I love the suspense but its probably not as unique as you think on this board.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2021 AFL Round 3
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- May 20, 2016
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POST IT ORAZ
- May 20, 2016
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tailed for 7000 units out of respect oraz
It's potentially a good option. I was looking at it too. Hope he kicks a few. Was very quiet against Port, but against Hawthorn he missed a few easy shots, so I guess it's possible he could score 2 or more.
Perkins might be named and might also be an option.
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- May 20, 2016
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he will never be forgotten, oraz
- Apr 6, 2016
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How do WE remember him?
He is YOU, and your way of writing and stating how you are going to place 10 units on any given bet, or how you are going to "pound it," or how you've lost heaps and now have to throw your entire bank roll at the Diamond Creek under 12's to win by 40+ on Sunday....all of it gives the game away, Oraz, along with being an Essendon supporter, and the new account. Each and every time you pop up, we are all magically transported back to the good ol' days of...The Big O!
- Oct 6, 2011
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I have no idea who he is. Good luck with the bet nevertheless
iluvparis
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To be fair this worked a treat for me with Goldan who ever that bloke was in round 1 who paid for the entire punting year
- Oct 6, 2011
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A few bets for me, I think the short break will be a bit of a disadvantage for Brisbane here.
If Oscar McInerney isn't 100% fit, I like Brodie Grundy to dominate the rucks.( as someone mentioned on this thread) The longer quarters will favour his style of rucking , so I am closely looking at his 2019 season. Also not having a backup ruckman in Archie means the Lions ruck will be severely tested. Collingwood head into this game pretty much injury free or close to their full list as possible. (Elliott is the only recognizable name not there)
Grundy 25+ Disposals paying $8.25
I also like Maynard to get 30+ Disposals at $17.00, Daicos 30+ Disposals at $26
Maynard 25+, Daicos 25+ @ 19 in SGM (boosted to $19.95)
Collingwood had the highest disposal per match in 2020 (1st in 314.9 disposals per game), Lions had the least disposals per match in 2020 (18th with 279.5 disposals per game). Think those odds are a bit big for a team traditionally that likes to hold on to the ball as much as possible.
This high disposal game for Collingwood has seen a reverse trend in their scoring pattern, which has seem them struggle a bit offensively last year.
If Oscar McInerney isn't 100% fit, I like Brodie Grundy to dominate the rucks.( as someone mentioned on this thread) The longer quarters will favour his style of rucking , so I am closely looking at his 2019 season. Also not having a backup ruckman in Archie means the Lions ruck will be severely tested. Collingwood head into this game pretty much injury free or close to their full list as possible. (Elliott is the only recognizable name not there)
Grundy 25+ Disposals paying $8.25
I also like Maynard to get 30+ Disposals at $17.00, Daicos 30+ Disposals at $26
Maynard 25+, Daicos 25+ @ 19 in SGM (boosted to $19.95)
Collingwood had the highest disposal per match in 2020 (1st in 314.9 disposals per game), Lions had the least disposals per match in 2020 (18th with 279.5 disposals per game). Think those odds are a bit big for a team traditionally that likes to hold on to the ball as much as possible.
This high disposal game for Collingwood has seen a reverse trend in their scoring pattern, which has seem them struggle a bit offensively last year.
iluvparis
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FADING THE HYPELORDS - ROUND 3
Well they have done it again folks - after cashing easily fading the Blues last week they have gone up as over 2 goal favorites to the Dockers who knocked off the Giants easily last round - a side the owen-two specialists wouldn't get near. Time to load up on the oppo again
0.6 units - Freo +16.5 @ 1.91 (365)
0.4 units - Freo H2H @ 3.00 (365)
1-1, -0.03
Well they have done it again folks - after cashing easily fading the Blues last week they have gone up as over 2 goal favorites to the Dockers who knocked off the Giants easily last round - a side the owen-two specialists wouldn't get near. Time to load up on the oppo again
0.6 units - Freo +16.5 @ 1.91 (365)
0.4 units - Freo H2H @ 3.00 (365)
1-1, -0.03
- Oct 6, 2011
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Had this game been played in Perth, with Freo 0-2 and Carlton 1-1, and with the current teams as they are on the injury front, I would have had Carlton as strong favourites. Vic bias maybe? or weight of Victorian money on the BlueBaggers?
I am surprised a bit at Freo's odds - it should be closer to a 50 50 game for me.
Maybe Ricciardi for goals this week.
Think the line for Geel v Hawks is pretty high, 22.5 points. No Danger, games are usually tight even with our ordinary side.
Think the line for Geel v Hawks is pretty high, 22.5 points. No Danger, games are usually tight even with our ordinary side.
- Sep 17, 2014
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Ubet Luke Jackson a snag 2.30. as low as 1.30 elsewhere.
yea might be worth a shot.
1 behind in both of his first 2 games at FF. Its only a matter of time before he gets his first goal. & while hes at FF, at value odds & in a game that melbourne might have a chance to kick goals- i might just sit on him until he does.
