balmainforever
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 24
- Thread starter balmainforever
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- Jun 16, 2018
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The beauty of AFLW is that instead of backing individual player goal trains, you can just back team goal trains.
e.g. I'm on the Lady Dees to kick 4+, 5+, 6+ for the match, toot toot!
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- Jun 16, 2018
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The multi is around $4 on sb, probably higher elsewhere.
If you think this is an absolute lock, how many units are you putting down?
I agree with your logic but I wouldn't call it a lock, I might chuck a cheeky 2u on it though, will need some cash for week one of finals
- Jun 16, 2018
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I got $6 for 3+ (lads), $15 for 4+ (tab), $41 for 5+ (tab).
- Aug 16, 2009
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Jack Hayes is worth a play at odds on SB. Kicked 3 on debut last year and has kicked a goal in 4/5 career games so far. Replacing Max King and will be eager to impress and put pressure on guys like Sharman heading into finals. Also kicked 6.0 in the VFL last week (but we ignore that part)
2+ $4.90
3+ $16
4+ $71
2+ $4.90
3+ $16
4+ $71
- Jun 16, 2018
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Stanley hasn't kicked more than two goals in a game since 2017.
However, the year before, he did kick a bag of five goals, against...
The Bulldogs.
That’s because he wouldn’t have gone forward once in the last few years. The theory is we are playing Conway and missing Hawkins and Cameron so Stanley could start forward to be a target as we have none. Conway won’t go forward at all
Pies will be significantly advantaged if they lose tonight. Win, they play Melbourne at the MCG in a neutral game. Lose they play Port at the MCG in a home game. What are the odds they just happen to allow Essendon to score as much as they want and just happen to lose?
- Sep 25, 2013
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$4.40
fpm84
Brownlow Medallist
I don't even remember that 2016 game!
Looking at our team on paper it seems obvious that Stanley will play forward... it's been a very long time since he's played a game without Hawkins and/or Cameron, and with an additional ruck in the side (Conway). Our preferred structure is Stanley ruck, Blicavs second ruck and Hawkins/Cameron forward... Stanley is the only of those four playing tomorrow.
Long Shot Louie
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- Aug 23, 2022
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There is trouble a brewin over them thar round 24 hills, Men.
Last week, we all bore witness to some very blatant instances of AFL/WWE corruption. Thankfully, I was able to dodge the rigging and make a large profit(12U), but it didn’t give me a good feeling for what lies ahead this week.
In the final H&A round of the year, there is simply no telling what agenda the AFL is going to push, what teams are going to be pushed into/out of the 8 in very exiting and exhilarating results that meet the head office KPIs and which team will tank. Will the league try and make-up to the teams that were wronged or will they double down on shafting them? Which players will be allowed to smash the face of other players and not get suspended?
Many questions and 50/50 variables that are outside the control of us as punters and will only serve to eat into our profit margins. Not even Louie The Lock(+149.9U/Year) can tell which way it will go here and the only lock this round is that there is no lock.
All week I have had disturbing visions of swathes of Degens being struck down by the baddest and most corrupt of Round 24 beats and will thus be swerving the round entirely and targeting finals instead, where I am forecasting the unloading of several LOCKS.
With that being said, some good shouts in this thread. Stanley goals and Essendon especially both represent decent value in my opinion.
Anyway, as always, Good luck Men.
Last week, we all bore witness to some very blatant instances of AFL/WWE corruption. Thankfully, I was able to dodge the rigging and make a large profit(12U), but it didn’t give me a good feeling for what lies ahead this week.
In the final H&A round of the year, there is simply no telling what agenda the AFL is going to push, what teams are going to be pushed into/out of the 8 in very exiting and exhilarating results that meet the head office KPIs and which team will tank. Will the league try and make-up to the teams that were wronged or will they double down on shafting them? Which players will be allowed to smash the face of other players and not get suspended?
Many questions and 50/50 variables that are outside the control of us as punters and will only serve to eat into our profit margins. Not even Louie The Lock(+149.9U/Year) can tell which way it will go here and the only lock this round is that there is no lock.
All week I have had disturbing visions of swathes of Degens being struck down by the baddest and most corrupt of Round 24 beats and will thus be swerving the round entirely and targeting finals instead, where I am forecasting the unloading of several LOCKS.
With that being said, some good shouts in this thread. Stanley goals and Essendon especially both represent decent value in my opinion.
Anyway, as always, Good luck Men.
this means they have a much harder prelim though.
So the actual overall edge is slim if anything
- May 20, 2016
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spat my drink out at this lolololol
Long Shot Louie
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Does it though? Means they’re more likely to swerve the GIANTS if anything. They also need to win a final to make a prelim, sides ranked 5-8 look strong and I don’t think the Pies match up well on the Dees. McRae also questioned his sides motivation this week which leads me to believe the Pies tank could be on and the Dons are slight value. Dons did get beaten by 126 points last week though, so who knows if they can even capitalise if the Pies aren’t at their best.
- Sep 25, 2013
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De Goey odds been smashed on 365.
What’s with 4 players under $7.50 to kick 6 tonight?
What’s with 4 players under $7.50 to kick 6 tonight?
Thought Tippenwoody was getting a retirement game too according to the AFL website.
- Aug 16, 2009
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He'll be the sub, he can probably only get through a quarter anyway.
- Sep 25, 2013
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Menegolas last game for Cats
2, 3, 4 @7.5, 31 sb, 75 ts
2, 3, 4 @7.5, 31 sb, 75 ts
- May 20, 2016
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final week of the regular season lads this is how im feeling right now
Odds been smashed in on 365 for some games for reasonable cashouts. Very weird.
Yes it does.
Your GIANTS currently need an upset to play finals but even so, Pies finishing 2nd makes their likely prelim opponent Dees or Blues (and you've just said you don't like the Dees matchup)
It might look better if they dodge Melbourne week 1 but when you break it all down it's minimal. Pies hardly going to lose in purpose given their form and the Essendon team looks pretty poor tonight.
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fpm84
Brownlow Medallist
Langford 3+
McStay 2+
Mihocek 2+
Ginnivan 2+
Cox AGS
Parish 25+
Daicos 20+
Crisp 15+
@57.45 PB
McStay 2+
Mihocek 2+
Ginnivan 2+
Cox AGS
Parish 25+
Daicos 20+
Crisp 15+
@57.45 PB
- Jan 21, 2013
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