Toast Hawks made finals in 2024! - Hawks finals discussion

[theiaofseed]

Just 2 points outside the 8, percentage wont be the reason we wont make it. 5 wins from the next 8 should be enough to make it.

 

[Bugs1977]

Finals aside we've already won 1 more game than last and our percentage is 18% better. With 8 games to go we're light years ahead of where were last season.

 

[peetoo]

This is the round 22 ladder on the predictor. Just using squiggle predictions. But we win just 3 from next six

With games v tigers and north to go

 

[Barralupo]

Lol that would be some mighty fall by the bombers

 

[peetoo]

So in that situation, would need massive improvement in percentage in the last two wins - which will be wins of course
If there’s just two losses till then (based on previous eight rounds performance) looking very good

 

[kazzooka]

Geez if we can get Lewis and Bruest firing and imagine if Wingard is back to his form from this time last year. If those 3 can get the fitness and form to be back in the firsts we will probably win the flag by 20 goals.

 

[kazzooka]

View attachment 2035506

This you clicked the wrong team for one of our games. We should end up on 56 points.

 

[peetoo]

Lol that would be some mighty fall by the bombers

Yeah I don’t think some of the squiggle projected results will happen

Just shows thought, the percentage range in bottom part of final 8 is doable

Missed Collingwood beating geelong too

 

[satan1]

It's funny (or maybe not funny), the game I'm most confident about of our next 6 is the Pies....

I hope they play Finn on Good Daicos just for the lols.

 

[KermitJagger]

Lol that would be some mighty fall by the bombers

Well they've got:

Collingwood
Melbourne
Adelaide
Saints
Dockers
Suns
Sydney
Brissie

I reckon Saints and Adelaide are the only two they're odds on winning in that list, Suns maybe because it's away from home but... it's tough for em.

 

[peetoo]

Well they've got:

Collingwood
Melbourne
Adelaide
Saints
Dockers
Suns
Sydney
Brissie

I reckon Saints and Adelaide are the only two they're odds on winning in that list, Suns maybe because it's away from home but... it's tough for em.

Not travelling though. But if they win some, the loser is also denied a win on final ladder. They keep winning it’s good for us

 

[Cleavy]

Well they've got:

Collingwood
Melbourne
Adelaide
Saints
Dockers
Suns
Sydney
Brissie

I reckon Saints and Adelaide are the only two they're odds on winning in that list, Suns maybe because it's away from home but... it's tough for em.

I feel that for them the Melbourne and Dockers games are 60/40 and Suns game is 80/20, but hopefully the opponents fire up and do some damage to their hopes.

 

[HawthornHawk]

8 games to go, win 3 of the next 4, then 3 of our last 4 and we make it without needing any favors. 5 wins and we're a chance but % may hurt us.

 

[Sixpence]

Percentage won't be an issue if we win 6 of 8. As long as we don't get hammered in the losses, we should be able to get it up to the 105 - 110 mark.

 

[jenniferHAWKinS]

Geez if we can get Lewis and Bruest firing and imagine if Wingard is back to his form from this time last year. If those 3 can get the fitness and form to be back in the firsts we will probably win the flag by 20 goals.

We definitely need Lewis firing. Harsh as it may sound Wingard won’t get back in. Moore, Ginnivan, Macdonald and Watson all ahead. Breust will play cameos (hopefully win a game or 2 of his own boot) but not sure we will see much of him as a 4 quarter player here on in.

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

Cornes, however, is less concerned about whether the club pushes on from here to make finals, given how young the group is in this cycle.

“Can they play finals this year? I’m not as worried about that. It’s been a significant step in the right direction,” he said.

“If I was a supporter right now, I would absolutely be very excited to be a Hawthorn fan.”

 

[KermitJagger]

I keep looking for the Carlton game as the best test of where we're at that we'll have for the rest of the year, but we don't play them until Round 22. The fixturing is crazy.

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

 

[Kanga Commando]

A quick check of the ladder shows that it is (remotely) conceivable, after this coming weekend, we could have 8 teams on 9 wins (or 36 points), all contesting for places in the 8

PS - posted that at the same time as SYL

 

[Leather Poisoning]

A quick check of the ladder shows that it is (remotely) conceivable, after this coming weekend, we could have 8 teams on 9 wins (or 36 points), all contesting for places in the 8

PS - posted that at the same time as SYL

I think Essendon is looking really shaky.
It'll be a close game with collingwood on Friday - but I think Collingwood will win and the bombers may just start to free fall a bit

 

[Leather Poisoning]

What a bullshit season though - the 13/18 sides have winning percentage over 50. The bottom 5 sides are utter crap

 

[KermitJagger]

Remember in 2018 when Port were in 4th place with 11 wins and 4 losses @ Round 16 before going completely off the boil and losing 6 of the next 8 games and missing finals? I'm trying to manifest that for Essendon right now.

 

[Leather Poisoning]

Remember in 2018 when Port were in 4th place with 11 wins and 4 losses @ Round 16 before going completely off the boil and losing 6 of the next 8 games and missing finals? I'm trying to manifest that for Essendon right now.

I think it might be brewing. If they lose to Collingwood then a lot of their games start looking like 50/50 games. I reckon one of Adelaide or St Kilda will have an upset win over them too.

 

[QuietB]

Hawks have a percentage of 120.25% since Round 6. Beating the Dogs, Saints, Brisbane and GWS and should have beat Port.

This is some run they are going on and it has not been simply a case of beating up the bottom 5.

My favourite thing yesterday was hearing West Coast players saying how shocked they were that Hawthorn were this good.

Hawthorn completely dominated yesterday - poor finishing the only fault. Imagine they get that right?

 

[earthworms]

I’m immensely glad we got to get rid of our rust from the bye against west coast. Any other serious afl club would’ve capitalised on our shaky first quarter to rattle us.

Very happy that we’re now in form going against geelong, and if we beat them we will be playing finals.

Win every game left and we will finish 3rd with two chances to make a prelim.