Prediction 2023 Ladder Prediction Thread

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Essendon, LOL
We're 8th with games against North x2, West Coast at home, GWS, Carlton, Adelaide in Melbourne, Geelong, Bulldogs and Sydney in Melbourne to come. All games we can win.
 
Climbing in to the top 8:
  • Carlton (surely it's time, like 'we know their coming'?)
  • Port (will scrape into the 8 in Boak's last year, will be a 3-4 goal better side with a small forward or two in their team)
  • Gold Coast (ok, I'm being super optimistic here and unrealistic, but they need to make the 8 to keep players and be viable)

Dropping out of the top 8:
  • Collingwood (will rue losing Grundy once they have a ruck injury or two, while their clutch game will get figured out by some)
  • Sydney (Grand Final smashing drop off ala Port 2007 with an unlucky run with injuries, Buddy is done, but Sydney will bounce back in 2024.)
  • Bulldogs (their list hasn't improved in this offseason and they didn't seem to have it together in 2021)

Wild cards for dropping out or climbing into the top 8:
  • Fremantle (lots of change in the off-season, their club history has never had me confident in their sustained success unfortunately)
  • St Kilda (could Ross the Boss straighten up the Saints in one off-season?)

Wooden spoon: a battle between the elderly and brittle West Coast and the insipid North Melbourne again.

Horribly wrong with the Pies
 
We're a top 4 contender for sure. And a side with that much winning finals experience that makes the top 4, will be a flag contender comes finals. Mind you that being a contender doesn't guarantee anything, like you said, you still need things to go your way with injuries, form, luck at the right time, etc. We lead in the 4th quarter in 21/23 games in 2022, and the other 2 games we lead in the 3rd quarter, so Richmond are around the mark with any team in the comp on their day.

Our biggest weakness we addressed in the trade period. A lot of our 2023 fortunes will depend on Hopper and Taranto. Only time will tell how they fit in and what impact they make. I'd be very surprised if we didn't improve in 2023 though (a good injury run dependent).
Did you mean Bottom 4?
 
I actually question Collingwood... Pendles and Sidebottom are quality players, but as age increases their output and dependence shrinks not grows...
So the next question is, can a youngish list replicate their growth and enthusiasm in year 2 of the new coach??
Can the replicate their winning patterns in close games again??? What did you win like 9 games by under 10pts... you lose 4 of those (which be be closer the the AFL average) then you actuaqlly miss the eight last year.

Accompanied with the harder draw from finishing top 4, it may be an awful thud back to earth for the pies this season

I think not
 
Richmond will surge. I think the AFL are done with their unfair free kick differential plus we have Taranto and Hopper with some good young kids without losing too much talent to retirement.

Melbourne/Geelong/Richmond/Carlton top 4. Brisbane are overrated, barely beat us with no midfield last year. Their best chance was 2020. Sydney will not come back from that GF loss easily. I think they will go backwards next year and then load up and win in a couple years. Their spine is simply not good enough.

In dynasties past the top teams tend to keep playing each other for a long time.

Did you mean surge backwards?
 
Did you mean Bottom 4?
LOL, wow, we have a hindsight hero here. Well done on going back to a November 2022 post to find a prediction I got wrong....
I'm sure 6 months after the fact none of your tips have ever been off the mark, but good on you to trawl through the thread and find mine :rolleyes:

I don't think at that stage I could've picked we'd miss a chunk of our best and most important players in the first half of the season. We never really recovered.
 
LOL, wow, we have a hindsight hero here. Well done on going back to a November 2022 post to find a prediction I got wrong....
I'm sure 6 months after the fact none of your tips have ever been off the mark, but good on you to trawl through the thread and find mine :rolleyes:

I don't think at that stage I could've picked we'd miss a chunk of our best and most important players in the first half of the season. We never really recovered.

Let the excuse factory roll. You are simply an old, tired list that is not good enough.
 

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Prediction 2023 Ladder Prediction Thread

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