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balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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- #179
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$113.93 SB boosted
I don't do them often but I always look for lower totals. Usually a pocket who 'should' kick a goal then you hope they work up the ground for touches or a mid with plenty of touches and hope they kick a goal. Feels better risk mitigation than taking overs on some 150+ lineanyone gonna be running Pointsbets spreads this year i did late last year and was just doing like $1 on overs, if any of yall are what approaches/strategies are you going with this year?
yea thats what i was doing aswell going for the people in the 30s and 40s sometimes 50, honestly sticking with them and maybe putting $2 instead of $1 could actually add up to being something good not sure yet will see what points bet offer aswellI don't do them often but I always look for lower totals. Usually a pocket who 'should' kick a goal then you hope they work up the ground for touches or a mid with plenty of touches and hope they kick a goal. Feels better risk mitigation than taking overs on some 150+ line
Yep, got that too. Will no doubt throw it on something ridiculous.Got my free $10 SGM bonus bet from SB, select customers only.
Can split it and bet on other markets in that game too I thinkYep, got that too. Will no doubt throw it on something ridiculous.
Got my free $10 SGM bonus bet from SB, select customers only.
Looks like they are doing the $50 free swing multis on every game this round too. Every NRL game as well
Blues +46.5
Tiges +41.5
Dees +20.5
5u $1.91 TAB
Are you long lost brothers with Fabab?I have run my advanced model and it's spat out the following for opening round and round 1 ,
1u Melbourne SU @1.90
1u Brisbane SU + Essendon SU @ 2.00
1u Richmond +49.5 + Port Adelaide 40+ @ 1.95
These are locks will be shocked if any lose
anyone gonna be running Pointsbets spreads this year i did late last year and was just doing like $1 on overs, if any of yall are what approaches/strategies are you going with this year?
If Essendon don't win against the Hawks I'll give it upEssendon may well win but * I would want $2 for them to win any game before betting on them, let alone in a multi.
They do normally start years of pretty well but on history and form lines they are a disgustingly gross football team.
Goldstein replacing Draper or teaming up doesn’t help their run, no Ridley, they still haven’t worked out their midfield mix, have too many skinny flanker types, and Stringer is still getting away with subpar training standards. Worst of all - they can’t score. They just go out there to overpossess the ball.
Like I said they may still win, mainly because Hawthorn aren’t much chop either, but to me good value betting isn’t always about winning - I’d want a lot more than $2 for a multi that has Essendon ML 1 leg.
Thank you for your opinion but I'll side with my advanced mathematical statistical model based on 1000's of data points and 6 years of redefining and perfecting. I'll stick with that over your opinionEssendon may well win but * I would want $2 for them to win any game before betting on them, let alone in a multi.
They do normally start years of pretty well but on history and form lines they are a disgustingly gross football team.
Goldstein replacing Draper or teaming up doesn’t help their run, no Ridley, they still haven’t worked out their midfield mix, have too many skinny flanker types, and Stringer is still getting away with subpar training standards. Worst of all - they can’t score. They just go out there to overpossess the ball.
Like I said they may still win, mainly because Hawthorn aren’t much chop either, but to me good value betting isn’t always about winning - I’d want a lot more than $2 for a multi that has Essendon ML 1 leg.
Thank you for your opinion but I'll side with my advanced mathematical statistical model based on 1000's of data points and 6 years of redefining and perfecting. I'll stick with that over your opinion
thanks.