AFL 2023 - AFL Round 4

[balmainforever]

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Avoiding Heeney as honestly I don’t think his ankle is right

 

[GROTTO]

about time ahah

plus with the rayner train sheeesh

Well done mate, well done, I told you to keep your head up and stay strong. The wheel turned for you, really happy for you.

I know you took the Motorbike to 5+ was almost going to follow you too.

 

[gillon]

I cannot believe the trains have hit 3 weeks in a row. I love you all

 

[X_box_X]

Another train?

Thomas the Tank.

Tom McCartin

30

Tom Mccartin

Age

24

Ht

194cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.3

2star

K

5.6

2star

HB

3.7

3star

M

3.7

4star

T

1.6

4star

MG

129.5

2star

D

7.2

2star

K

4.4

2star

HB

2.8

2star

M

3.2

3star

T

0.8

1star

MG

87.4

2star

D

9.0

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

168.0

3star

15+ disposals at $7.50 w TAB is overs. Should be $4.50.

 

[offtherails9]

My TAB is only showing SGMs for 2, 4, 5 goals and not showing 3 goals. Interesting

edit - all good it's fixed.
On LDU 3, 4
Cheezels 3, 4

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Another train?

Thomas the Tank.

Tom McCartin 15+ disposals at $7.50 w TAB is overs. Should be $4.50.

Tread carefully at the SCG low numbers there. Not the worst shout though lol

 

[targett]

Money just pouring in for the Blues , in 2 points again this morning to -29.5
Monday -22.5

 

[sohohoho]

Tread carefully at the SCG low numbers there. Not the worst shout though lol

this is just wrong for defenders, its a fill up for them there

 

[hellodeer]

Jacob Weitering

23

Jacob Weitering

Age

26

Ht

195cm

Wt

102kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.8

4star

K

9.1

4star

HB

4.7

3star

M

5.6

5star

T

1.3

3star

MG

189.4

3star

No current season stats available

D

16.8

4star

K

10.8

4star

HB

6.0

4star

M

6.0

5star

T

0.8

3star

MG

263.4

4star

Under 74.5 Fantasy at Pointsbet. Averaged 54 points last season and not sure how much time the ball will spend in the back half this arvo.
Lochie O'Brien

4

Lochie O'brien

Age

25

Ht

185cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

9.3

4star

HB

3.9

3star

M

4.5

4star

T

1.3

3star

CL

0.7

3star

No current season stats available

D

13.0

4star

K

9.8

4star

HB

3.2

3star

M

5.2

5star

T

1.4

4star

CL

1.0

3star

20+ @ $9.00 at TAB. Not the best player, but easier game against Norf. Averaged around 18 disposals a game last season. I think the price is just so long because he has been the sub this season.

 

[navi_]

Jacob Weitering Under 74.5 Fantasy at Pointsbet. Averaged 54 points last season and not sure how much time the ball will spend in the back half this arvo.
Lochie O'Brien 20+ @ $9.00 at TAB. Not the best player, but easier game against Norf. Averaged around 18 disposals a game last season. I think the price is just so long because he has been the sub this season.

Strong first post

 

[mouncey2franklin]

The 'football gods' work in funny ways.

For example, last week, immediately following the latest racism row, JUH kicked a bag of goals after scoring just 1.5 across the previous two weeks.

Today we see a team featuring a cancer survivor, playing against a team also featuring a cancer survivor, and also a rising young gun whose father tragically passed away due to cancer, and a club president who is also a cancer survivor...

In a special hospital fundraiser (themed) match.

AGS LDU $2.25 pb

AGS Cunnington $2.30 ts

AGS Docherty $4 tab

North Melbourne win > $4

Those odds for LDU are overs in any event, he is 3/3 this season (incl the practice match) and kicked 1.1 against the same side last year.

Cunnington has gone 0.1, 0.1, 0.0, so unders for mine.

Docherty kicked a goal last week and is 2/3 for the season so $4 seems overs.

And North > $4 seems overs. Two most important mids back into the team, Blues missing some key mids of their own.

