2015 - AFL Round 21

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WH has North Melbourne win @ $3, max $25

Edit: finished

Its back on again now on WH.
$25@3WIN
arbed with Freo SU @2.30 on SB (Moneyback)

1U Melbourne under 14.5behinds @1.71 WH
edit: added 2u WC under 14.5behinds @1.97 WH & 2u WC over 12.5 behinds@1.80 b365
 
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I seem to get pretty lucky with North this year. The are great for live betting as well, the can finish pretty strongly and Freo in Q1 were 7.2 for example, I know they are an accurate team but I look at that and think they probably aren't going to kick as accurately for the rest of the game.

I didn't place a live bet today but did against Melbourne a few weeks ago, North were up or down by about 2 points early in the 3rd quarter but Melbourne had kicked very accurately up to that point so the scoreboard was not an accurate reflection of how the game was being played, so I took the line at -11.5, ended up winning by 35.

Similarly against the Saints last week.. Whilst there was no way I was going to bet on North when they looked completely out of it, they had that 60 point turnaround in the 3rd quarter. Would have been huge value available at half time especially considering how quickly North can score and how easily teams can score against St Kilda.
 
ok so i put a multi on west coast to win and Carrazzo to have more disposals than simpson, but they end up both getting 15 disposals...
So if west coast do end up winning, what happens? (Tab)

It depends, was the market for Carrazzo to have more disposals or was it most disposals Carrazzo Vs Simpson?

If the latter, your odds for that leg will be halved. So if you bet $100 at $1.88, instead of getting back $188 you would get back $94.
Same applies to your multi, it will halve the odds for that leg.
 

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1U Hawthorn Over 116.5 @ $1.88 - LOSS
0.5U Hawthorn Over 120.5 @ $2.15 - LOSS
2U Hawthorn -40.5 @ $1.91 LOSS
1.6U Hawthorn -14.5 @ $2.00 LOSS

1U Richmond Under 90.5 @ $1.88 - LOSS
1U Brisbane Under 72.5 @ $1.88 - WIN
1U Carlton Under 78.5 @ $1.88 - WIN

1U Adelaide Over 109.5 @ $1.88 - WIN
0.5U Adelaide Over 120.5 @ $2.65 - WIN
0.5U Adelaide -49.5 @ $2.50 WIN
0.5U Adelaide -55.5 @ $3.00 WIN
0.5U Adelaide -59.5 @ $3.50 WIN
0.5U West Coast -29.5 @ $2.40 - WIN
1U North @ $1.73 - WIN
0.5U North -24.5 @ $3.20 - LOSS

Outlay: 13.6U
Return
: 16.275U
Profit
: +2.675U

A good recovery after a shocking start on Friday.
 
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Hawks/Port - u 199.5
Pies/Tiges - o 163.5
GWS/Sydney - o 166.5
GC/Essendon - u 175.5
Geelong/Saints - u 182.5
Adelaide/Brisbane - o 182.5
North/Freo - o 168.5
Carlton/Dees - o 170.5

Told myself I wasn't going to bet 2/4 losses, learning valuable lessons. I.E how to not be a flog
 
jones/Hogan $16
vince/Hogan $12
priddis/stringer $15
priddis/kennedy $8.50
bontempelli group 2 $6
Priddis Kennedy got up so all in all up 250 for the weekend after some horror losses
 
Yeah still in, Suns made me worry jeepers. Near end of third 18pts up I felt really comfortable. Did that change quickly wow!

Anyway

2 legs left
Melbourne win
Eagles win
Current odds $1.80 Cashout now $6,198. Potential Winnings 12,820 from 2k.

Surely Carlton can not win! If anything Ill chuck 1k on Doggies line or something later
Jeez you must wanna kill Melbourne, who would of thought the Blues would get up :drunk:
 
Last week I had to email to get my refund, it seems I'll have to do the same this week.
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2015 - AFL Round 21

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