AFL 2020 - AFL Round 11 (no aftertiming allowed)

[dontlimitme]

it's 100% up and there

 

[GROTTO]

click total behinds and scroll down?

The first the image is the Eagles game. The 2nd is the Roos game. I can see the Behinds market for Roos.

Not Eagles.

 

[GROTTO]

it's 100% up and there

Technically we are both right.

Its there, when I go onto a proxy server.

They have closed the market for me.

 

[dontlimitme]

Technically we are both right.

Its there, when I go onto a proxy server.

They have closed the market for me.

oh need to be a shit punter like me <3

 

[GROTTO]

 

[GROTTO]

oh need to be a sh*t punter like me <3

But I like giving them charity donations too.

 

[GROTTO]

Weird still not there but they've completely adjusted the market!

They have hidden the market from you, see above post.

 

[tangolikelama]

They have hidden the market from you, see above post.

Yeah which is ****ing bizarre! They make a killing off me!

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

No easy touches for Gaff
Plenty of stoppages for Kelly, Yeo and Cripps

 

[AP3XS]

No easy touches for Gaff
Plenty of stoppages for Kelly, Yeo and Cripps

View attachment 931215

Tailed. For 0.3u @ $27. I don't have the balls to bet $100 at $27.

 

[JuniorWatch]

SPS AGS @ $6 - will play forward or mid, loves the slop as well

You just getting this from the Cottrell in? Cottrell to play HB pushing SPS fwd?

 

[Robo87]

Also same strategy bet as the behinds in the GWS game

50$ WCE 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 3.75 (SB)
30$ WCE 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 11 (SB)
10$ WCE 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 71 (SB)
5$ WCE 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
5$ WCE 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

Like this strategy if Ryan is kicking for goals..

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Also same strategy bet as the behinds in the GWS game

50$ WCE 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 3.75 (SB)
30$ WCE 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 11 (SB)
10$ WCE 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 71 (SB)
5$ WCE 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
5$ WCE 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

They're onto you.



11-12 and 13+ have come right in.

9-10 has gone out, I'm tempted to have a dabble on that just for teh lulz.

 

[GROTTO]

Like this strategy if Ryan is kicking for goals..

Its times like these you wish you had Neale out there.

 

[GROTTO]

They're onto you.

View attachment 931263

11-12 and 13+ have come right in.

9-10 has gone out, I'm tempted to have a dabble on that just for teh lulz.

TBH I cant see the Eagles kicking that many points. Game will probably be played between the arcs.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

TBH I cant see the Eagles kicking that many points. Game will probably be played between the arcs.

I see Carlton getting out to a four goal lead, West Coast -15.5 going out to 15s, me placing a live bet on West Coast -15.5, West Coast getting out to a 24 point lead half way through the fourth before two late goals some Blues spud ruin my bet. You heard it here first.

 

[dontlimitme]

$50 P Cripps Most Disposals Group A Ladbrokes @ 5.50

 

[NYRB]

Like the look of behinds, can see Carlton rushing a few behinds with the Eagles pressure. The thing with wet weather footy, once its stuck in one forward line, or behinds are rushed through, there can be a general trend of more behinds coming through in short time. Look at the Freo v Geelong match as an example in torrential rain a few weeks back.

Last 3 bets I've lost on behinds but just short by 1 in each of those 3.(one of them was a win- but it could have been much much more) Had Hipwood or Lyons missed their shots yesterday late in the 2nd quarter, I would have been profit, same too for Elliot against Sydney the other night. Brisbane training definitely been working. I know West Coast traditionally aren't a high behind scoring side but at those odds you can't refuse it.

West Coast are going in with a squad top heavy in tall players, i'm not sure how flexible and potent they can be in comparison if it was a day match. Can see the ball dropping onto ground and ball being slippery- which affects Kennedy, Darling, Waterman, Oscar Allen and co.


I watched a game last year, where West Coast played at home in the wet against then , an average Port Adelaide side, and they were smashed by 7 goals at Perth Stadium. A small forward topped the goal tally that night with 5 goals, so there is definitely a 'top heavy aspect' to this West Coast team- they aren't as good in the wet as they are in the day. May be worth a play on a small forward to top the goal tally for West Coast ? Thinking Jamie Cripps or Ah Chee are worth a tenner to sneak up for a goal or two, and even top the goals for the Coasters. Ah Chee snuck up for a few goals last night, so think his brother who is a specialist small forward could do the same. 2 or 3 goals for a small forward might be good enough to win the 'Most Goals' market.



Top Goalscorers for the match:

Jamie Cripps @ $23 (Sportsbet)
Jarrod Cameron @ $36 (Sportsbet)
Ah Chee @ $34 (BetEasy)

Also having a play on Cripps 2+ @ $7.50, Cameron 2+ @ $11, Ah Chee 2+ @ $9.50




Going to play the behinds market again:

Carlton Behinds 1st Qtr:
4 Behinds @ $20
5 Behinds @ $61

Carlton Behinds 1st Half:
7-8 Behinds @ $36

West Coast Behinds 1st Qtr
4 Behinds @ $11
5 Behinds @ $26

West Coast Behinds 2nd Qtr:
5 Behinds @ $26

West Coast Behinds 3rd Qtr:
5 Behinds @ $26

West Coast Behinds 4th Qtr:
5 Behinds @ $26

West Coast Behinds 1st Half
7-8 Behinds @ $12
9-10 Behinds @ $101

 

[mcfly7]

SPS AGS @ $6 - will play forward or mid, loves the slop as well

Thanks, tailed

 

[NYRB]

Sportsbet have Josh Kennedy as a $1.08 anytime goalscorer. In the rain, no player should be under $1.50 in my opinion.


Couldn't they have a market for Under/Over 0.5 goals for Josh Kennedy?

 

[NonPhixion]

SPS AGS @ $6 - will play forward or mid, loves the slop as well

where do you see the positional shift, did he train as a forward this week ?

 

[TryAnHit]

Sportsbet have Josh Kennedy as a $1.08 anytime goalscorer. In the rain, no player should be under $1.50 in my opinion.


Couldn't they have a market for Under/Over 0.5 goals for Josh Kennedy?

They offer mug prices for mugs.... If they had a .5 line every smarty would smash the unders

 

[sneak]

No easy touches for Gaff
Plenty of stoppages for Kelly, Yeo and Cripps

View attachment 931215

added carl +18.5
0.1u @$59

 

[NYRB]

Also think the week break will do West Coast wonders, team will be super fresh today , in their own comfort surroundings. Should give a full 4 quarter effort today.
SGM:

West Coast (-4.5 points 1st qtr ) , WCE first to 10 pts in 2nd qtr, WCE first to 10 pts in 3rd qtr, WCE first to 10 pts in 4th qtr

Odds: $13.65 boosted to $16.31

 

[Robo87]

Just noticed wc have kicked Ryan out of the fwd pocket and replaced him with sheed. mayb wc are learning. i like it.
1u sheed ags @2.40 sb //edit: @2.50 on lads
0.7u sheed 2g+ @9.5 sb
0.3u sheed 3g+ @41 sb //edit : now @56
cripps also good odds.
1u cripps ags @2.10 sb //edit: @2.15 lads
0.7u cripps 2g+ @7.5 sb
0.3u cripps 3g+ @34 sb