The only part of the field where the Blues look comfortably ahead is their key forwards.

What they don't know is that Rd 4 is when Ziebell does his best work and he could be chopping them off all night.

Multi of LDU AGS, Docherty AGS, North win is $30 at sb (powerplay).

I've seen stupider bets get up, including many of my own

 

[apolis]

tailed sheezel for 3 w small bonus bet @67 but i think hes playing too well off hb to move him

He played off half forward last week from what I saw.

 

[X_box_X]

Sean Darcy

4

Sean Darcy

Age

26

Ht

203cm

Wt

111kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.1

3star

K

3.4

1star

HB

6.6

4star

CL

2.4

4star

HO

28.8

5star

D

6.8

1star

K

2.0

1star

HB

4.8

3star

CL

1.8

4star

HO

20.3

5star

D

11.4

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

6.8

5star

CL

2.6

5star

HO

32.0

5star

15+ disposals at $2.30 w TAB

Paying $1.65 w PB & $1.68 w SB.

Totals of 18, 6, 20...
15+ is 'safe' but there's definitely value in 20+ $7.50 also.

 

[sohohoho]

He played off half forward last week from what I saw.

yeah Hawks Half Forward line

 

[burge13]

yeah Hawks Half Forward line

Do you post bets or just snipe everyone's comments with sarcastic bullshit?

 

[jikost]

Dylan Williams 15+ @ $5 365 (20+ @ $19) - In for Byrne-jones to play half back. Had 21 kicks and 11 rebound 50's in the SANFL last week.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

He played off half forward last week from what I saw.

Heatmap says 30% forward, 70% back.

Two touches ahead of the centre square, including one touch I50 (on the arc).

I don't think he was playing half forward last week.

Wouldn't be surprised to see him swung forward for a goal or two in a blockbuster game, though.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Sean Darcy 15+ disposals at $2.30 w TAB

Paying $1.65 w PB & $1.68 w SB.

Totals of 18, 6, 20...
15+ is 'safe' but there's definitely value in 20+ $7.50 also.

Can get this for $2.50 at neds!

Has dropped to $2.10 at TAB already...

 

[sohohoho]

Do you post bets or just snipe everyone's comments with sarcastic bullshit?

if someones going to lead others astray then seems fair to call it out?
He played half back, not half forward.

 

[dontlimitme]

Dylan Williams 15+ @ $5 365 (20+ @ $19) - In for Byrne-jones to play half back. Had 21 kicks and 11 rebound 50's in the SANFL last week.

damn this kid some kind of gun forward as well? odds for goals arent great tho

 

[jikost]

View attachment 1652299

damn this kid some kind of gun forward as well? odds for goals arent great tho

He's playing back in the SANFL this year so pretty sure that's where he'll be Saturday. Plus, they've dropped Bonner and Byrne-Jones.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I searched this thread and there is precisely zero love for Larkey from what I can tell.

Kicked 7 against this mob 18 months ago, three in their most recent match (in a big loss).

And in North's only previous match at Colonial this season he kicked six.

Of his 38 goals last season, 24 were at Etihad, despite only playing 10/20 season matches there.

He is a Telstra Dome specialist and if the North mids get on top, Larkey will enjoy silver service.

There wasn't much he could do last week when his team was getting smashed in the middle.

10s for 5 and 26s for 6 seem like overs in this degenerate's opinion

 

[dontlimitme]

He's playing back in the SANFL this year so pretty sure that's where he'll be Saturday. Plus, they've dropped Bonner and Byrne-Jones.

possible switch sometime this season at huge odds?

 

[GROTTO]

Big O first disposal of the match @ $11 sb - He'll be grabbing the ball out of the ruck all match... no reason why he won't try from the opening bounce.

This very bet winning inside literally the first seconds of play, set up a wonderful foundation for the rest of the night.

Astute punt and logical explanation.

 

[GROTTO]

WARMING UP WITH THE ******* FORWARDS LADS

This post made me smile last night before the bounce. It gave us degens hope.