2019 planning

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What do you see him averaging? Worth the coin over the likes of Collins and Clark?
Based off the data I can see he scored 70 & 92 in the JLT with 81% & 77% game time ranking him 5th and 3rd for Essendon for points. He also has 3 years in the system and played 3 games last year with a debut score of 89.

If he can score like that in the regular season he will easily out score all of the other rookies.
 
Based off the data I can see he scored 70 & 92 in the JLT with 81% & 77% game time ranking him 5th and 3rd for Essendon for points. He also has 3 years in the system and played 3 games last year with a debut score of 89.

If he can score like that in the regular season he will easily out score all of the other rookies.
Yeah fair call there. I can’t see why he couldn’t do 75

Collins and Clark probably 60-65 so could be worth the extra coin
 

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Yeah fair call there. I can’t see why he couldn’t do 75

Collins and Clark probably 60-65 so could be worth the extra coin
Has been given the Goddard role, I'm keen but will Redman take it off him when he's back?
 
Selwood is my sneaky one and he's who I've been monitoring all pre-season. If he can cruise around and do what he wants, he'll rip games apart. Duncan as I've said before, is in there as a placeholder so I can see who I want around that mark, and at this point, Selwood is the go. Dangerfield will get tagged, but he'll break it and still get his 100-110. If Selwood plays on the wings and in the backline like he did tonight, he's in for a huge year.

Btw, he's missed not many games at all and been concussed only twice in his career. He's as reliable as they come, even though the media frame him in a different light

P.S. Parfitt is out as a lock, as it looks like our midfield will be a rotation of Danger, Kelly, Sel, Duncan, Narkle, Parf, Guthrie, Menegola, and Dahlhaus, Ablett and Constable (if he plays). The only lock in that midfield is Danger right now, as all the others are rotating everywhere. Selwood is going wherever he wants to go, which is exactly what we want. Still think Constable won't play round 1, despite how well he's going. Atkins and Clark will be the likely in's.

Btw, as some extra info for people looking to pick Geelong players, this is what our setup is looking like (with an obvious margin of error)

B: Bews, Blics, Stewart
HB: Tuohy, Taylor, Henry
C: Selwood, Parfitt, Duncan
FO: Stanley, Danger, Kelly
HF: Dahlhaus, Ratugolea, Ablett
F: Rohan, Hawkins, Atkins
INT: Clark, Menegola, Guthrie, Narkle

EMG: Henderson, Constable, Fort/Abbott/Smith, Scooter


Right now, Constable is first or second in line for a spot. He'll play at least 10 games this year, but not sure about Round 1. Parfitt displayed why I can't trust him at this point, as we're inundated with mids.

Dahlhaus is another sneaky one, as he'll play all 22 games if fit, and will tackle and get mid time.

Hope that helps everyone!
Atkins is in the mix as a bench option but I feel he will definitely end up one of those annoying rookies who doesnt make enough cash. Just looks like we will have to be happy with a couple of them in our teams, wish he was a forward though as he fits the classic low scoring fwd rookie cover mould

Is Miers any chance?
 
Interestingly Fisher is only in 3% of teams.
My POD currently as 3rd year breakout, guaranteed lots of mid/wing time and priced at 70. I think he can average 90+.

On another note, lack of $170k rooks on defense sucks currently:(
Fisher is on my watchlist. If i go crazy before Round 1 and feel like I need more cash for Rookies i may drop Smith down to him.
 
I think people are saying "he'll average 90+" a little too frivolously.

68 players averaged 90+ last season (excluding those with under a handful of games). If you look through the list of 68, they're all familiar names with the odd surprise like McDonald who was bang on 90. I'd suggest thinking of that when you're expecting a mid-pricer coming back from injury or a largely unknown quantity like Fisher to go 90+...

90+ avg by club below in case anyone finds that interesting

1552016767938.png
 
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I think people are saying "he'll average 90+" a little too frivolously.

68 players averaged 90+ last season (excluding those with under a handful of games). If you look through the list of 68, they're all familiar names with the odd surprised like McDonald who was bang on 90. I'd suggest thinking of that when you're expecting a mid-pricer coming back off injury or a largely unknown quantity like Fisher to go 90+...

90+ avg by club below in case anyone finds that interesting

View attachment 631363
Yeah I think a lot are getting carried away with the prices of players. Happy to give a few a go, probably one on each line, but made the mistake last year of over complicating the whole thing. Guns and rookies (3/3 in forward and back, 4/3 with a breakout player in mid) should get you close to a full team by the bye rounds or slightly after once you factor in the usual fantasy bullshit.

Slightly different this year with the lack of genuine rookies so have changed it up a bit to squeeze in one “midpricer” per line (Williams D4, Crouch M5 and Kelly F3/possibly Worpel, at this stage) and have picked slightly underpriced “guns” to pay for it, Taranto M4, Witherden D3, Heeney F2. Taranto Witherden and Heeney are safe to at the very least hold their price, while I’d expect Williams Crouch and Kelly to rise easily anywhere between 100-200k each fairly quickly. Making 2 very easy upgrades per line from 600k+ to an uber premo and 1-2 of them hopefully becoming keepers.

Not game enough to fill my whole team with them though so just picking the best of the bunch and positions 1-2 are just going to be two of the best 3 on each line. Forward line is the difficult one, not really any clear standouts of guns or rooks other than Danger and Setters.
 

