Bucking Beads
Brownlow Medallist
Leppa not a fan of the draw
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2 games v Gold Coast, West Coast, Port Adelaide, Geelong and Carlton.
Good luck.
Carlton play Brisbane, Essendon, Collingwood, St Kilda and Sydney twice.
St Kilda play North, Western, Carlton, Essendon and Melbourne twice.
I haven't looked at the other clubs but on the face of it it seems things are a little tougher for us than some of the other teams around us.
Big teams at home and plenty of YES Saturday games compared to last seasons Sunday's games, and 6 genuine Melb. games6 games in Melbourne, plenty of winnable games and our requests of Hawthorn & Collingwood at the GABBA were granted.
The club would see this draw as a win by a big margin.
At the end of the day, every year we'll have to play the teams at the top - eventually we'll have to start beating them to get back to the top.
I'd figure the bolded games are the trickier games, so basically the difference is that Carlton and St Kilda play each other. That doesn't seem hugely out of line - and if trendlines from this season follow, our double games actually look a lot better with only West Coast of the best clubs, versus Sydney Carlton) and North and the Dogs (St Kilda).
My highly subjective view is that Port and Geelong are likely to do better in 2016, while Sydney, North and Western are likely to do worse.
I've always been a reversion to the mean kind of guy, rather than a trendliner.
If you're using previous years as a club's "mean", wouldn't that mean you expect Sydney (4,1,4,3 last four years) and North (8,6,10,8 last four years) to stay roughly the same? I'm not sure it makes much sense if you're using 50% wins as the mean in AFL.
Where do the "Scum" play their home games?