wormy
Senior List
- Sep 22, 2013
- 182
- 250
- AFL Club
- Richmond
Here's an idea, which I think could just about be Richmond's optimal scenario. I don't think anyone here has mentioned it yet - But I saw it suggested by a Melbourne supporter.
Melbourne trade pick 5 for Richmond's 10 or 11 plus one of Richmond's late first rounders.
Why would this benefit Richmond?
Pretty much every scenario we have discussed regarding the top midfielders in the draft involves us getting 2 of the best 5 mids (Lalor, FOS, Smith, Draper, Langford). Eg: we trade 6 and get 1 and 2, or we hold and draft at 1 and 6.
In this scenario, we get 3 of the top 5 mids. We pick at 1, 5 and 6, but also effectively force North to take a tall.
Pick 1) Lalor -Richmond
(his scoring power means he is the only mid from that top group which North could justify at 2, take him off the board so they are forced to go early on Tauru.)
Pick 2) Tauru - North
Pick 3) FOS / Draper - Carlton
Pick 4) FOS / Draper - Adelaide
Pick 5) Smith / Langford - Richmond
Pick 6) Smith / Langford - Richmond
Additional Richmond Picks: 11, 18, 20, 23, 24
Why would Melbourne do this?
I'll preface this by saying I doubt Melbourne do this, but looking at their list, I think they'd love to bring in 2 high quality mids and 1 tall. Where they currently pick (5, 9) only allows them to take 2 players in the draft.
If they took this deal, they'd walk away from this with picks 9, 10 and say 20 from us. Meaning they could select something like Bo Allan (9), Murphy Reid (10), Faull/Whitlock/Shanahan (20).
Considering that I don't think there's much of a difference in talent between guys available to them at 5 (Langford maybe / Smillie) and guys at 10 (Allan / Lindsay / Reid), I think that making this trade would benefit them in being able to add a first round tall as well.
Secondly, Melbourne is known for selecting off it's own board a little bit, so may have different ratings to other teams. Last year they jumped a bit earlier than most expected on Windsor and Tholstrup.
Melbourne trade pick 5 for Richmond's 10 or 11 plus one of Richmond's late first rounders.
Why would this benefit Richmond?
Pretty much every scenario we have discussed regarding the top midfielders in the draft involves us getting 2 of the best 5 mids (Lalor, FOS, Smith, Draper, Langford). Eg: we trade 6 and get 1 and 2, or we hold and draft at 1 and 6.
In this scenario, we get 3 of the top 5 mids. We pick at 1, 5 and 6, but also effectively force North to take a tall.
Pick 1) Lalor -Richmond
(his scoring power means he is the only mid from that top group which North could justify at 2, take him off the board so they are forced to go early on Tauru.)
Pick 2) Tauru - North
Pick 3) FOS / Draper - Carlton
Pick 4) FOS / Draper - Adelaide
Pick 5) Smith / Langford - Richmond
Pick 6) Smith / Langford - Richmond
Additional Richmond Picks: 11, 18, 20, 23, 24
Why would Melbourne do this?
I'll preface this by saying I doubt Melbourne do this, but looking at their list, I think they'd love to bring in 2 high quality mids and 1 tall. Where they currently pick (5, 9) only allows them to take 2 players in the draft.
If they took this deal, they'd walk away from this with picks 9, 10 and say 20 from us. Meaning they could select something like Bo Allan (9), Murphy Reid (10), Faull/Whitlock/Shanahan (20).
Considering that I don't think there's much of a difference in talent between guys available to them at 5 (Langford maybe / Smillie) and guys at 10 (Allan / Lindsay / Reid), I think that making this trade would benefit them in being able to add a first round tall as well.
Secondly, Melbourne is known for selecting off it's own board a little bit, so may have different ratings to other teams. Last year they jumped a bit earlier than most expected on Windsor and Tholstrup.