balmainforever
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2024 Grand Final - Sydney vs Brisbane
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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If mcdonald doesn't get up i don't think Sydney have a billy frampton waiting in the wings to play on Andrews. $51 on sportsbet for N.S
cruskits
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- Oct 27, 2020
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For anyone that wants some stats for this weekends Norm Smith… the following are the number of best on grounds each player got during the year. First column Brownlow / second column AFL coaches votes.
$NA McInerney - 0 / 1
$81 Armartey - 1 / 1
$21 Rayner - 0 / 1
$67 Rowbottom - 0 / 1
$21 Blakey - 0 / 3
$26 Grundy - 0 / 2
$13 McCluggage - 1 / 2
$26 Papley - 1 / 0
$26 Daniher - 2 / 1
$26 Dunkley - 2 / 1
$13 Zorko - 2 / 1
$8 Warner - 4 / 4
$9 Gulden - 4 / 3
$7 Neale - 6 / 8
$5 Heeney - 7 / 9
$NA McInerney - 0 / 1
$81 Armartey - 1 / 1
$21 Rayner - 0 / 1
$67 Rowbottom - 0 / 1
$21 Blakey - 0 / 3
$26 Grundy - 0 / 2
$13 McCluggage - 1 / 2
$26 Papley - 1 / 0
$26 Daniher - 2 / 1
$26 Dunkley - 2 / 1
$13 Zorko - 2 / 1
$8 Warner - 4 / 4
$9 Gulden - 4 / 3
$7 Neale - 6 / 8
$5 Heeney - 7 / 9
Cripps for Norm Smith
My thoughts are that Sydney’s late season form slump was a heavy training session period. They looked exhausted - e.g. against Port. No legs. So I think I go back to them being the best team all year and by some margin. They kick goals at a rapid pace and can put teams away even if they don’t play 4 quarters.
Brisbane have a stacked playing list especially when the likes of Ashcroft, Lohmann, Lester, Answerth & Ah Chee are in super form and are (at this stage of their careers) 2nd & 3rd tier players. So they could surprise. But I think ultimately Geelong got beaten by Brisbane when Brisbane forced 1 on 1s with stupidly fast ball movement - exposing a lot of system players Geelong have. Sydney will still have the 1 on 1 players to combat that.
It’s a grand final so you can always be wrong easily but I’m happy with my process here.
Sydney -24.5 $3.30
-35.5 $5
-58.5 $14
Heeney NS $5
Warner NS $8
Jordon NS $101 (kicks 2-3 tagging Zorko and he could get it)
Hayward, Heeney & Papley 2-4 goals closer to the day
Brisbane have a stacked playing list especially when the likes of Ashcroft, Lohmann, Lester, Answerth & Ah Chee are in super form and are (at this stage of their careers) 2nd & 3rd tier players. So they could surprise. But I think ultimately Geelong got beaten by Brisbane when Brisbane forced 1 on 1s with stupidly fast ball movement - exposing a lot of system players Geelong have. Sydney will still have the 1 on 1 players to combat that.
It’s a grand final so you can always be wrong easily but I’m happy with my process here.
Sydney -24.5 $3.30
-35.5 $5
-58.5 $14
Heeney NS $5
Warner NS $8
Jordon NS $101 (kicks 2-3 tagging Zorko and he could get it)
Hayward, Heeney & Papley 2-4 goals closer to the day
Swans -4.5 for me
Brisbane forward so selfish and inaccurate, not really taggers and I'll back Sydney class
Blakey/Gulden NS
Papley/Lohman FGS
Will have a few SGM on the day
If any of you were smart you'd fade everything I post. Not sure I've won a GF bet since WCE/Hawks (Boyd should have won NS in the meantime though! Robbed)
Brisbane forward so selfish and inaccurate, not really taggers and I'll back Sydney class
Blakey/Gulden NS
Papley/Lohman FGS
Will have a few SGM on the day
If any of you were smart you'd fade everything I post. Not sure I've won a GF bet since WCE/Hawks (Boyd should have won NS in the meantime though! Robbed)
- May 20, 2016
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5000u BRISBANE
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,320
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- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Set up his own Discord and tried to get people to come in there as part of their group.
I keep thinking sydney by how much? But then again I can't see Brisbane being overawed by the moment because of last year, and they now can play the G well.
Hoping for a good game but I'll nibble on Sydney 40+ at $5.80
Hoping for a good game but I'll nibble on Sydney 40+ at $5.80
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,320
- 11,135
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- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
First Goalscorer Bets:
Kai Lohmann- looks like he doesn't mind the big stage. Has kicked a goal every game played at the MCG and will get opportunities. Happy to have a punt on him, if he is named to start on the ground. Started off the bench last game. Seems to have got better every game that he has played on the MCG.
Others added are:
Rayner
Luke Parker
Will Hayward
with a saver on Lachie Neale and Errol Gulden. Gulden has 8 goals from 4 games against Brisbane and tends to save his best for them.
Norm Smith Medal- Lohmann. He can do a similar thing to what Bobby Hill did last year. Love the odds.
TAB Touch WA have this offer:
Will have another play on FGS once teams are confirmed lineups are confirmed 1 hour before game.
Taken Errol Gulden for Norm Smith offer from WA TAB Touch offer as well at $8.70. Am aware that high disposals wont necessarily mean he wins the medal as well. Given his line is 25.5 disposals, it feels like a bit of a free hit from my side. Ill get a bet refund at worst if he clears 30+ disposals.
Kai Lohmann- looks like he doesn't mind the big stage. Has kicked a goal every game played at the MCG and will get opportunities. Happy to have a punt on him, if he is named to start on the ground. Started off the bench last game. Seems to have got better every game that he has played on the MCG.
Others added are:
Rayner
Luke Parker
Will Hayward
with a saver on Lachie Neale and Errol Gulden. Gulden has 8 goals from 4 games against Brisbane and tends to save his best for them.
Norm Smith Medal- Lohmann. He can do a similar thing to what Bobby Hill did last year. Love the odds.
TAB Touch WA have this offer:
Will have another play on FGS once teams are confirmed lineups are confirmed 1 hour before game.
Taken Errol Gulden for Norm Smith offer from WA TAB Touch offer as well at $8.70. Am aware that high disposals wont necessarily mean he wins the medal as well. Given his line is 25.5 disposals, it feels like a bit of a free hit from my side. Ill get a bet refund at worst if he clears 30+ disposals.
Last edited:
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,320
- 11,135
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Did manage to get the $4.00 available.
On Joe Daniher for NS @ 26.
Could have won it last year. Kicked 3.3 against them last time too.
Could have won it last year. Kicked 3.3 against them last time too.
- May 20, 2016
- 9,978
- 14,794
- AFL Club
- GWS
reminder to everyone please use/look at betfair exchange for norm smith bets always much better odds especially for the longer ones
First goal too, plenty of good prices near kick off
Cameron 2+
Papley 2+
Ah Chee 2+
Amarty 2+
Daniher ags
Gulden 20+
McCluggage 20+
U192.5
$98 sb
Playing around with the apps it seems sb have increased their multi algorithms for this match. It's usually PB or b365 that offer the best.
Papley 2+
Ah Chee 2+
Amarty 2+
Daniher ags
Gulden 20+
McCluggage 20+
U192.5
$98 sb
Playing around with the apps it seems sb have increased their multi algorithms for this match. It's usually PB or b365 that offer the best.
- May 20, 2016
- 9,978
- 14,794
- AFL Club
- GWS
