AFL 2020 - AFL Round 8

[Hellboy101]

Good chance for minimal risk bet using the pointsbet promo tonight.
150 GC win @2.40 = 360 (pb)
210 WB win @ 1.68 = 352 Lads

Worst case $8 loss. Can cash out lads bet if GC lead at HT for a profit. If get the GC/WB HT/ft double then happy days.

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u Weller 15+, Miller 15+, B.Smith 15+ @ $2 (lads)

 

[NYRB]

Rankine and Bruce to combine for 5+ goals?

Thats paying $4.50

 

[0utsider]

Ed Richards AGS - 2.75 TAB
4/6 in '20

I'd be careful with this one. Hunter out and no natural winger coming in to replace him, players like Vandermeer and Richards will have to spend more time up on the wings.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Will Hayward out of the Swans match. All of my bets on him refunded.

Oh well, I'll find something else to put that money on.

 

[Geeves Train]

Yes but could mean more contests - more chances for him to rove.

I think your train of thought is more relevant to fantasy. Harder to mark - harder for rucks like English to get a +6 (kick & mark)

Agree it means more hit outs but I don’t see how that automatically translates into more possessions, also is if harder for rucks to get +6’s (mark and kick), it is going to mean less kicks imo

 

[GROTTO]

Will Hayward out of the Swans match. All of my bets on him refunded.

Oh well, I'll find something else to put that money on.

I didnt know this till recently but if you have a same game multi and one leg is voided, the entire bet is voided. With Sportsbet, not sure what the others are like.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

And looking at North's changes, I'm even more confident now of my bets on Carlton's three smalls + Cripps.

They've dropped Marley Williams and not brought in any defenders to replace him.

The ins are Zurhaar (medium forward), Anderson (inside mid), LDU (pure mid), Larkey (key forward)

Leaves us with Atley, Pittard and Macmillan as the small/medium defenders.

On the team sheet on afl.com they've listed McDonald in defence however he is likely to go to Cripps.

They've also listed Kyron Hayden in defence and if that happens, trololol, it'll be a goalfest for the Blues.

Maybe Shaw's plan is to put McDonald back in defence instead of tagging, but if that happens, Cripps will destroy us.

What a bizarre selection, to drop a small defender and not replace him, against a team with three genuinely dangerous small forwards.

If I didn't know better, I'd think North were tanking...

---

You can get

@ 68 for for Betts/Martin/Gibbons all 2g+
@ 14 for Betts/Martin both 2g+
@ 23 for Gibbons/Martin both 2g+
@ 14.50 for Gibbons/Betts both 2g+

I've taken the refunded money from my bets on Heyward and put it on these.

 

[GROTTO]

Glory be, Josh Walker named CHF.

Last week named on a Half back flank.

 

[NonPhixion]

im going to try my luck on Jordan Dawson again. started forward last week and only moved down back after an injury to a defender.
2+ $10
3+ $61 SB

 

[Prochard123]

What's the weather like for tonight?

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

SGM

Under 114.5 points
Greenwood 15+
Swallow 15+
Ellis 15+
Libba 15+
Rankine AGS
Vandermeer AGS

0.5u @ $20.25

Bulldogs -5.5
Daniel 15+
Bont 15+
Bowes 15+
Weightman AGS
Ainsworth AGS

0.5u @ $16.25

 

[dontlimitme]

70$ Sam Reid 2+ @ 4.50 (SB)
30$ Sam Reid 3+ @ 17 (SB)

 

[Distinctive_]

Allir Allir named CHB, Sam Reid looks to have taken his spot up up fwd. Those that got on early can still cash out for profit.

Question is whether the team sheet will be accurate game day

 

[demon_fanatic]

not understanding the drift on gold coast can get nearly 2.50 at betfair, think theyll love and perform on primetime and dogs lose Hunter and Dale (albeit for form reasons) the wet conditions should be ok for gold coast too as King is pretty mobile and they have many small forwards who love a goal so i think it is definately a 50/50 game completely... thoughts>?

 

[tangolikelama]

Ready for the greatest bet of all time blokes

Greenwood 15+
Ellis 15+
Bont 15+
Smith 15+
Libba 15+
Swallow 15+
Macrae 20+
Sexton AGS
Gowers AGS
Wallis AGS
King 2+
Rankine 2+
Bruce 2+

@701

 

[Geeves Train]

Allir Allir named CHB, Sam Reid looks to have taken his spot up up fwd. Those that got on early can still cash out for profit.

Question is whether the team sheet will be accurate game day

Was there a price better than $4.50 (2+), $17 (3+)?

 

[Fabab]

Ready for the greatest bet of all time blokes

Greenwood 15+
Ellis 15+
Bont 15+
Smith 15+
Libba 15+
Swallow 15+
Macrae 20+
Sexton AGS
Gowers AGS
Wallis AGS
King 2+
Rankine 2+
Bruce 2+

@701

good luck matey.

 

[Geeves Train]

Ready for the greatest bet of all time blokes

Greenwood 15+
Ellis 15+
Bont 15+
Smith 15+
Libba 15+
Swallow 15+
Macrae 20+
Sexton AGS
Gowers AGS
Wallis AGS
King 2+
Rankine 2+
Bruce 2+

@701

I know this could be said for plenty of SGM’s but that doesn’t look too outlandish at all!!

 

[NYRB]

Gowers 2+ @ 4.50, Billy Gowers 3+ @ 15, Billy Gowers 4+ @ 91
Suckling 2+ @ 5, Suckling 3+ @ 18, Suckling 4+ @ 91

SGM Suckling 2+, Gowers 2+ @ $25

 

[yousnoozeyoulose]

Gowers 2+ @ 4.50, Billy Gowers 3+ @ 15, Billy Gowers 4+ @ 91
Suckling 2+ @ 5, Suckling 3+ @ 18, Suckling 4+ @ 91

SGM Suckling 2+, Gowers 2+ @ $25

Love Gowers options

 

[NYRB]

Ready for the greatest bet of all time blokes

Greenwood 15+
Ellis 15+
Bont 15+
Smith 15+
Libba 15+
Swallow 15+
Macrae 20+
Sexton AGS
Gowers AGS
Wallis AGS
King 2+
Rankine 2+
Bruce 2+

@701

Thats down to $451.00 now on Sportsbet. I may be a bit stingy but if it was $701, id take it not at $451.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I like Swallow for AGS @ 2.80 and 2g+ @ $12.

Kicked two against the Dogs last time they played and 1.2 last week.

Can see a free kick in the forward 50 at a stoppage.

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

not understanding the drift on gold coast can get nearly 2.50 at betfair, think theyll love and perform on primetime and dogs lose Hunter and Dale (albeit for form reasons) the wet conditions should be ok for gold coast too as King is pretty mobile and they have many small forwards who love a goal so i think it is definately a 50/50 game completely... thoughts>?

Suns are no good, media are playing up to it a fair bit, won’t win more than 7-8 games.

 

[NYRB]

i take my word back , ive tailed tangolikelama at odds of $451.00