balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 1
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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_ASP3X
Club Legend
- Mar 14, 2022
- 1,245
- 1,258
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
Well Jack Graham 0.2 last night screwed me. Would have had a nice collect otherwise. Anyway, onto the next, 1u on each:
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
T Hawkins AGS
@ $2.15
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
G Rohan AGS
@ $2.80
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
T Hawkins AGS
J Cameron
@ $2.60
1 game in to the season and already 0-2 (-2.0u), damn it.
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
T Hawkins AGS
@ $2.15
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
G Rohan AGS
@ $2.80
J Elliot AGS
B Mihocek AGS
T Hawkins AGS
J Cameron
@ $2.60
1 game in to the season and already 0-2 (-2.0u), damn it.
Anyone know much about this forward from GWS named Brent Daniels?
Was reading an article that they highly rate him internally saying he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.
Missed all of last year with hammy troubles.
2+ $7
3+ $26
4+ $175
I'm very tempted
Was reading an article that they highly rate him internally saying he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.
Missed all of last year with hammy troubles.
2+ $7
3+ $26
4+ $175
I'm very tempted
Hey Guys,
How’d everyone go last night? Usually that match up is a gold mine each season. Seems like it was tough for all.
Have landed on 4 bets tonight. I believe all have a solid edge on the market price. One at a shorter price, the other three are closer to or better than coin flips but at + Money.
Geelong vs Collingwood
3.5u - Zach Guthrie 15+ disposals - $1.62 - SB/365
Hit this in 70% of games last year and would personally have this priced closer to $1.45 which is a fairly substantial edge. Has developed a tank at an AFL level and is now a mainstay in the Geelong side. Is playing comfortable footy and should see extra minutes early in the season as some of the older players are eased in.
2u - Cameron 15+ disposals - $2.75 - 365
A beneficiary of playing in a Grundy-less Pies side. Cameron hit this in 8/16 games last year when playing sharing the ruck with Cox as he'll likely do tonight.
2u - Miers AGS - $2.20 - 365
Expecting a fairly heavy mid rotation from Geelong this season, especially early. As a result, expecting Miers to be closer to goal and his 2021 numbers where he spent less time on the wing and more time forward. 11/15 in 2021 and kicked goals in 6 of the last 9 games in 2022 when he started spending more time forward.
2u - McCreery AGS - $2.50 - 365
At least one goal in 18 of his 31 games across his career. Think he should benefit a bit from no Ginnivan this week and the chance to play further forward. Suspect Bobby Hill will be encouraged to push a bit higher up the ground leaving McCreery closer to goal. Usually a very accurate kick at goal.
How’d everyone go last night? Usually that match up is a gold mine each season. Seems like it was tough for all.
Have landed on 4 bets tonight. I believe all have a solid edge on the market price. One at a shorter price, the other three are closer to or better than coin flips but at + Money.
Geelong vs Collingwood
3.5u - Zach Guthrie 15+ disposals - $1.62 - SB/365
Hit this in 70% of games last year and would personally have this priced closer to $1.45 which is a fairly substantial edge. Has developed a tank at an AFL level and is now a mainstay in the Geelong side. Is playing comfortable footy and should see extra minutes early in the season as some of the older players are eased in.
2u - Cameron 15+ disposals - $2.75 - 365
A beneficiary of playing in a Grundy-less Pies side. Cameron hit this in 8/16 games last year when playing sharing the ruck with Cox as he'll likely do tonight.
2u - Miers AGS - $2.20 - 365
Expecting a fairly heavy mid rotation from Geelong this season, especially early. As a result, expecting Miers to be closer to goal and his 2021 numbers where he spent less time on the wing and more time forward. 11/15 in 2021 and kicked goals in 6 of the last 9 games in 2022 when he started spending more time forward.
2u - McCreery AGS - $2.50 - 365
At least one goal in 18 of his 31 games across his career. Think he should benefit a bit from no Ginnivan this week and the chance to play further forward. Suspect Bobby Hill will be encouraged to push a bit higher up the ground leaving McCreery closer to goal. Usually a very accurate kick at goal.
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Josh Treacy train on pointsbet
Best odds I think, playing as our 3rd tall behind taberner and Jackson, Jackson will ruck so he will play forward all game, Fyfe could arguably get the 3rd defender so Treacy gets #4
Best odds I think, playing as our 3rd tall behind taberner and Jackson, Jackson will ruck so he will play forward all game, Fyfe could arguably get the 3rd defender so Treacy gets #4
_ASP3X
Club Legend
- Mar 14, 2022
- 1,245
- 1,258
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
Also on Will Hoskin-Elliot
1u - AGS @ $3.40
0.25u - 2+ @ $21
0.026u - 3+ @ $101
That's all they would let me on for at B365, tried for more for every bet but nope, declined every time.
Edit: Taken a little more in a couple SGM with Hawkins, but they've limited that now too
1u - AGS @ $3.40
0.25u - 2+ @ $21
0.026u - 3+ @ $101
That's all they would let me on for at B365, tried for more for every bet but nope, declined every time.
Edit: Taken a little more in a couple SGM with Hawkins, but they've limited that now too
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GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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Been reading he's had a really good preseason compared to his previous ones. I was looking at him for 2+ 3+ for $6, $23
TheCandyMan
Team Captain
- May 15, 2013
- 324
- 291
- AFL Club
- West Coast
Z.Guthrie 15+
Atkins 15+
D.Moore 15+
D.Cameron 15+
Miers ags
Close ags
Hill ags
Adams ags
@91 sb
On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app
Atkins 15+
D.Moore 15+
D.Cameron 15+
Miers ags
Close ags
Hill ags
Adams ags
@91 sb
On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app
- May 20, 2016
- 10,070
- 14,958
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- GWS
TANGO WHERE ARE YOU
Zac!
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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I would like to say this is astute bet, but Ive bet on worst things. Im still waiting for Aish's goal for Freo.
Tuohy AGS @$3.50 PB
He has gone 1+ in his last 3 H&A games for the Cats.
Lol enjoy the rest of the game
Good signs. Tonight will be betterI would like to say this is astute bet, but Ive bet on worst things. Im still waiting for Aish's goal for Freo.
Tuohy AGS @$3.50 PB
He has gone 1+ in his last 3 H&A games for the Cats.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
- 69,415
- 96,415
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
TUOHY
🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.
- Aug 3, 2020
- 1,178
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- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Missed this trainI would like to say this is astute bet, but Ive bet on worst things. Im still waiting for Aish's goal for Freo.
Tuohy AGS @$3.50 PB
He has gone 1+ in his last 3 H&A games for the Cats.
- May 20, 2016
- 10,070
- 14,958
- AFL Club
- GWS
TWOy
Twoey!
- May 20, 2016
- 10,070
- 14,958
- AFL Club
- GWS
Purposely stayed clear of betting on him for that reason. Knew about his baby before the game.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
If Bloodret was on him he would shoot outside the ground.
