yep them hawks look like easy beats. carlton only have to show up to get the points really.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 6 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
2024 Ladder Predictions
- Thread starter Angus Young
- Start date
- Tagged users None
- Sep 7, 2009
- 6,570
- 6,984
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Real Madrid, Man City, GS Warriors
| W | L | D | % | ||
| 1. | Sydney | 18 | 5 | 0 | 131.8% |
| 2. | Carlton | 18 | 5 | 0 | 118.0% |
| 3. | Geelong | 17 | 6 | 0 | 122.3% |
| 4. | Brisbane Lions | 15 | 7 | 1 | 119.8% |
| 5. | Essendon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 101.4% |
| 6. | Hawthorn | 14 | 9 | 0 | 105.8% |
| 7. | Port Adelaide | 14 | 9 | 0 | 103.7% |
| 8. | Western Bulldogs | 13 | 10 | 0 | 115.0% |
| 9. | Gold Coast | 12 | 11 | 0 | 103.4% |
| 10. | Collingwood | 11 | 10 | 2 | 101.8% |
| 11. | Fremantle | 11 | 11 | 1 | 104.3% |
| 12. | GWS | 11 | 12 | 0 | 104.4% |
| 13. | Melbourne | 11 | 12 | 0 | 97.9% |
| 14. | St Kilda | 7 | 16 | 0 | 88.3% |
| 15. | Adelaide | 6 | 16 | 1 | 93.9% |
| 16. | West Coast | 4 | 19 | 0 | 73.1% |
| 17. | Richmond | 4 | 19 | 0 | 70.4% |
| 18. | North Melbourne | 4 | 19 | 0 | 69.1% |
QF2: Carlton v GEELONG
EF1: ESSENDON v Western Bulldogs
EF2: HAWTHORN v Port Adelaide
SF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Essendon
SF2: Carlton v HAWTHORN
PF1: SYDNEY v Hawthorn
PF2: GEELONG v Brisbane Lions
GF: Sydney v GEELONG
2022 redux.
- Sep 21, 2004
- 39,279
- 29,231
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Norwood & Liverpool.
squiggle is a bag of garbage
still has us winning 6
does squiggle know anything?
Sent from my SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app
still has us winning 6
does squiggle know anything?
Sent from my SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app
Squiggle doesn't deal in absolutes and individually does not select WC to win another game. However every game has some chance (minor) and the accumulation of those minor chances adds up to 1.84 wins for the remainder of the season.
The squiggle system does flatten the ladder a little because of this.
As a contrast on individual games it is predicting Western Bulldogs to win 7 of 8 but the margins are such that the probability only credits 4.82 and finishing at 12.82 rather than 15 that 7 wins would provide
Carlton also predicted to win 7 of 8 but only credited with 4.6 to get to 15.6 rather than the 18.
- Oct 16, 2016
- 9,110
- 18,155
- AFL Club
- Carlton
I think Essendon are a very real chance of missing the finals. They've had the softest draw ever
Sydney and Brisbane to finish the year may be a baptism of fire.
Everyone below Carlton is a chance to miss. Reckon there are realistic scenarios where a team misses the 8 with 13 wins but 3rd only has 14.5 or 15 wins.
Crazy close and you can't afford to be off on the run home.
- Sep 21, 2004
- 39,279
- 29,231
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Norwood & Liverpool.
Dayum we finish top 3?
Would be very interesting to see all the backflippers here who had us close to bottom 4 having to eat crow.
BennyGFunk
Team Captain
- Sep 4, 2019
- 373
- 625
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Sep 21, 2004
- 39,279
- 29,231
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Norwood & Liverpool.
LoL well I just did a quick "don't think too hard about it" prediction.
Looks about right to me though
Sent from my SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app
This is as real as it gets. No team below Carlton are safe. Each are 2 or 3 poor games from toppling out the 8.
Man I've seen some predictions but not sure how we don't win another game from here.
It may or may not have been an old ladder
Hawthorn only win 3 more with North/Richmond to go as almost certain wins? 1 outside of that?
- Sep 21, 2004
- 39,279
- 29,231
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Norwood & Liverpool.
Didn't think too hard about it.
had Hawks losing to geel, Coll, adel, gws,Carl,
Didn't think that was unfair
Sent from my SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app
- Sep 20, 2016
- 2,333
- 1,935
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- Liverpool, Red Sox, Philly Eagles
Taking into account form (7/8 last 8 Inc an under 5 loss) form would have Hawthorn, Sydney and probably Carlton as the clear form sides. This didn’t change anything with the bye either, bar making these sides fresher.
Geelong - 50/50
Collingwood - 50/50 form iffy and Hawthorn would go in favourites with their recent form
Adelaide - Hawthorn would go in favourites (Adelaide away is tough normally, but lost to Richmond recently there, not as big of a factor as normal)
GWS - 50/50, form has been up and down, although an away game for the Hawks at Canberra.
Carlton - the one game Hawthorn go in as underdogs with a chance to win but there’s going to be a loss somewhere and this would be the most likely, against a fellow form side.
It isn’t unfair to tip these sides against Hawthorn, but considerations of upsets and form have to make it unlikely they lose all of these games.
- Mar 25, 2019
- 11,637
- 23,387
- AFL Club
- Carlton
Yep
The Prosecutor
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 13, 2011
- 12,347
- 19,733
- AFL Club
- Essendon
I think that puts a line through Hawthorn and probably GC to be honest. Bulldogs have no room for error now with a very tough three weeks upcoming.
BomberBoy123
Cancelled
- Apr 8, 2024
- 154
- 155
- AFL Club
- Essendon
How have they had a soft draw?
Played the reigning premiers twice.
Sydney in Sydney.
Played both SA teams away.
Gold Coast in QLD.
What’s been soft about it compared to other teams? Genuinely interested.
- Sep 7, 2009
- 6,570
- 6,984
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Real Madrid, Man City, GS Warriors
| W | L | D | % | ||
| 1. | Sydney | 21 | 2 | 0 | 152.5% |
| 2. | Carlton | 18 | 5 | 0 | 121.7% |
| 3. | Geelong | 17 | 6 | 0 | 123.2% |
| 4. | Essendon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 98.7% |
| 5. | Melbourne | 13 | 10 | 0 | 104.3% |
| 6. | Port Adelaide | 13 | 10 | 0 | 102.4% |
| 7. | Fremantle | 12 | 10 | 1 | 102.8% |
| 8. | GWS | 12 | 11 | 0 | 104.9% |
| 9. | Collingwood | 11 | 10 | 2 | 100.9% |
| 10. | Gold Coast | 11 | 12 | 0 | 101.9% |
| 11. | Hawthorn | 11 | 12 | 0 | 95.6% |
| 12. | Brisbane Lions | 10 | 12 | 1 | 104.9% |
| 13. | Western Bulldogs | 10 | 13 | 0 | 101.7% |
| 14. | Adelaide | 7 | 15 | 1 | 97.2% |
| 15. | St Kilda | 7 | 16 | 0 | 87.3% |
| 16. | Richmond | 7 | 16 | 0 | 76.4% |
| 17. | West Coast | 5 | 18 | 0 | 74.2% |
| 18. | North Melbourne | 5 | 18 | 0 | 73.2% |
QF2: Carlton v GEELONG
EF1: MELBOURNE v GWS
EF2: PORT ADELAIDE v Fremantle
SF1: Essendon v MELBOURNE
SF2: Carlton v PORT ADELAIDE
PF1: SYDNEY v Port Adelaide
PF2: GEELONG v Melbourne
GF: Sydney v GEELONG
Port arnt beating Carlton at an mcg final
