Prediction 2021 Draft Predictions

[Lore]

For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

Resource - 2021 AFL Draft Order

Every trade as it happens!

www.bigfooty.com

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

Following the Trade Period, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

1. North Melbourne
2. GWS Giants
3. Gold Coast Suns
4. Adelaide
5. Hawthorn
6. Fremantle
7. Richmond
8. Fremantle
9. St Kilda
10. West Coast Eagles
11. Essendon
12. Port Adelaide
13. GWS Giants
14. Brisbane Lions
15. Richmond
16. Sydney Swans
17. Melbourne
18. Brisbane Lions

 

[theGav56]

Hawks future first is way more valuable than 10. Its likely to be a top 2 pick and certain to be at least top 5.

Seems like a very fair deal.

There is no certainty about what their pick will be just as there was no certainty about the Pies first being too 2 this year.

However there is certainty about the players available this year and at pick 8(10) it is looking very sweet. There's no way we would pay a premium for that deal. However we would expect a premium for it.

 

[Lord of the Wings]

Future trading is a lottery.
GWS won it last year
24,30 future 4th for col future 1st (2).

10 in the hand is worth more than a pick that could come anywhere 1-13. Doubt it will be 1 or 2.

Who is finishing below the Hawks next year?

 

[theGav56]

Who is finishing below the Hawks next year?

Potentially any and all of North, GCSs, Collingwood, Crows and Richmond. We could as well, and WC could slide.

I don't have a problem with trading into a future round for a reason, but no way would we pay a premium to achieve that.

 

[Dewyyyyy]

That is correct with Mitchell and McRae, but they don’t have the cattle yet, 2 or 3 seasons each before pushing for finals, both will have veterans leaving next year and fresh young squads.

They will both have positive influences on their teams and bring them up maybe quicker than people think….but not next year.

Geelong MAY fall, but out of the finals, not so sure, stk should get/play better with their players un-injured, wce is an uncertainty at the moment and no way lions fall out of the eight.

Dusty has maintained from early on that he will not play on well into his 30’s and being that his contract is up in 2024 and he will be 33 that may see him out therefore giving him 3 years left, he will be fine and still be a contributor for those 3 years and come back well from this injury To help push the tigers hopefully back into the finals bracket.

Hawks have the cattle to push the 8, if no major injuries occur.

 

[Marcel Proust]

Who are Richmond trying to trade up for? Ward rachele??

Either sounds pretty good tbh

 

[Lord of the Wings]

Some embarrassing bouts of tall poppy on display lately

What are the odds of a COVID cluster stemming from this function?

 

[Lord of the Wings]

Potentially any and all of North, GCSs, Collingwood, Crows and Richmond. We could as well, and WC could slide.

I don't have a problem with trading into a future round for a reason, but no way would we pay a premium to achieve that.

No chance Richmond or WC finish below the Hawks and its very unlikely the Pies or u will either. Hence its pick 4 at worst and pick 1 at best. Either way a lot better than no.10 tonight.

 

[theGav56]

No chance Richmond or WC finish below the Hawks and its very unlikely the Pies or u will either. Hence its pick 4 at worst and pick 1 at best. Either way a lot better than no.10 tonight.

What was the Pies pick "at worst" going to be this year before they traded it to GWS? Did anyone have it at pick 2?

 

[GWS Goose]

What was the Pies pick "at worst" going to be this year before they traded it to GWS? Did anyone have it at pick 2?

sharp falls are a lot more likely than unforeseen sharp rises

 

[mattsmob]

What was the Pies pick "at worst" going to be this year before they traded it to GWS? Did anyone have it at pick 2?

Probably not 2 but after their off-season I was hoping we traded for it. Probably would've given up more than they got from GWS as well.

 

[pK75]

sharp falls are a lot more likely than unforeseen sharp rises

Melbourne?

 

[GWS Goose]

Melbourne?

I think most thought the pieces were there, premiers not so much, but being a good side wasn't unexpected.

Generally if teams are expected to finish in the bottom few they may surprise a few spots, but rarely do they all of a sudden compete for finals

 

[theGav56]

Probably not 2 but after their off-season I was hoping we traded for it. Probably would've given up more than they got from GWS as well.

They got something like picks 20 and 30, so yeah, probably not 2. In fact, I would say finals.

 

[theGav56]

sharp falls are a lot more likely than unforeseen sharp rises

Doesn't have to be a sharp rise. 4 or 5 spots can be a matter of a couple more wins, and another club having a sharp fall. We finished 2 wins ahead of them, and that can change in no time.

Fremantle don't have a need to take that risk.