AFL 2019 - AFL Round 5

[Keystone agony]

Jumping on Jarryd Lyons under 86.5 fantasy points @ 1.88 (Beteasy).

Under this line in all 4 games this season. Hasn't quite strung it together.

Will follow 1U... not expecting great scores at the gabba tomorrow night in slightly greasy conditions whether usual humidity or rain

1U Witherden over D.Rich. Always been the better fantasy scorer and coming into form recently.

1U Zorko over Mcluggage -12.5
1U Rich U86.5

Beteasy

 

[qarocks]

Essendon should win easily, thinking them +16.5 @1.20
Or
Gws to beat the line of -17.5 @1.30

 

[qarocks]

Also thinking:
Ess +16.5
Gws -69.5
Osbourne bulls Place
$9.24

 

[RooTed]

Essendon should win easily, thinking them +16.5 @1.20
Or
Gws to beat the line of -17.5 @1.30

U could do Roos/Dons Either team by 39 or less is $1.25 on SB?

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Mazza1234678]

Pies @ 1.66

Yes please

Brissy coming off a 5 day break and I think people are hyping them up way too much

Beat a second string weagles team up there, a shithouse north side and then just scraped through against the power who just lost to richmonds VFL side at home

I’ll take the pies to get The chocolates at that decent price

 

[NonPhixion]

Pies @ 1.66

Yes please

Brissy coming off a 5 day break and I think people are hyping them up way too much

Beat a second string weagles team up there, a shithouse north side and then just scraped through against the power who just lost to richmonds VFL side at home

I’ll take the pies to get The chocolates at that decent price

I like your confidence as a supporter, but this Brisbane team is no joke and at home they pose a threat to absolutely any team. I’m most worried about the lions small fwd’s. but if you like Pies, lads have $2 special, max $50 bet

 

[JuniorWatch]

Lads also have Coll win, degoey 3+ Goals for $4.50 which about 50% over other multis.

 

[benji21]

Neale over 33.5 vs pies @1.87 at ladbrokes.
Over 40 tempting at 3.75 by Sportsbet

 

[freo_leo29]

.1u GWS -79.5 @9 SB PYOL

Freo away from home and coming off a derby

 

[csnody]

I like your confidence as a supporter, but this Brisbane team is no joke and at home they pose a threat to absolutely any team. I’m most worried about the lions small fwd’s. but if you like Pies, lads have $2 special, max $50 bet

Not to mention the record breaking crowd they are expecting there. A large crowd = a few more free kicks.

 

[Keystone agony]

I love the Brisbane value at odds of 2.50/2.60

People have mentioned how hard it is to play the gabba and slipperiness if a humid night/night game really brings guus like McCarthy, Cameon, Zorko,Raybed into the mix as dangerous forwards. Theyre gonna be hard to beat this year at home. I feel they will want a little bit of redemption from bombers game.

Pies not going overly well are they. They always travel well and have an extra day but like the lions value. Stef Martin matches Grundy pretty damn well.

Surely Stkilda at 3s is way overs or at the line

Like Sydney aswell a banged up Richmond in which i dont think Houli or Riewoldt are Risked. How does Astbury go on Buddy. Sydney desperate to savour season and get an away win will be pumped up id suspect.

Like Z.Jones, Parker, Sinclair,JPK onball brigade. Cunningham in form on a wing. As is rising Florent.

Papley, Buddy, Heeney, Reid, Hayward if fit can cause enough damage forward.

Mills, Lloyd, Thurlow, Aliir down back

Hewett to nullify Dusty completely.

young Tigers/tigers general complacent with last weeks big win

 

[csnody]

Ladbrokes has Lachie Neale 33 or more touches and Brisbane win $5

 

[Keystone agony]

1U Brisbane 1-39 @3
1U Witherden over Rich
1U Zorko (-12.5) over Mcluggage
1U Rich U86.5
1U J.Lyons U86.5
0.6U C.Brown AGS @3.25 lads
1U Grundy U115.5
1U Neale u120.5
1u Trelaor U109.5

 

[demon_fanatic]

1U Brisbane 1-39 @3
1U Witherden over Rich
1U Zorko (-12.5) over Mcluggage
1U Rich U86.5
1U J.Lyons U86.5
0.6U C.Brown AGS @3.25 lads
1U Grundy U115.5
1U Neale u120.5
1u Trelaor U109.5

Game total down to 170.5 tonight at sportsbet,n pies out to 1.68 at crown plus you get your winnings doubled on the first $25 staked

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Bris
Ess
Mel -16.5
Syd +15.5
Adel
Gee -14.5

@ 30.55

 

[Keystone agony]

Think North are a big good chance against dons aswell. North gain some much needed confidence and know hey must keep winning. If a complacent dons team turns up after 2 wins then good chance they get rolled.

