AFL 2023 - AFL Round 18

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Keep feeding the smear

Carn the smeargol

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10 frees to 3 and how many resulting in shots on goal? The fix is in.

Pound the Swannies live like Oraz.

Still owe us 20 from that final
 

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FFS Hayward - he’s going on the shit list!

Early bets on Milkshake for tomorrow night.

3u - Melksham 2+ @ $3.50 (B365)
2u - Melksham 3+ @ $11 (B365)
 
bloody Mclean did well in 2nd/3rd (10 touches) but ended on 14, the 1st qtr of 1 disposal and then he was off ground for ages until about 6 mins left with ball on other side did him in.. stiff not to land the 15 :(

Onto tommorow night.. Like Melksham too he's so crafty in getting to good spots and normally takes his chances, will take the 11 spread on pbet even if hes quiet should be ok to jag 1.1 or something small but has the potential to kick 3 or 4... same on Gunston.. yes it was Eagles but he has his legs under him now and May/Lever/Petty will mainly focus on stopping Daniher/Hipwood and a crafty operator in Gunston may be the one to find the holes, same with Cameron .. Gunston is 12 spread, Cameron 11

Stat Multipiers I am going to risk Neale 67 (has only goaled from 2 games in 16 this year!!) and one game wAS the richmond blood bath. he's surely do for a crafty goal from a stoppage, Gunston 45 (moving better and up ground, when in ok form normallly good for some handballs to pad the stats) Zorko 48 and Rayner 59 (rayner gets ok mix of kicks handballs and will be in dangerous spots)

Dees Team I am not sure.. Jordan 38 is pretty low for a guy who should get 20 touches and a mix of kicks hballs, as is Melksham 28 but he rarely gets handballs, Langdon 38 runs hard and has goaled past 2 games, hes also very crafty at snaps when under pressure in forward line
 
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Public Service Announcement regarding the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK(+160.2U/Year)


It will be in the Tennis thread this week. We will resume regular programming in the AFL thread from either next week or whenever there is a set of odds that are sufficiently skewed or misaligned by the unenlightened books as to be worthy of the Louie Lock.

At this point of the season we will look increasingly towards other avenues of investment, applying the same mindset we’ve cultivated throughout this year and getting the same results.

I highly recommend the following message to all those who want to make money(regardless of if you follow Tennis) and it should absolutely be considered to be financial advice.
Cutting straight to the chase.
NOVAK DJOKOVIC TO WIN OUTRIGHT@$1.50 IS THE LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.
10 Units

Novak has absolutely pissed in the last 3 majors that he’s been allowed to enter and that run is not going to end here.

The opposition he’s playing here are simply not on the same level and Novak has engaged full robot mode in his pursuit of further records.

The $1.50 on offer is an absolute gift and the correct odds would be ~$1.10.

Yes, you maybe able to get better odds if/when the customary questionable Novak injury arises, but my recommendation is to just smash the amazing odds we've been given now and have a nice relaxing weekend on the Ski fields with your favourite girlfriend. Sometimes life/gambling is about balance and taking the obvious option.


Long Shot Louie
 
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 18

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