AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)

[balmainforever]

 

[NonPhixion]

For fun
Bont/Steele/Petracca
$326
Bont/Petracca/Steele
$326

 

[iluvparis]

For fun
Bont/Steele/Petracca
$326
Bont/Petracca/Steele
$326

Where is the latter - keen

 

[NonPhixion]

Where is the latter - keen

Sb

 

[NonPhixion]

Steele most votes last 8 games
$2 seems pretty good

 

[ordinarypunter]

Steele opened 2.50 most votes last 8 rounds

 

[NonPhixion]

Steele opened 2.50 most votes last 8 rounds

Put it in the slip - and it changed

 

[Young Gun #6]

It’s free money until Steele comes top 3

Saints didn’t finish top 8 so it’s not possible. Pretty sure you have to be top 8 to win Brownlow

 

[iluvparis]

Saints didn’t finish top 8 so it’s not possible. Pretty sure you have to be top 8 to win Brownlow

You do - which is why Steele wont win

 

[ordinarypunter]

Steele opened 2.50 most votes last 8 rounds

Sam walsh probably worth a nibble @ 26s

 

[NYRB]

Rewatching round 5 now where most predictors have him getting 3, and AFL gives him 0.

I'm not far in, 7.5 mins left in the first quarter and Ollie has had 6 touches, done pretty much nothing with them, one was a handball straight to opposition.

Will let you know how the rest of the match pans out.

This game is one of the reviewed games I have for this season..............

had the betting market along the lines of:

To Poll 3 votes from the game:

Aliir Aliir $2.85
Georgiades $3.33
Boak $3.44
Amon $4.76
Wines $14.25
Walsh $33
Charlie Dixon $100
Cripps $100

but my thinking along the time was pretty much how you saw the game

 

[bugnuck]

Saints didn’t finish top 8 so it’s not possible. Pretty sure you have to be top 8 to win Brownlow

That’s an awful take

 

[NonPhixion]

This game is one of the reviewed games I have for this season..............

had the betting market along the lines of:

To Poll 3 votes from the game:

Aliir Aliir $2.85
Georgiades $3.33
Boak $3.44
Amon $4.76
Wines $14.25
Walsh $33
Charlie Dixon $100
Cripps $100

but my thinking along the time was pretty much how you saw the game

Looking forward to this
Your posts last year on these markets were truth

 

[squeaky1000]

Saints didn’t finish top 8 so it’s not possible. Pretty sure you have to be top 8 to win Brownlow

I can’t tell if you’re being serious or if you just come on here to troll

 

[invisible_]

This game is one of the reviewed games I have for this season..............

had the betting market along the lines of:

To Poll 3 votes from the game:

Aliir Aliir $2.85
Georgiades $3.33
Boak $3.44
Amon $4.76
Wines $14.25
Walsh $33
Charlie Dixon $100
Cripps $100

but my thinking along the time was pretty much how you saw the game

Are these odds you come up with factoring in the margin that the bookie takes?

 

[NYRB]

Are these odds you come up with factoring in the margin that the bookie takes?

Yes i factor into account the margins.

Those 8 runners there would be a bookmakers margin of roughly 27%. Last year I put it in around 2-3%- which you realistically won't get from Sportsbet or whoever offers these markets .

 

[NonPhixion]

Are these odds you come up with factoring in the margin that the bookie takes?

Don’t question this man and his analysis of 3 vote markets
He IS the King

 

[dontlimitme]

Don’t question this man and his analysis of 3 vote markets
He IS the King

NYRBs autism is absolutely perfect for the brownlow markets, we must honour him

 

[NYRB]

Don’t question this man and his analysis of 3 vote markets
He IS the King

I wouldnt say that. Menegola stuffed me up last year and I overestimated the Bont last year. Probably ended up break even last year.

Anyway that Round 5 Carlton v Port Adelaide game is still on my review list. I thought I had made a mistake allocating those votes- as I have seen quite a few posters giving Wines votes here. It's probably one of the more important games for Wines backers and im happy to have a quick review of it to get it right as it may affect Top 3, Quinellas, Exactas, Trifectas and what not.

 

[Areyoufireal]

Small plays on the floowing at SB;
Ollie Wines, Marcus Bontempelli

4

Marcus Bontempelli

Age

28

Ht

194cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.5

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

10.3

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

4.8

5star

CL

4.4

5star

D

18.4

4star

K

9.7

4star

HB

8.8

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

4.1

5star

CL

4.0

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

5.8

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

1.8

4star

& Clayton Oliver

13

Clayton Oliver

Age

27

Ht

189cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.8

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

18.4

5star

M

3.2

3star

T

6.3

5star

CL

6.3

5star

D

25.1

5star

K

11.1

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

5.6

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

19.2

5star

K

4.6

2star

HB

14.6

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

4.4

5star

CL

3.8

5star

to tie for the Brownlow Medal @ $151.
Will there be a tie - Yes @ $5.50

 

[dustydontargue]

Leader after 5 rounds I have a 2 horse race between Walker and Oliver.
Happy to take both with heavier on Oliver

 

[botswana42]

Small plays on the floowing at SB;
Ollie Wines, Marcus Bontempelli & Clayton Oliver to tie for the Brownlow Medal @ $151.
Will there be a tie - Yes @ $5.50

Missed 5.5, but stll going to take 4.5, surely jumps shorter.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Leader after 5 rounds I have a 2 horse race between Walker and Oliver.
Happy to take both with heavier on Oliver

$4 is a great price for the Texan.

 

[Young Gun #6]

Anyone like the to poll in most games market? Really like Titch at $21. Reckon that’s massive overs.

Have him polling in a lot of games.

 

[NonPhixion]

Anyone like the to poll in most games market? Really like Titch at $21. Reckon that’s massive overs.

Have him polling in a lot of games.

Went with Touk Miller at $81

getting the tendies ready now

 

[Young Gun #6]

Found an area on pointsbet you can actually multi. Have done the following:

Wines 25+
Bont Top 3
Oliver most Melb
Steele 25+
Guthrie most Geel
Kelly most GWS
Mundy top 20
McCluggage top 20
Gawn top 20


$15.30