2016 AFL - Round 12

[Robo87]

I'm liking 30 touches @7.40 TBH

Only problem is if Clarko plays him at HF with the doubts on Gunnar

IF Smith does play HF due to Gunner out, i'd be backing Smith 3goals@16 SB perhaps

 

[ash_1050]

Essendon/Hawthorn-U185.5 (UBET)

Tailed for 1U.

 

[Robo87]

I'm liking 30 touches @7.40 TBH

Only problem is if Clarko plays him at HF with the doubts on Gunnar

Here you go:
"Neither the Bombers nor the Hawks have made any changes for tonight's game. Jack Gunston has been named on the half-forward flank." -AFL's late mail.

 

[2006_Eagles]

Here you go:
"Neither the Bombers nor the Hawks have made any changes for tonight's game. Jack Gunston has been named on the half-forward flank." -AFL's late mail.

Thanks Robo

 

[X_box_X]

This could end badly but no book decided to put an over/under out of Zaka so I explored different options and this is the best I could come up with for a middle.

2u Zaharakis o24.5 disposals at $2.20 w TAB
1.2u Merrett more disposals than Zaharakis at $1.87 w Ozbet
1.2u Merrett u28.5 disposals at $1.85

Zaharakis o29.5 disposals at $4 w TAB

 

[ALL IN]

Can cash out the $250 outlay for $380 right now.

What do you guys think?

I think ur crazy not to cash out if they are offering that much

 

[ALL IN]

This could end badly but no book decided to put an over/under out of Zaka so I explored different options and this is the best I could come up with for a middle.

2u Zaharakis o24.5 disposals at $2.20 w TAB
1.2u Merrett more disposals than Zaharakis at $1.87 w Ozbet
1.2u Merrett u28.5 disposals at $1.85

Zaharakis o29.5 disposals at $4 w TAB

Very clever

 

[ALL IN]

This could end badly but no book decided to put an over/under out of Zaka so I explored different options and this is the best I could come up with for a middle.

2u Zaharakis o24.5 disposals at $2.20 w TAB
1.2u Merrett more disposals than Zaharakis at $1.87 w Ozbet
1.2u Merrett u28.5 disposals at $1.85

Zaharakis o29.5 disposals at $4 w TAB

Crownbet has Zaharakis Over/Under 27.5 btw

 

[ricardogp]

Just a small flutter on Hawks - 51.5 / under 185.5 tonight. As long as Hawthorn don't go into cruise control.

Also tailed Smith and Zaharakis for 30 disposals.

 

[X_box_X]

Crownbet has Zaharakis Over/Under 27.5 btw

Yeah, not gonna take $1.60...

 

[Cosmogramma]

And if Essendon are first to 40?

Lol

 

[Boxhead182]

Hawthorn -52.5

 

[ALL IN]

Not worrying about middles or Arbs for this I just chucked a 100 bucks on over @ $2.30. Not much else I can really come up with for this game and it seems like value to me. He's been over 6 of 11 this year and very close on a couple of other occasions. Last time he had a poor game after Jacobs tagged him he bounced back with 31 the following week.

 

[X_box_X]

Did anyone get on Pittonet at $410 for first goal? TAB stuffed up.

 

[freo_leo29]

So ladbrokes apparently has a 25+ and 30+ disposal market anyone know when this market opens for each game?

chucked a tenner on hartung 30+@10 and 25+@ 2.75 because these odds were quite a bit higher then sportsbets

Could be a friday night only market i suppose but it wasn't there yesterday


Also Zaka was 2.00 for under 25 on luxbet btw

 

[mookieb]

Think this game might be closer than expected (and this was before that embarrassing Daniher goal). Essendon has been pretty competitive every second week and it's a pretty average Hawks side with a tendency to cruise.

On Hawks -20.5 and at $1.05 and on the under total in-play and looking for an in-play bet on the Hawks in the 2nd half when they put the hammer down.

Edit: that was before the two embarrassing Daniher goals.

 

[freo_leo29]

thanks to whoever suggest smith for 3+ goals chucked a fiver on that and 15 on him to kick a goal@1.76 and its already paid for itself

 

[Robo87]

thanks to whoever suggest smith for 3+ goals chucked a fiver on that and 15 on him to kick a goal@1.76 and its already paid for itself

haha, well i only suggested 3+ if smith played HF and gunston was left out tonight. I didnt put anything on it myself cause gunston is playing tonight.
Nice pick with anytime goal @1.76 though.

 

[Jay-Z]

Wow. Hawks behinds unders screwed already

 

[vdub]

8u -25 Hawks 1.16

 

[Robo87]

Wow. Hawks behinds unders screwed already

i know right.. :/
here's hoping they can kick better in the 2nd for dusty's tip:

Hawthorn under 3.5 behinds 2nd quarter @ $2.10 - gone under 10/11 times this season, 2nd quarter is their worst overall whilst Essendon's median loss for the quarter is by 5 thus expect it to be reasonably competitive until blowing out sometime in the 2nd half.

 

[mookieb]

Think this game might be closer than expected (and this was before that embarrassing Daniher goal). Essendon has been pretty competitive every second week and it's a pretty average Hawks side with a tendency to cruise.

On Hawks -20.5 and at $1.05 and on the under total in-play and looking for an in-play bet on the Hawks in the 2nd half when they put the hammer down.

Edit: that was before the two embarrassing Daniher goals.

Geez got this wrong. Bombers looked cooked.

 

[Dusty3]

i know right.. :/
here's hoping they can kick better in the 2nd for dusty's tip:

That first quarter is very worrying, volume of scoring shots a massive worry.

 

[Atavistic]

Hawthorn -52.5

Got on this too. Seemed like a generous line given that we couldn't get anywhere near Freo.

 

[Jay-Z]

That first quarter is very worrying, volume of scoring shots a massive worry.

Well done Dusty. 7 in q1, 0 in q2. Amazing