This actually might be the worst melb cup in recent memory.
Fortunately we have internationals contending, otherwise it would only be locals which apparently all of Australia wants because they don’t know the internationals.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 8 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
This actually might be the worst melb cup in recent memory.
Also have they missed a trick with Duke De Sessa not being nominated? With so little depth this year, surely would have been a chance or at least Top 5 finish.
Fair call - you really would need to take LL on trust that he could find 5-6 lengths if the track was firmer and he managed to settle better.Land Legend’s run was good given the conditions and barrier but definitely not the $15 chance in the MC that TAB currently have him at.
They also have Point King at $10 … crazy.
Full field of "locals" such as Point King, Buckaroo, Land Legend, Circle of Fire, Athabascan, Just Fine...Fortunately we have internationals contending, otherwise it would only be locals which apparently all of Australia wants because they don’t know the internationals.
Yep class at the top of the weights has been the go to form of lateUsually in a Melbourne Cup you'd have top weights which were good, then horses in the middle range in terms weights which were good and then horses with light weights in the 49kg/50kg to 52kg.
I reckon it's been a few years since we have seen a "genuine lightweight chance" in the Melbourne Cup. The fields these days have lighter weighted horses who aren't much good. I reckon this contributed to Verry Elleegants dominant win. I mean sure she was a good horse but that high rating she produced to win the Melbourne Cup, she never produced that sort (or close to) rating again. In a stronger field with more depth she doesn't win a Melbourne Cup.
Anyway back to light weighted horses...there doesn't seem to be any good ones. I think back to horses like Brew (49kg), Rogan Josh (50kg), Shocking (51kg), Media Puzzle (52.5kg)...all horses with good form and with light weights. I miss that.
If you like Buckaroo, do you get on now in the futures market or wait until official markets open ?
Probably get on now because I reckon despite the 3200m query...people will jump on based off his good run in the Caulfield Cup.
Full field of "locals" such as Point King, Buckaroo, Land Legend, Circle of Fire, Athabascan, Just Fine...
We will literally have like 2 Aus horses in the field
Will surely jump $5 on the dayRock bottom price now, personally I’d wait until the day.
This is what I'm thinkingWill surely jump $5 on the day
That’s kinda my point (unless I misinterpreted). Imagine if none of them ever came cos only Australian bred stayers were eligible, would be a BM84 for millions.
It's interesting as there was quite allot of doubt about him getting from 2000 to 2400. Now he needs to go from 2400 to 3200 - I can definitely understand people doubting again or at least being willing to bet against him.
Great point. Do you have him on top at the moment?The doubts were because he flopped his only other run over the trip. Now we have seen him run the trip out strongly with the clear fastest last 200, 400, 600 etc in just his last start.
There should be less concern over running out a trip he has never seen than last week when our only form was a failed previous run at the trip
Great point. Do you have him on top at the moment?
Will go over properly once the dust has settled but almost certainly
Unfortunately we'll all be heading into the Cup with the same questions around Buckaroo, can he run it right out?
Historically they don't get off the plane and win the Cup, would have loved to have seen at least 1 run from the fav.
With that in mind, it opens it right up. If you like 1, back it. It is probably as good a chance as anything.