student, we learned the lesson about how, in theory, for a 2:1 payout you can always just keep doubling your bet until you eventually win, and you'll make a profit equal to your initial bet. My girlfriend at the time went straight to the casino to bet on red, and lost six times in a row. If it had turned up black one more time she would have hit the maximum bet limit and walked out several hundred dollars poorer, haha. Fortunately, it came up red and she gratefully walked out $10 richer and let the panic attack die away.

Believe that’s called the Martingale system and it’s why bet maximums based on minimums were introduced. At least that’s what they told me when I did my crappier training. But yeh, takes balls to go all the way like that.

 

[Geoffa32]

Would we take Goodwin if he became available? Assistant coach?

Would probably have to give up being associated with the Here for the Game campaign if we did......

 

[50BC]

Haha we need a mathematician to clarify this ... cmndstab ??? Is it you who knows what numbers are?

From a purely mathematical point of view, the outcome of a match is not dependent on the outcome of previous matches. However, football players aren't very good mathematical models.

 

[cleanhands]

From a purely mathematical point of view, the outcome of a match is not dependent on the outcome of previous matches. However, football players aren't very good mathematical models.

Current or ex?

 

[dogs105]

From a purely mathematical point of view, the outcome of a match is not dependent on the outcome of previous matches. However, football players aren't very good mathematical models.

Assume each player is a sphere, and the game is played in a vacuum...

 

[dogs105]

Current or ex?

I've heard you like a little bit of mathematics

 

[spenze]

Luko out for 4 Months

The irony of him getting a contact injury...

 

[dogs105]

Believe that’s called the Martingale system and it’s why bet maximums based on minimums were introduced. At least that’s what they told me when I did my crappier training. But yeh, takes balls to go all the way like that.

It would work if you had an infinite amount of time, money, and no betting limit.

It's a really nice example for a "picking up pennies in front of a steamroller" analogy - good chance of small wins, tiny chance of catastrophic loss. Although bet limits instituted by casinos save gamblers from themselves, as well as giving certainty to the house.

 

[cleanhands]

I've heard you like a little bit of mathematics

That can’t be good

 

[Slime Roy]

Why are the crowd numbers for Port v Richmond TBC?
What are they trying to hide.

 

[ams4crows]

Patrick Voss can not kick a goal to save his life missed some absolute sitters

 

[Peter Doherty]

Why are the crowd numbers for Port v Richmond TBC?
What are they trying to hide.

37,342

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

I can see why Essendon let Patrick Voss go, he doesn't impress me at all.

 

[1970crow]

37,342

That seems an ok crowd. Wouldn’t get many neutrals turning up yo that and I doubt Tige fans will have much of a travelling appetite this year.

 

[FR0GGY]

Don’t know what the **** Jackson was doing there, just walking outside the D50.
30 seconds later the ball gets bombed in and Amartey takes the mark.

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

I can't believe I got sucked into the Freo hype. They are complete garabge.

 

[ams4crows]

Oh Freo never change

 

[Scorpus]

I can't believe I got sucked into the Freo hype. They are complete garabge.

Brennan Cox another bullet dodged like Mason Redman

 

[cmndstab]

Believe that’s called the Martingale system and it’s why bet maximums based on minimums were introduced. At least that’s what they told me when I did my crappier training. But yeh, takes balls to go all the way like that.

Yep, like most rules in casinos it was introduced because people kept managing to actually beat the house, and that obviously can't stand.

I don't think I've ever seen someone more nervous than she was sticking $320 on red while already $310 behind, haha. That was probably a month's worth of cash for us!

 

[Thrillthorpe7]

Freo have this funny way of just looking the same every season (average to shit), regardless of coach or personnel. Only watched this game because it was close, not because it was entertaining.

 

[MarcusP2]

Sharp took way too long to kick that.

 

[cmndstab]

Gee, that was poor from Brennan Cox conceding that last shot on goal. Just let Amartey take the mark uncontested in the end, didn't even impede him in the slightest.

 

[ams4crows]

Voss not be able to kick goals directly in front is why Freo loss

 

[Grooster24]

Besides the close finish that was a terrible game to watch. So many errors and turnovers...and just bad decisions not seeing their free man and taking the wrong option. For both sides.

 

[FR0GGY]

Gee, that was poor from Brennan Cox conceding that last shot on goal. Just let Amartey take the mark uncontested in the end, didn't even impede him in the slightest.

Combined with Jackson day dreaming outside the 50. Needed to get back.