Underdogs Sydney, Brisbane, Saints and North the best chances for me this week

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u Zorko AGS $1.76 lads
3u Adams 25+, BTTS 60+ $1.80 lads
2u either team under 24.5 $1.80 neds

 

[mouncey2franklin]

2u Zorko AGS $1.76 lads

One goal from his last six matches, after a run of eighteen matches where he scored at least one goal per game.

Interesting to say the least.

 

[benji21]

Pies -1.5 first qtr @1.88, pretty decent first qtrs and lions tend to give up a small lead then chase it down

 

[Ohh Ok]

One goal from his last six matches, after a run of eighteen matches where he scored at least one goal per game.

Interesting to say the least.

You’re not a fan?

 

[mookieb]

I love the Brisbane value at odds of 2.50/2.60

People have mentioned how hard it is to play the gabba and slipperiness if a humid night/night game really brings guus like McCarthy, Cameon, Zorko,Raybed into the mix as dangerous forwards. Theyre gonna be hard to beat this year at home. I feel they will want a little bit of redemption from bombers game.

Pies not going overly well are they. They always travel well and have an extra day but like the lions value. Stef Martin matches Grundy pretty damn well.

Surely Stkilda at 3s is way overs or at the line

Like Sydney aswell a banged up Richmond in which i dont think Houli or Riewoldt are Risked. How does Astbury go on Buddy. Sydney desperate to savour season and get an away win will be pumped up id suspect.

Like Z.Jones, Parker, Sinclair,JPK onball brigade. Cunningham in form on a wing. As is rising Florent.

Papley, Buddy, Heeney, Reid, Hayward if fit can cause enough damage forward.

Mills, Lloyd, Thurlow, Aliir down back

Hewett to nullify Dusty completely.

young Tigers/tigers general complacent with last weeks big win

Disagree with a bit of this.

Bris were 1W 6L at home vs top 8 last year so relatively uncompetitive at home vs top teams.

As another poster mentioned their wins have been against a WC team that didn't turn up after quarter time, they overran a weak NM team and overran a Port team with injuries to Gray and Rockliff that subsequently lost to a weak Rich team at home. You're right that Coll aren't travelling well - been ordinary in 3 of 4 games but they're a top 4 team and should beat Bris who I don't think will make finals.

If you like Bris small forwards what about De Goey, Elliott, Thomas, Stephenson and Varcoe?

With a big crowd, Beams return and both sides disappointing last week then I expect both teams to be pumped up.

Might be some good value hedging. Coll are very fast starters this year (limited sample size obviously) and Bris have been poor (1 vs 16). SB promo on Coll or Bris come out firing after the Ess debacle and a big crowd? Neale 33 touches and Bris win at $5 looks fantastic value as does Bris 1-39 at $3 if you like the Lions.

Amazed Greenwood isn't playing. Shut down Dusty then plays but no tagging job and gets dropped. Then Bont destroys Coll and now Neale on fire and will be able to run free.

I reckon Syd midfield has been ordinary for a long time. Middle of last season on they just didn't generate enough I50's. Syd backline has certainly gotten worse and they're not kicking goals. With Dusty back and Houli and at the MCG I expect they'll cover the line.

I've found that teams coming off 2 very bad losses then have a breakout game tend to follow it up the next week. I don't expect Rich to be flat and Syd shouldn't be either I just think that Syd's form might well mirror where they are at rather than poor form.

As above think Melb will kick on with some momentum after last week. Not that impressed with the Saints - just beat Hawks without 4 midfielders and 2 backs down for the game. They've been solid for 4 games so surely a down game is on the cards.

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Collingwood 1-39
Collingwood Qtr Time Leader
Adams 25+
Beams 25+

1u @ $6.00

 

[2notepockets]

Most disposals:
GRP 1
Beams 1U @ 8.5
Zorko 0.5U @ 56

GRP 2
Phillips 1U @ 4.33
Hodge 0.5U @ 46

 

[NonPhixion]

Sidebottom O25.5 @1.90 PB

 

[bettingonbetts]

Hellboy101 hi