2014 Brownlow Discussion

[RW]

All Brownlow tips, predictions, discussion goes in here.

Predictions

• AFL Predictor has it J Selwood, Ablett, Franklin

The Betting

• Sportsbet have it J Selwood (2.65), Ablett (4.25) and Gray (6.50)
• TAB have it J Selwood (2.50), Ablett (3.50) and Gray (6.00)
• Centrebet have it J Selwood (2.75), Ablett (4.00) and Gray (6.00)

2014 Awards already completed

AFL Coaches Association - Robbie Gray
AFLPA MVP - Nat Fyfe (ineligible for Brownlow)
The Age Footballer of the Year - Scott Pendlebury
The Heraldsun Player of the Year - Joel Selwood
3AW VicSuper Player of the Year - Joel Selwood
Lou Richards Medal (Footy Show) - Scott Pendlebury

 

[Millky95]

Who I want: Kennedy or Parker
Who I think: Selwood and Ablett drawing
Who I want so the media melt down: Franklin or Fyfe

 

[Dangas]

Brownlow - Pendlebury
Roughie - Gray

 

[V9x18]

Best Value is JPK at $10

my roughie would priddis or cotchin

 

[Parkerman]

Heppell

 

[The King!]

i think the swans will get the most team votes

lewis from hawthorn might win it

im surprised selwood fav

ablett should have a lead when he gets injured

 

[The King!]

boak most votes at port is good value, gray doesnt attract the votes

 

[PVF]

Franklin Selwood Ablett trifecta thank you!

 

[Punts]

Fyfe will win from Selwood and Gray

Top3
Fyfe
Selwood
Gray

 

[The King!]

Fyfe will win from Selwood and Gray

Top3
Fyfe
Selwood
Gray

so selwood gets it by default?

 

[The King!]

think i read they struck 8 medals this year as its expected to be tight

 

[robbieando]

http://www.theage.com.au/afl/brownl...selwood-and-josh-kennedy-20140922-10ker0.html

Kennedy has plummeted from $13 on Saturday to $7 at Sportingbet, with $9 still available at Sportsbet. "Over the past 48 hours, punters have backed him to win well over $100,000 off us," Sportingbet's Andrew Brown said. "Kennedy is certainly the flavour of the day with Brownlow Medal punters and he's now a clear-cut fourth favourite."

Well, well then the infamous Brownlow plunge

 

[bedford]

Heppell

Got him at 21/1

 

[robbieando]

think i read they struck 8 medals this year as its expected to be tight

They have 8 available with extras stuck over past years.

They normally produce 2 per year just in case of ties and the extras in case of ties or presented when the winner is interstate are the left overs from previous years. If it gets out to a large number like 8 or more they just produce the one. 2003 helped reduce the stock holdings on Brownlow's at the AFL.

 

[bedford]

2 have been sent to our Northern base

 

[Dangas]

Gray isn't really a roughie is he?

 

[Parkerman]

It's great that our boys can't attend because we have a small matter of a game to prepare for this weekend.

But I miss our invited players taking along a teammate as their guest (except Jolly of course).

Swans culture.

And in before the Oxford St jokes.

 

[BruceFromBalnarring]

Ablett can't win. He's only about 21 votes when injured. I have Kennedy on an optimistic 33 votes. Comfortable 25. I can see why the big plunge. Someone else has done the same numbers.

 

[BruceFromBalnarring]

Parker 20. Franklin 17.

 

[Millky95]

Ablett can't win. He's only about 21 votes when injured. I have Kennedy on an optimistic 33 votes. Comfortable 25. I can see why the big plunge. Someone else has done the same numbers.

Ablett has a fair few 3s and should get a lot of 1s.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Heppell

Zero chance. Will end up on 15 at the most.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Ablett can't win. He's only about 21 votes when injured. I have Kennedy on an optimistic 33 votes. Comfortable 25. I can see why the big plunge. Someone else has done the same numbers.

Ablett is comfortably on 24. There is no way the winner is more than 26, and considering Ablett's 30 votes in 2007 is one of the highest, I doubt someone is on 33. Not happening.

 

[BruceFromBalnarring]

Ablett has a fair few 3s and should get a lot of 1s.

21 is a lot of votes to Round 15. I have Kennedy level pegging or just behind at that point with a big run Rounds 14 to 20.

 

[Millky95]

21 is a lot of votes to Round 15. I have Kennedy level pegging or just behind at that point with a big run Rounds 14 to 20.

I think a 22/23 will win the Brownlow. Going to be a small voting year. No one had a super standout above all year (bar Ablett but he missed so much)

 

[Jetta2Goodes]

I like pendles as he's the shining light for the pies, not many team mates to steal votes off him this season (ie Dane Swan).

For the swannies I'm really interested to see how Parker polls, a bit of egg on face for the AA selectors will be nice.

JK's last 3 absentees for the season might just cost him, hope I'm wrong.