2014 Brownlow Medal

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What if he comes top 3?
some of the ardent dislike that seems to be there for gray is just odd. its not like he's a sniper, or a diver, or bailed on his old club etc. boak's season also wasn't as dominant as past years - he had around 4 clear great games, then a few reasonable ones.
 

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Did someone mention Robbie Gray?

Robbie Gray
R1: 17D, 82%DE, 4G. Wines was BOG in this one. I think that Westhoff (20D, 5G) and the pace of Polec (especially in the last quarter) (24D, 1G) will get votes before Gray. A slight chance at 1, but I dont think he got enough of the ball. 1-0 Votes
R2: Played forward, won't poll
R3: Better North players, and Hartlett was Ports best. Shouldn't poll
R4: 29D, 3CLR, 2G. A solid game, but there were better port players. Boak was BOG, Schulz kicked 7, and Ebert and Cornes had over 35 posessions at higher efficiency.
R5: 24D, 83%DE, 5CLR,2G. I stand by my decision to give Ebert the 3 in this game. Gray played a strong last quarter which helped Port win the game, but Ebert was probably the most consistent throughout the whole game. 2 Votes
R6: Once again, Gray played a good game, but Boak, Ebert and Hartlett all played much more influential roles in the win against Geelong.
R7: 30D, 7CLR, 6I50. Polec (30D, 3G) was a stronger performer on the day and should get the votes. I also had Ward (40D, 11CLR, 8T) getting the 2 votes behind Gray who was next best. 1 Vote
R8: 30D, 6CLR, 70%DE. I gave Wingard the BOG in this game with his 5 goals. I also thought Fyfe kept Fremantle in the game with 34D, 6CLR and 2G. Meaning that Gray should get the remaining vote. 1 Vote

R10: Boak and Ebert both had more impact on the game than Gray, and Lewis was sensational in the loss.
R11: 25D, 5CLR, 2G. This is one that I actually changed, not sure why I didnt originally put Boak BOG because he was. I thought that Tysons effort was incredible in this game so I gave him the two, and Gray the one. Could go either way though. 2-1 Votes
R12: 25D, 4CLR, 4G. I think the 4 goals is what gives Gray BOG for this game. Would not be surprised however if Hartlett got it over him. 2-3 Votes
R13: 35D, 10CLR, 71%DE. Sydney winning this one gives Franklin the BOG in my opinion. It will come down to Ebert and Gray to split the 2 and 1 I think, and I gave Gray the 2 in this game. 1-2 Votes
R14: 28D, 9CLR, 3I50. Wines and Schulz will split the 3 and 2 votes for this game. I think that Westhoff and even Boak should poll before Gray for the 1.
R15: Cant see any Port players attracting votes here
R16: 30D, 4CLR, 1G. Was probably Port Adelaides best player, especially in the last quarter. I still felt as though the games of Zaharakis and Myers were more impressive. 1 Vote
R17: Not sighted
R18: 26D, 8CLR, 6T. Wines was Ports best, and Tyson and Jones were impossible not to recognize for Melbourne. Given port hung on, he may sneak in for a vote. 1-0 Votes
R19: Unsighted
R20: 37D, 12CLR, 6T. Will be a chance for best on ground, although I think his efficiency (53%) and the teams loss will give McGlynn the best on. 3-2 Votes
R21: 26D, 9CLR, 11I50. I thought Hartlett was more influential in this game, but looking again at those stats, it might be hard to not give Gray the 3. 3-2 Votes
R22: A clear BOG ahead of Wingard, Boak and Hartlett. 3 Votes
R23: Been argued by many on here, but I still think Neale will get the 3 in the Dockers win, Gray should get 2. 2 Votes

Based on that, I have Gray on 20 behind Selwood (27) and Ablett/Kennedy (24)
Minimum Votes: 18
Maximum Votes: 25

'This is the one imo where he could easily get 3. He was the best player on the ground when the game was won and had 23 touches, 5 clearances in the 2nd half.
 
Heres how my votes finished up. Would be a great count to watch if its accurate!?

Selwood 25
Ablett 24
Kennedy 24
Franklin 20
Gray 19
Priddis 19

Games to watch for me are R12 Suns v Swans. I have Ablett 2, Kennedy 1 but could easily be the other way round.

R15 Suns v Hawks. I gave Ablett 2 (45 possies + Goal). That will get you 3 votes 95% of the the time but hard to get them in a 10 goal loss. Could even get 1 depending how Lewis polls?

R20 Cats v Dockers. Selwood and Fyfe equal third best. If Mundy kicks straight you lean towards Fyfe. He doesnt. Joel sneaks 1 vote.

R20 Power v Swans. Kennedy, McGlynn, Gray the best 3 but could easily go in any order. Ive given Kennedy the 3 and a share of the lead at that point.

R23 Cats v Lions. Can Selwood return the favour and to steal it from Gaz by a vote in the last round? I have him polling 2 to do just that.
 
some of the ardent dislike that seems to be there for gray is just odd. its not like he's a sniper, or a diver, or bailed on his old club etc. boak's season also wasn't as dominant as past years - he had around 4 clear great games, then a few reasonable ones.

Probably from years and years of burning fantasy players as the great white hope.
 
I'll never watch the Brownlow again if Gray wins it, and i'll be surprised if he beats Boak.

I will very much enjoy the next few weeks here I think.

'This is the one imo where he could easily get 3. He was the best player on the ground when the game was won and had 23 touches, 5 clearances in the 2nd half.

Pfft 23 in a half, big deal what a total port bias. If he votes in this game I will never watch the Brownlow again. Boak will get 4 votes this game.
 

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Did anyone else get on this? I'm spewing I missed this. Odds have been smashed.
Mate,he was $2.75 when he first came up....I smashed it,then told my mates and by the time they got on he was $2.50...now he's $2.25.....its only eligible players too so fyfe is not in the market......surely there arent 6 players including Fyfe that finish in front of him????
 
Did anyone else get on this? I'm spewing I missed this. Odds have been smashed.
I wouldn't call $2.5 to $2.25 "smashed"

Edit - if he started at $2.75 that is a fair movement
 
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Forgive my ignorance but how does the Brownlow handicap market work? If a player is +5.5 for example, do they just have to get within 5 votes of the winner in the actual count or are you betting against the other handicaps (i.e. if the winner's handicap is +3.5 for example)?
 
Did anyone else get on this? I'm spewing I missed this. Odds have been smashed.

i'm staying right away from Kennedy. Very good player no doubt but reckon he has to work so hard for his votes the risk isn't worth it. Umps are flat out looking at 100 different things i'm not sold that they see or recognise him shovelling a little handball out of congestion. Great stats and contested stats and supercoach points just worried he doesn't get noticed enough. Last 3 games will really hurt him when others finish like steam trains.
 
Forgive my ignorance but how does the Brownlow handicap market work? If a player is +5.5 for example, do they just have to get within 5 votes of the winner in the actual count or are you betting against the other handicaps (i.e. if the winner's handicap is +3.5 for example)?

You are betting against the other handicaps.
 

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2014 Brownlow Medal

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