karaoke
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 26, 2013
- 6,814
- 14,571
- AFL Club
- St Kilda
Ed Richards AGS - 2.75 TAB
4/6 in '20
4/6 in '20
AFL 2020 - AFL Round 8
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
squeaky1000
Team Captain
- Apr 30, 2018
- 368
- 967
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
SGM: Touk, Swallow, Smith and Libba 15+ $1.95
Libba over 67.5 fantasy
Libba over 67.5 fantasy
- Oct 6, 2011
- 37,757
- 11,659
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Nathan Brown SGM . I am 0/4 following his tips.
AFL Round 8 Nathan Brown SGM and the reasons according to him.
Head to Head: Western Bulldogs (they have bigger bodies)
Total Points: Under 116.5 pts (wet conditions)
Anytime Goalscorer: Izak Rankine
Total Odds: $6.25
There you go, I placed a bet on that, now I have jinxed the bet. Sorry Rankine backers I didn't want to do this to you guys.
AFL Round 8 Nathan Brown SGM and the reasons according to him.
Head to Head: Western Bulldogs (they have bigger bodies)
Total Points: Under 116.5 pts (wet conditions)
Anytime Goalscorer: Izak Rankine
Total Odds: $6.25
There you go, I placed a bet on that, now I have jinxed the bet. Sorry Rankine backers I didn't want to do this to you guys.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 37,757
- 11,659
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Tailed Ainsworth for 2+ and 3+ as mentioned above. Also taken a nibble at 4+ @ 101. He has kicked 2 goals, in 2 of the 7 matches this season. The odds are overs and worth a play.
I also won on Lachie Weller last week, and have gone for him for goals as well 2+ @ $8, 3+ @ 34, 4+ @ 101. Weller too has kicked 2 goals in 7 matches so far.
Taken a bit of a giggle on Weller 2+, Ainsworth 2+ at odds of $98.00
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,436
- 23,493
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Can hedge Miller assuming Macrae 20+: Miller u20 $2.45 b365
Or hedge/middle " ": Miller u21.5 $2.15 BE
andwhenitcomes
Team Captain
- May 2, 2018
- 445
- 556
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
Odd band of rain sitting around Gold Coast at the moment, not touching anything til close to the bounce I think
- Dec 2, 2017
- 29,313
- 17,884
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Yup I’m keen to hammer Sexton and Day AGS at both around 1.8, if rain comes into play I’m staying away
The total started near 128.5 so anyone betting totals its been calculated in
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
gone for a bit of a yolo free hit sgm at beteasy
gc h2h, swallow most touches gr a, ellis 15+, day ags
@67
gc h2h, swallow most touches gr a, ellis 15+, day ags
@67
That doesn't really seem that outlandish though.
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
yeah true its not really a yolo, more just a free hit bonus bet see what happens. the odds actually seems a bit high for that though imo
Maybe hedge with a bit on Macrae most possies group a. As swallow is the weakest link in the multi imo.
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
i actually dont mind swallow for most touches. paying 19 @ bet easy, about 9-10 elsewhere and his game really suits wet weather footy. dont think i have the nads to do it though, up against macrae, smith and the likes.
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
yeah i dont expect it to get up. just gives me something else to watch for haha
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,980
- 16,060
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Why are the Dogs favourite tonight?
Looking at the teams on paper, I fail to see how the Suns don't take care of the Dogs. Possibly by a big margin.
The teams are similar in terms of experience (each about 1700 games total) and it is at the Suns' home ground, home conditions.
I know some disagree but the AFL is semi-rigged and free kick bulldogs is a thing... until it isn't (e.g. Carlton a couple weeks ago).
Especially with the AFL PR surrounding the Suns this week*, I see the umps leaving the Dogs for dead tonight.
If that happens, watch the Dogs fall apart.
*Rowell calls Gil on the phone to buy a membership, 'record membership total' etc. Check the AFL site to see what I'm talking about.
The Suns beat the Dogs last year, too.
I don't have stats to support it but it seems logical to me that the Suns would do better in slippery conditions than the Dogs.
The Suns train and play in SEQ where it is slippery all time as soon as the sun goes down, whereas the Dogs play under a roof.
What am I missing?
Looking at the teams on paper, I fail to see how the Suns don't take care of the Dogs. Possibly by a big margin.
The teams are similar in terms of experience (each about 1700 games total) and it is at the Suns' home ground, home conditions.
I know some disagree but the AFL is semi-rigged and free kick bulldogs is a thing... until it isn't (e.g. Carlton a couple weeks ago).
Especially with the AFL PR surrounding the Suns this week*, I see the umps leaving the Dogs for dead tonight.
If that happens, watch the Dogs fall apart.
*Rowell calls Gil on the phone to buy a membership, 'record membership total' etc. Check the AFL site to see what I'm talking about.
The Suns beat the Dogs last year, too.
I don't have stats to support it but it seems logical to me that the Suns would do better in slippery conditions than the Dogs.
The Suns train and play in SEQ where it is slippery all time as soon as the sun goes down, whereas the Dogs play under a roof.
What am I missing?
Not trying to troll your bet here but I would be careful with English 15+, forecast is rain so I’d say he loses 3-4 pack marks as he won’t be able to hold onto them with a wet ball. Could still get 15 but I’d be looking at a player like Weller, Daniel, Lipinski who is more suited to finding the footy in wet weather. I could be very wrong though!!
Prochard123
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 28, 2014
- 7,147
- 5,773
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
The teams Gold Coast has beaten are - Sydney, Adelaide, West Coast - 2 bottom 3 sides and a team that looked bottom 3 when they played.
Josh Bruce first 2 goals @ $110 with SB.
Prochard123
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 28, 2014
- 7,147
- 5,773
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Yes but could mean more contests - more chances for him to rove.
I think your train of thought is more relevant to fantasy. Harder to mark - harder for rucks like English to get a +6 (kick & mark)
