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Oh and how many points would a good defender, and a average defender be worth in AFL in your opinion?

Hi everyone I have put together a spreadsheet assigning a player in the NRL how many points per game he is worth. It is usually worth 4 points to the solid players then 2 to the lesser players. 6 to 8 points for the kickers and superstars like Greg Inglis or Cameron Smith. This is useful when...

Hi Punters! Noob question so my most humble apologies... I was wondering what day and time the lines go up from the bookys? I heard it was every Wednesday at noon.. Also, does it ever change? I assume it's also the same time for the NRL lines as well? Thanks P.S I love your tips Willz...

knights -3.5 Sportsbet @ 2

Thanks guys, thought as much, cheers

Gday Fellas Started to have a punt on Football matches with reasonable results (EPF, Ligue 1, Primera Div etc). So far i have been doing S8 up bets like win/loss OR Double chance AND having a go a CORRECT SCORE taking at least 2 options like 2-0 and 3-0 to increase my chances. Ufortunately...

Merci, thought so. Still good value at $26 obv. Tootaloo!

NRL R23 (SB=Sportsbet, CB= Centrebet, SPORTING = Sporting Bet) Wests -6.5 SB x 2.2u NQ SB x 2.8u WAR -6 CB x 3.2u MAN -10 CB x 4.4u MEL -16.5 SB x 4.4u CAN +3.5 CB x 3.2u STG -18 CB x 4.4u DOG -1.5 CB x 2.2u Really going to try to post every week and keep yearly total tally from...

Silly comment, Lenny is right. Follow his wonderful MG posts and you will be laughing. Btw I found Reimers @26 on Centrebet Lenny, where did you see $34? STK @6.8 BF x 0.75u , STK +37.5 CB x 2.2u HAW -78.5 CB x 2.2u CAR -16.5 SB x 2.2u GC @ 3.25 BF x 3u , GC +17.5 CB x 2.2u WC -28.5 CB...

R20 Parr 2 Units Storm -4 3 Units NQ 3 Units Tiger -6.5 3 Units Rabbit +2 3 Units Man -5.5 2 Units STG -6.5 2 Units

Useless Sharks, dominant Saints. Correct, right hand defence was atrocious. Sharks were sliding and receding all over the place. You do that to a top class side u are dreaming about a victory Still happy with the bet however, can't be results orientated :cool:

Wonderful thread! The Don Scott Principle has opened my eyes. Is this principle what you use 100% of the time when you see value Vince? Since I started taking sports betting seriously 6 months ago I was placing bets with units in proportion to the size of the bookys odds. Eg: odds between 1.01...

Thanks Vince. I will keep you up to date how my system evolves and if it's successful. cheers

Hi Vince. Love the simple equation to work out your own markets. My question however is, how do you work out the winning % of each team? Is it up to the individual? Do you calculate the winning margin of each game first? Couple of months ago I was so inspired by Lenny29's value system...

Really like the sharks with +8.5 start. Sharks have already beaten the saints earlier in the year, added by their terrific form of late this one is a no brainer for mine. If sharks lose, it won't be by much. SHARKS +8.5 @ 1.92 = 3 UNITS

DOGS @ $1.57 - 3 Units CRONULLA @ $2.09 - 3 Units SAINTS @ $1.69 - 3 Units CANBERRA @ $1.91 - 3 Units Sry didn't have time to post yesterday but I went for the baby Broncos @ $2.40 Which is great value obv. YTD TOTAL = + 9 UNITS

MEL @ 1.85 3 units overs in my book (should be around 1.50) NQ @ 2.20 2 units overs ( should be 1.70 ) NEW - 2.5 @ 1.95 2 units think newy can win by 5 or more ST 1-12 @ 3.05 2 units usually hate betting these exotics but i really do think this will be a close one.

Hope the blues win but I can't see them doing it to be honest. -2.5 on the maroons is to good to pass up. I think there will be more pressure on the blues due to the sell out crowd and that will cause the usual mistakes (if not more) they are prone to. Thurston, Inglis, Slater, Thaiday, Lockyer...

Gday Lenny Absolutely love your tips week in week out. Made me alot of money last week ;) I'm curious about your Unit limit? I understand the concept completely but was wondering if you go over 6U ever? I assume that is your limit.. I ask because my limit is 10 meaning 10= a lock bet...

Great work Hoggy! Keep it up mate, your reasoning and logical value betting is very inspirational for a wannabe winning punter.. ME! :) Value betting is the only way to bet and devising a system like yours for 1st try/goal scorer is smart and rewarding. Please don't stop posting...