AFL 2024 - AFL Opening Round

[balmainforever]

 

[alhay6]

Cripps 25+ $1.94
Cerra 25+ $1.96
Hewett 25+ $2.20
SB

No Walsh. Pretty happy 2/3 at least will go over.

Cripps and Hewett clear beneficiaries last season without Walsh

 

[maskmcgee]

Sportsbet make up for those promos by giving absolute trash SGM odds, your better off getting decent odds elsewhere. If you actually win your costing your yourself money.

...
@67 SB

 

[Jugada]

Game hasnt even been played yet and we already have quality super advanced mathematical models spitting out suggestions of shitty pick your own line multis

24 gonna be a good one

 

[dontlimitme]

Game hasnt even been played yet and we already have quality super advanced mathematical models spitting out suggestions of shitty pick your own line multis

24 gonna be a good one

who will have the advanced AI this year that can predict the 6 leg 60:1 multis

 

[Play On Advantage]

anyone gonna be running Pointsbets spreads this year i did late last year and was just doing like $1 on overs, if any of yall are what approaches/strategies are you going with this year?

Ill be keeping an eye on it. Will post anything I really like or bet.

Cant remember who used to post historical data but found that really useful. I think it might have been NYRB

 

[Play On Advantage]

tailed but swapped Sparrow for Heeney AGS @ 60

Tailed at PB boosted to $79

 

[Play On Advantage]

Chandler 2+
McCarthy 2+
Koschitzke 2+
Callum Brown 2+
$113.93 SB boosted

Tailed

 

[Selim]

As above, pockets & flankers. You get slightly inflated lines when they play worse teams but still think that’s the time there’s value.

I had good wins on ANB & Chandler v North (2nd game) and you would have smashed it on the likes of Rankine v North, Heeney v West Coast etc.

I don’t mind Connor Macdonald, Zorko, ANB, Gresham, Harmes types.
Also waiting for Boak round 1 v West Coast.
Depends on where they set the lines this year. But hoping none of those above 55, all could go 18ish & 2 round 1.

yea i remember going Ainsworth alot last year and he was always good for it usually was around the 60 mark and would kick atleast 1 goal and get close to 20

i think going players like that and maybe putting abit extra on it could be the way to go well for me that is

 

[burge13]

Ill be keeping an eye on it. Will post anything I really like or bet.

Cant remember who used to post historical data but found that really useful. I think it might have been NYRB

NYRB had a bit of success on the player spreads

 

[Selim]

Ill be keeping an eye on it. Will post anything I really like or bet.

Cant remember who used to post historical data but found that really useful. I think it might have been NYRB

yea i remember he use to do the big boy bets on spreads aswell not just measly $1 ones ahah

 

[willba_victory]

I have run my advanced model and it's spat out the following for opening round and round 1 ,

1u Melbourne SU @1.90
1u Brisbane SU + Essendon SU @ 2.00
1u Richmond +49.5 + Port Adelaide 40+ @ 1.95

These are locks will be shocked if any lose

You'd be putting more than '1u' on if you think they are 'locks'

 

[burge13]

You'd be putting more than '1u' on if you think they are 'locks'

It's an advanced model, you wouldn't understand. Just be thankful such genius with super computing, AI, advanced models share their genius' with us mere mortals

 

[dontlimitme]

You'd be putting more than '1u' on if you think they are 'locks'

the model already predicted this reply from you it's 10 steps ahead

 

[Mags98]

spreads still not up on PB?

Mleb -7.5
U164.5 points
GUlden 25+
Oliver 25+
Salem 15+
Fritta 2

@11.50 SB

 

[Fayab99]

You'd be putting more than '1u' on if you think they are 'locks'

I appreciate your perspective, but I adhere to a disciplined betting strategy for long-term profitability. While my model's projections may indicate strong probabilities, I prefer to maintain consistency with 1 unit plays regardless of confidence levels. This approach helps me manage risk effectively and ensures that I stay grounded even when certain outcomes seem highly probable. It's a method that has served me well over time, emphasizing patience and discipline in my betting endeavors

 

[dontlimitme]

I appreciate your perspective, but I adhere to a disciplined betting strategy for long-term profitability. While my model's projections may indicate strong probabilities, I prefer to maintain consistency with 1 unit plays regardless of confidence levels. This approach helps me manage risk effectively and ensures that I stay grounded even when certain outcomes seem highly probable. It's a method that has served me well over time, emphasizing patience and discipline in my betting endeavors

 

[GROTTO]

 

[maskmcgee]

I have run my advanced model and it's spat out the following

Essendon SU

These are locks will be shocked if any lose

Ur model sucks

 

[mookieb]

I dont understand how the Swans are even money with all their outs, if Melbourne cant win that it's going to be a very long year.

What about Melbourne's outs? No Pickett, Petty, Hunter, Oliver underdone. Harmes and Jordon out from last year.

Swans do worry me with midfield outs and not sure if it will take to gell with several new players in.

 

[Rank]

Heeney 25+ $6.50 PB Going into the midfeild

 

[Rank]

Ur model sucks

And what's your model? Get sucked in with bonus SGM bet promotions that give you diluted odds. And I see you quoted my @67 which was a standard multi which is different to a SGM incase you didn't know.

 

[alhay6]

That software is great! What’s it called?

BetSniper AFL Tool

 

[maskmcgee]

and what's your model?

Not betting on Essendon to win. Very successful, has paid of wonderfully over the last 20 years.

 

[dontlimitme]

Heeney 25+/Fritsch 3+ @ 13.72 (PB) boosted
Heeney 20+/Fritsch 2+ @ 3.10 (PB)

might be able to get more on 365 my nans not available right now

 

[MRCB12]

Melb U39
Warner 25+
Total U180.5
$50 @ 5.25

Demons U39
Suns U39
$50 @ 4.95