2u Luke Jackson ags @2.30 tab
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brutus76
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Dogs alt hcp -47.5 and the Dees alt hcp -11.5 for me at $4.52 boosted LB - can't see the Roos or Giants kicking double digit goals
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- Sep 25, 2013
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Pointsbet are offering $3 for kennedy and dixon to combine for 3 goals in the first half. Realistically either should have 2 in the first half, and the other just one which seems fathomable. Taking that, its only 25 max though lol.
Shaun Mckernan is another one I've taken on for goals solely due to playing his old side, depending if he holds his spot or not as he's been garbage so far.
1.36/2.70/6.50 lads (value stops there really), @13 4+ sb
Shaun Mckernan is another one I've taken on for goals solely due to playing his old side, depending if he holds his spot or not as he's been garbage so far.
1.36/2.70/6.50 lads (value stops there really), @13 4+ sb
4u - St Kilda/Geelong - $1.70 - PointsBet
Like the Saints this year and they should be strengthened by the inclusion of Crouch this week, Essendon were smashed with injuries over the weekend and this price will only shorten further if Heppell (50-50 chance) doesn’t make the cut, I’d say they don’t take any chances on him.
Geelong have shown they can perform to a top standard without some of their star players with an impressive effort against the Lions, will be bolstered by the return of Duncan and Menegola this weekend. Should get the job done against this weak hawks side. Monday game suits the old cats side as gives them that extra time in recovery, will be potentially looking at fading them in round 4 with a quick turn around.
Like the Saints this year and they should be strengthened by the inclusion of Crouch this week, Essendon were smashed with injuries over the weekend and this price will only shorten further if Heppell (50-50 chance) doesn’t make the cut, I’d say they don’t take any chances on him.
Geelong have shown they can perform to a top standard without some of their star players with an impressive effort against the Lions, will be bolstered by the return of Duncan and Menegola this weekend. Should get the job done against this weak hawks side. Monday game suits the old cats side as gives them that extra time in recovery, will be potentially looking at fading them in round 4 with a quick turn around.
- Sep 17, 2014
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Got on mckernan 2 snags at 3.90. went to go again but was crunched into 2.70 strait away.
Don't mind switkowski around the sticks at 1.60 also
Lachy murphy (adel) should play fwd pocket again. mayb a little value?
1u Lachy murphy 2g+ @3.90 lads
0.5u Lachy murphy 3g+ @10 tab
i like the Daicos tip mentioned already, and also crisp disposals (ave29)
1.2u sgm - Daicos ags, crisp 20+ @2.35 lads
0.7u sgm - Daicos ags, crisp 25+ @3.33 lads
0.5u sgm - Daicos 2g+, crisp 20+ @7.83 lads boost
0.3u sgm - Daicos 2g+, crisp 25+ @9.25 lads
a couple multi's:
1.5u multi - crisp, keys, T Miller, Gresham, ridley all 20+ @3.27 lads
1u multi - daicos ags, crisp 20+, L.murphy ags, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @25.19 lads boost
0.5u multi - daicos 2g+, crisp 20+, L.murphy ags, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @63.95 lads
0.5u multi - daicos ags, crisp 20+, L.murphy 2g+, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+@51.35 lads
0.3u multi - daicos 2g+, crisp 20+, L.murphy 2g+, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @152.76 lads
1u Lachy murphy 2g+ @3.90 lads
0.5u Lachy murphy 3g+ @10 tab
i like the Daicos tip mentioned already, and also crisp disposals (ave29)
1.2u sgm - Daicos ags, crisp 20+ @2.35 lads
0.7u sgm - Daicos ags, crisp 25+ @3.33 lads
0.5u sgm - Daicos 2g+, crisp 20+ @7.83 lads boost
0.3u sgm - Daicos 2g+, crisp 25+ @9.25 lads
a couple multi's:
1.5u multi - crisp, keys, T Miller, Gresham, ridley all 20+ @3.27 lads
1u multi - daicos ags, crisp 20+, L.murphy ags, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @25.19 lads boost
0.5u multi - daicos 2g+, crisp 20+, L.murphy ags, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @63.95 lads
0.5u multi - daicos ags, crisp 20+, L.murphy 2g+, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+@51.35 lads
0.3u multi - daicos 2g+, crisp 20+, L.murphy 2g+, keys 20+, T Miller 20+, bont ags, english ags, Gresham 20+, ridley 20+ @152.76 lads
With Nat Fyfe Out Too And Been At Marvel I Would Suspect That Why
iluvparis
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Carlton have the third worst win % of any club at Marvel
oh ok yeh maybe not then but yeh look I think the odds are nearly correct tbh Gws Have No guts in them tbh must win Game For Carlton even without some of there Guns and haven't played poorly Carlton forward line may trouble freo youg defender
yeh they look the goods I reckon there could get the job done at home
iluvparis
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