iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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FWIW on my projections I have 3 games between 8th and 9th
2016 AFL - Round 9
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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- Jun 23, 2014
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Still too far out, so many things could go wrong.
I need to stop being blinded by pre season/end of last season assessments too though.
I need to stop being blinded by pre season/end of last season assessments too though.
Line was -11.5 before port lost to Carlton, is now -24.5, and is going to move back to single figures?
I think West Coast win comfortably this week. Pretty happy to take the -24.5 now but will wait in case there's more movement first.
- Jun 23, 2014
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I said could close single figures, not it will. Probably closes mid teens all things equal (no unexpected outs or whatever)
pretty confident it doesn't drift. Been far better at predicting line movements than picking winners this year hah
Totals formulated off F & A points
Hawks v swans 186.79 SB 192.50
Pies v cats 185.33 SB 188.50
Suns v crows 195.39 SB 203.50
Port v eagles 186.39 SB 193.50
Roos v blues 180.29 SB 185.50
Demons v lions 195.36 SB 199.50
Giants v dogs 181.79 SB 192.50
Saints v ESS 179.80 SB 180.50
No point posting freo v tigers total,books are factoring the forecasted wet weather.
Hawks v swans 186.79 SB 192.50
Pies v cats 185.33 SB 188.50
Suns v crows 195.39 SB 203.50
Port v eagles 186.39 SB 193.50
Roos v blues 180.29 SB 185.50
Demons v lions 195.36 SB 199.50
Giants v dogs 181.79 SB 192.50
Saints v ESS 179.80 SB 180.50
No point posting freo v tigers total,books are factoring the forecasted wet weather.
I have 0.25, crows draw pretty tough comparatively
iluvparis
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You should be laying them big on betfair then
Don't like futures much
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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Don't like laying borderline $2 shots at $1.30?
Its more
(A) have lots of confidence in my week to week stuff and not much in futures, therefore
(B) do not wish to tie up funds in futures
- Jun 23, 2014
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didn't you have eagles on top earlyish last year and not bet them?
y no confidence
balmainforever
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OPENING POST UPDATED
ODDS AT 23:15 ON 16/05/16
ODDS AT 23:15 ON 16/05/16
Dees line too high I reckon.. dont trust the dees to get over 120 and brisbane to get 80... also wiling to roll dice on the nice low total of 155.5 for freo richmond.. BOM FORECAST is
Perth area
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.
but the days either side of that are fine, if the storm clears in morning... surely this total goes up if no rain during game>
Perth area
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.
but the days either side of that are fine, if the storm clears in morning... surely this total goes up if no rain during game>
Derzzy
Debutant
- Feb 2, 2016
- 58
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- GWS
I know i promised myself i wouldn't bet on collingwood again this season....but i think taking them at the +35 line this week is worth considering
2 months ago, almost the exact same side took on a full strength Geelong side at Skilled Stadium and beat them pretty convincingly in the preseason....I know its just the pre-season, so can't take much out of it...but still.
I'm definitely not saying collingwood will win, but something to think about.
2 months ago, almost the exact same side took on a full strength Geelong side at Skilled Stadium and beat them pretty convincingly in the preseason....I know its just the pre-season, so can't take much out of it...but still.
I'm definitely not saying collingwood will win, but something to think about.
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
If Collingwood get within 35 of Geelong I'll buy you 3 cartons of your favorite poison
James Premium thanks mate
Is anyone taking a chance on the Freo Rich game @ O154.5. A lot of rain predicted.
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
How popular is J Boag up on the goldy?
Not as popular as the local stuff but its in all the bottleO's....need ot on Tap
Windguru (Leighton beach) is constantly changing what time the rain is going to fall with the most intensity.
NB: windguru (Leighton beach) was close to spot on when the rain would hit Perth during the Eagles v saints clash.
The forecast saying winds turning Sou west during the morning could hopefully lead to some rapid clearing by bounce down.
I'm with the previous poster. Top 8 is Set!
WC will make it easy. Front runner at home and good % wins.
Does anyone reckon the doggies will try turn their clash into a defensive scrap?
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
They'll definitely try, absolutely. They have the 2nd best defence in the comp (behind Geelong by 3 points). Having said that, stopping GWS has become probably the hardest thing to do in football, good luck to them.
I remember a game when Essendon where at their top around baby bombers time I think.The Bulldogs went in to the game big underdogs against a rampaging offensive bomber outfit.The Dogs where aware that if they where to play an open game they would more likely get beat.They went in with tactics to close the game right up.Plenty of ball ups no space to the opposition and tackle ferociously.The end result was the Dogs winning the game and upsetting the Powerhouse.This game has gone down in history as a true memorable great.There's no sure thing in Footy
