AFL 2021 AFL Round 13

[jikost]

Xerri in for North to play forward/ruck instead of Tom Campbell. I have no idea who this guy is but i'm on.

Xerri 2+ @ $6 sb
Xerri 3+ @ $23

 

[Snowboardingoz]

Buddy 3+g
Heeney 2+g
Paps 2+g
Big boy Macca 2g+
florent 20 possies+
$82

 

[Atavistic]

Xerri in for North to play forward/ruck instead of Tom Campbell. I have no idea who this guy is but i'm on.

Xerri 2+ @ $6 sb
Xerri 3+ @ $23

But on AGS@Neds@2 as well.

 

[jikost]

McEvoy now listed at full forward. Get on the big boy now if you haven't yet.

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u - O’Meara over 24.5 disposals - $1.90 - TopSport
Cleared 5/8 and averaging well over this. Bit of a low line and set above this everywhere else.

1.5u - Worpel under 22.5 disposals- $1.67 - TopSport
1u - Worpel under 21.5 disposals - $1.96 - SB
Has been in poor form this year and output drops when Wingard, O’Meara, Mitchell are all playing. In the 6 games they’ve all be available this year he has a high of 24 and his only game above 22. Sydney give up the 4th least disposals in the comp so should make it tricky for him.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Newcombe debuting for Hawks. Might be good for a goal yet you can’t find any odds on him apart from 365. No disposal or goal odds on Lads on SB. Pull your finger out campaigners.

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u - Rowbottom, Wingard 15+, Lloyd, Kennedy 20+ disposals - $2.05 - TAB

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Franklin 2
Papley 2
Heeney 2
Morrison 2
McEvoy 2

@ 151 SB

 

[chrisdon16]

SYD HAW o157.5

$1.87 Bet365

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u - Papley 2+ goals - $1.97 - TopSport

 

[chrisdon16]

Sydney -27.5

$1.90 Bluebet

 

[Hak94]

Newcombe debuting for Hawks. Might be good for a goal yet you can’t find any odds on him apart from 365. No disposal or goal odds on Lads on SB. Pull your finger out campaigners.

Bump this! I was looking for odds on him too. Would've thought there would atleast be a 15+ market.

 

[NYRB]

I don't watch much of Hawthorn but my thinking is one of the midfielders can bob up for a goal? Looking at O'Meara, Tom Mitchell and Shiels?

PointsBet Stat Multiplier (Goals x Kicks x Handballs):

Will have a think about the tips and post them about 30 minutes before game time.....

Think the Bud can kick at least 3 goals or more tonight, not sure if he can snag 4. Conditions in Sydney are the coldest on record from what I am hearing? Their maximum temperature yesterday reached 10.3 degrees C, lowest in 37 years. Frost and CJ can match him for size and athleticism at the back and there is the potential for him to get double teamed. It might be better to look elsewhere for goals for Sydney.

Stat Multiplier Records in 2021:

RECORD IN 2021		Occurrences		Occurrences		Occurrences
FRANKLIN	UNDER 93	4​	93-109	2​	OVER 109	3​
HEENEY	UNDER 140	8​	140-164	1​	OVER 164	1​
PARKER	UNDER 92	6​	92-108		OVER 108	6​
PAPLEY	UNDER 77	10​	77-91	1​	OVER 91	1​
JOSH KENNEDY	UNDER 64	11​	64-76		OVER 76	1​
DAWSON	UNDER 47	12​	47-55		OVER 55
HAYWARD	UNDER 46	10​	46-54		OVER 54	2​
FLORENT	UNDER 41	8​	41-49		OVER 49	4​
WICKS	UNDER 30	9​	30-36		OVER 36	3​
ROWBOTTOM	UNDER 26	5​	26-32		OVER 32	3​
TOM MITCHELL	UNDER 58	10​	58-68		OVER 68	1​
OMEARA	UNDER 46	7​	46-58		OVER 58	1​
DYLAN MOORE	UNDER 44	5​	44-52		OVER 52	6​
WORPEL	UNDER 41	9​	41-49		OVER 49	2​
LIAM SHIELS	UNDER 34	8​	34-40		OVER 40	2​

Tips for the

Pointsbet Spread using assumed $10 stakes again:

PointsBet Stat Multiplier (Goals x Kicks x Handballs):

Lance Franklin = NO PLAY
Isaac Heeney= UNDER 140
Parker = NO PLAY
Papley= UNDER 77
Josh Kennedy= UNDER 64
Dawson= UNDER 47
Hayward = UNDER 46
Florent= NO PLAY
Wicks= OVER 62
Rowbottom = OVER 32

Tom Mitchell = OVER 70 (line has shifted from 68 to 70)
O'Meara= OVER 54 (line has shifted from 58 to 54)
Dylan Moore= OVER 52
Worpel= NO PLAY
Liam Shiels= OVER 40

Got a weird feeling tonight at least one of : Mitchell, O'Meara or Shiels will goal.

 

[BloodRet]

Little go at ceglar 3 4+ @ 23, 81 topsport incase mcevoy does more of the ruck

 

[benji21]

Throw at the stumps, Syd O117.5 at 5.50, In the last 8 games, Hawks have given 4 teams their highest score of the season. (Sydneys stands at 125)

 

[BloodRet]

Buddy to score in every quarter @10 lads

 

[NYRB]

POINTS SPREAD (Total Match Points Scored)
PLAYER	UNDER	OVER
FRANKLIN	19​	22​
PAPLEY	11​	14​
HEENEY	11​	14​
WILL HAYWARD	8​	11​
LOGAN MCDONALD	7​	10​
LUKE BREUST	8​	11​
KOSCHITZKE	6​	9​

i'll have a stab on the points as well - with an UNDER or OVER prediction only:

Franklin- UNDER 19
Papley- OVER 14
Heeney- OVER 14
Will Hayward - OVER 11
Logan McDonald- OVER 10
Luke Breust- UNDER 8
Koschitzke- OVER 9

 

[benji21]

Newcombe is 3.85 for AGS at toppy for anyone keen on backing him

 

[NYRB]

My hail mary of the night:

Isaac Heeney Most Goals in Group
Ben McEvoy 2+ Goals
Will Hayward 2+ Goals

Odds: 141 (Boosted to 164)

 

[NYRB]

I can't see Franklin scoring more than 3 goals tonight- but I have been wrong on him numerous times this season.

The cold will get to Big Bud tonight.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Last minute throw at the stumps: Buddy 4, Pap 3, McEvoy 2 @ $60

 

[mouncey2franklin]

The Hay-Train has left the station. Hope you boys all bought your tickets.

 

[Atavistic]

The Hay-Train has left the station. Hope you boys all bought your tickets.

Yeah, I'm on board, mate.

 

[freo_leo29]

Little go at ceglar 3 4+ @ 23, 81 topsport incase mcevoy does more of the ruck

wow they got those odds up quick considering he wasn't even named!

 

[freo_leo29]

Didn't board the Hay train, what were the odds, hope he smashes it for you lads