AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 16

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Jake Waterman To Kick 2+ Goals
Oscar Allen To Kick 2+ Goals
Jack Darling Anytime Goalscorer
Jamie Cripps Anytime Goalscorer
Jack Ginnivan Anytime Goalscorer

$7.25 PB
 

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1st Half Goalscorer Sunday

Done doubles and treble

Harley Reid AGS 1st Half v Hawks
Zak Butters AGS 1st half v Saints
Sam Walsh AGS 1st Half v Richmond

Combined treble paying $65.37
 
I'm not here to death ride anyones bets, personally the "unders because its raining" has never worked out for me, I've always found they over adjust lines for the weather so I leave it alone.

Went over so I was right btw. Line was 163.5.
Let me get this straight. You wait until half way through the third quarter to post your opinion about my pre-game bet. The over hits on a goal with less than a minute to go, and you want props for being right? Jog on Nostradamus.

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I'm not here to death ride anyones bets, personally the "unders because its raining" has never worked out for me, I've always found they over adjust lines for the weather so I leave it alone.

Went over so I was right btw. Line was 163.5.

conor-mc-gregor-who-the-fook-is-that-guy.gif
 
Let me get this straight. You wait until half way through the third quarter to post your opinion about my pre-game bet. The over hits on a goal with less than a minute to go, and you want props for being right? Jog on Nostradamus.

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I said "rarely works out", was making a statement about generally backing overs/unders based on weather, not your specific bet. At the time of my post I had no idea what the line was or whether it was close or not.
 
I'm not here to death ride anyones bets, personally the "unders because its raining" has never worked out for me, I've always found they over adjust lines for the weather so I leave it alone.

Went over so I was right btw. Line was 163.5.

scoring is way up since the rule change, this is the issue with these unders.

"unders because its raining" used to be a 60% win rate across about 15 seasons and this year has had a few games which did not drop enough so don't buy what you are saying.
 
scoring is way up since the rule change, this is the issue with these unders.

"unders because its raining" used to be a 60% win rate across about 15 seasons and this year has had a few games which did not drop enough so don't buy what you are saying.

Issue is totals move so easily so need to time stuff better than ever.
Fair points
 
scoring is way up since the rule change, this is the issue with these unders.

"unders because its raining" used to be a 60% win rate across about 15 seasons and this year has had a few games which did not drop enough so don't buy what you are saying.
Yes this is good insight , there is still plenty of opportunity to take a position based on weather conditions . Key is beating the closing line, with enough edge you will win long term.
 

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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 16

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