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Yeah I think a lot are getting carried away with the prices of players. Happy to give a few a go, probably one on each line, but made the mistake last year of over complicating the whole thing. Guns and rookies (3/3 in forward and back, 4/3 with a breakout player in mid) should get you close to a full team by the bye rounds or slightly after once you factor in the usual fantasy bullshit.

Slightly different this year with the lack of genuine rookies so have changed it up a bit to squeeze in one “midpricer” per line (Williams D4, Crouch M5 and Kelly F3/possibly Worpel, at this stage) and have picked slightly underpriced “guns” to pay for it, Taranto M4, Witherden D3, Heeney F2. Taranto Witherden and Heeney are safe to at the very least hold their price, while I’d expect Williams Crouch and Kelly to rise easily anywhere between 100-200k each fairly quickly. Making 2 very easy upgrades per line from 600k+ to an uber premo and 1-2 of them hopefully becoming keepers.

Not game enough to fill my whole team with them though so just picking the best of the bunch and positions 1-2 are just going to be two of the best 3 on each line. Forward line is the difficult one, not really any clear standouts of guns or rooks other than Danger and Setters.

What is interesting this year though is the real dearth of quality rooks. I've always tried to go guns and rooks (with maybe 1 or 2 max mid-pricers) every year I've played but this year it's just incredibly difficult. Maybe some rookies will excel in JLT 2 and help us out a bit but atm there's only 2 rookies I'm confident in (Setters and Walsh) and both aren't even 170k.

Having a 2-3-3 rookie structure almost looks impossible atm and even if enough do get a game I reckon you'd be copping some awful scores on field. Laird probably goes 110 but if you'v got a rookie averaging 50 playing every week you might actually be better off with a Smith/Libba or Worpel type setup.
 
love your team. similar to mine in that I'm going 3 premiums in the middle to bolster up the backs and forwards. I've also gone the grundy/gawn combo.
I've gone for Newman in the backline which is equivalent to you having Walters in your fwd line.
Cheers, I am also thinking about getting in Newman if he goes well in JLT2. Could potentially go Witho to Newman which frees up a lot of cash. I could then go for more expensive rookies like Ridley in defence. It won't solve my problem at F6 though. I just know that my F6 rookie, whoever it may be, is going to give me a 40 at least every second week. But that's the price you pay if you want all of Macrae, Grundy and Gawn.
 
What is interesting this year though is the real dearth of quality rooks. I've always tried to go guns and rooks (with maybe 1 or 2 max mid-pricers) every year I've played but this year it's just incredibly difficult. Maybe some rookies will excel in JLT 2 and help us out a bit but atm there's only 2 rookies I'm confident in (Setters and Walsh) and both aren't even 170k.

Having a 2-3-3 rookie structure almost looks impossible atm and even if enough do get a game I reckon you'd be copping some awful scores on field. Laird probably goes 110 but if you'v got a rookie averaging 50 playing every week you might actually be better off with a Smith/Libba or Worpel type setup.
Yeah I see the point there but the other side to this is getting all the players out and up to 750k+ players at once might be a struggle, unless you’re sure a few of them can be keepers (only ones I see in that camp are Kelly and possibly Newman at a D5/6).

Still going to take 2 trades to get them upgraded but you’re going to need to upgrade more players. There’s not really enough trades to pick all of them which is why I’m on the fence a little and just picking a few of the best looking ones and hope I can find a few more rooks this weekend.
 
**** I just noticed Bewley is an emergency
Season preview, the story of 2019 'the non playing rookies. The shorter JLT (2games) so less time for rookies to shine could be a fantasy team killer come round 1. Complete reshuffle incoming.

This is exactly what I thought might happen. At this point, Atkins, Walsh and possibly Drew and Parker, are the only one's I'm confident on playing
 
View attachment 631396
Here's my team, with only 7k left.

With news that Bewley is an emergency (so probs won't debut Round 1), McAdam not much of a chance of playing and Cavarra not getting a gig either, I think you might need a reshuffle. My sacrifice would probably be Whit to B. Smith or Newman or something similar and one of the two big rucks down to Goldstein/Witts etc. Gives you a bit to play with and means that you can turn Constable or Gibbons into a Cousins.

Don't think Sel is a possibility for your team, unless you're willing to drop Gawn to a Kreuzer for first two rounds and then bring in Mummy Round 3 and go down that path.

Our midfields would be identical if you did that (and brought in Cousins), haha
 
I'm confident there will be enough Rookies picked Round 1 (maybe that's just hope though)

I'm not, like at all. Here's my reason why:

Screen Shot 2019-03-08 at 7.28.02 pm.png

Elliot Yeo is just crossed off for me due to a few hunches, but the rest are highlighted based on locks in my team (green), consideration in my team (yellow), unknown due to not much info (grey) and out of contention (red).

Those who are out of contention are out based on low scoring ability, role change, injury or no inclusion in JLT 2 squads.

As you can see, not that many rooks remain. I suspect Collins might not play, as well as Jack Scrimshaw. Duursma hopefully scores better this week, so he should be yellowed as well. Still, I'm not confident on many of these at all

I really hope we get some left field ones Round 1, otherwise, we're gonna be in a world of pain, haha

EDIT: Jack Macrae should be a lock too* (green, not yellow)
 

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