balmainforever
Dibs
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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 2
- Thread starter balmainforever
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- Oct 6, 2011
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Sportsbet Free Hit
Carlton v Hawks Thursday Night
Sam Walsh AGS
Hawks 1-39 pts
Odds: $5.50
Topped up a little bit more on Ladbrokes at $7.16 (1u)
Hawks very good against Carlton last year . Not too sure if the gap has closed between these two teams. See a Hawks win still and Walsh to kick a goal like he did last week. Hoping the extra day rest , and Hawks playing 3 games to Carltons 2 , might keep this a closer contest. Hawks lost the 2nd half to a 'fresher' Essendon last week.
Thats my first play for this week.
Carlton v Hawks Thursday Night
Sam Walsh AGS
Hawks 1-39 pts
Odds: $5.50
Topped up a little bit more on Ladbrokes at $7.16 (1u)
Hawks very good against Carlton last year . Not too sure if the gap has closed between these two teams. See a Hawks win still and Walsh to kick a goal like he did last week. Hoping the extra day rest , and Hawks playing 3 games to Carltons 2 , might keep this a closer contest. Hawks lost the 2nd half to a 'fresher' Essendon last week.
Thats my first play for this week.
O'Donnell has a broken jaw and is potentially going to be out. He's not coming into the team as he played 3 quarters last week before being subbed out. Best case scenario is he stays in the team.
Buku will be in to replace Cleary as the 3rd tall after Archer deleted him.
No change to Freijah's role based on these changes but he might push into the mids again and snag 3 goals to make the dreams of the degens come true.
Buku will be in to replace Cleary as the 3rd tall after Archer deleted him.
No change to Freijah's role based on these changes but he might push into the mids again and snag 3 goals to make the dreams of the degens come true.
Last edited:
- Moderator
- #33
Players with semi-value that have had 3+ scoring shots in all of their games played this season (small sample size, I know) :
Odds via SB
Carl vs Haw
Moore: AGS $1.14, 2+ 1.78
Cottrell: AGS $1.92, 2+ $5.90
WB vs Coll
Dale: AGS $2.95, 2+ $14
Sanders: AGS $2.20, 2+ $8
Vandermeer: AGS $1.33, 2+ $2.65
Ess vs Adel
Draper: AGS $1.42, 2+ $3
Kako: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.84
Perkins: AGS $1.33, 2+ $2.70
Dawson: AGS $1.69, 2+ $4.75
Fogarty: AGS $1.16, 2+ $1.91
Rachele: AGS $1.36, 2+ $2.85
Rankine: AGS $1.22, 2+ $2.20
Thilthorpe: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.91
StK vs Geel
Hall: AGS $1.53, 2+ $3.70, 2+ $3.70
Higgins: AGS $1.17, 2+ $1.96, 2+ $1.96
Wood: AGS $1.36, 2+ $2.80, 2+ $2.80
Dangerfield: AGS $1.23, 2+ $2.25
Dempsey: AGS $1.83, 2+ $5.50
Stengle: AGS $1.17, 2+ $1.88
NM vs Mel
Curtis: AGS $1.32, 2+ $2.65
Zurhaar: AGS $1.24, 2+ $2.30
Johnson: AGS $1.30, 2+ $2.55
Petracca: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.84
Fre vs Syd
Reid: AGS $1.31, 2+ $2.55
Odds via SB
Carl vs Haw
Moore: AGS $1.14, 2+ 1.78
Cottrell: AGS $1.92, 2+ $5.90
WB vs Coll
Dale: AGS $2.95, 2+ $14
Sanders: AGS $2.20, 2+ $8
Vandermeer: AGS $1.33, 2+ $2.65
Ess vs Adel
Draper: AGS $1.42, 2+ $3
Kako: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.84
Perkins: AGS $1.33, 2+ $2.70
Dawson: AGS $1.69, 2+ $4.75
Fogarty: AGS $1.16, 2+ $1.91
Rachele: AGS $1.36, 2+ $2.85
Rankine: AGS $1.22, 2+ $2.20
Thilthorpe: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.91
StK vs Geel
Hall: AGS $1.53, 2+ $3.70, 2+ $3.70
Higgins: AGS $1.17, 2+ $1.96, 2+ $1.96
Wood: AGS $1.36, 2+ $2.80, 2+ $2.80
Dangerfield: AGS $1.23, 2+ $2.25
Dempsey: AGS $1.83, 2+ $5.50
Stengle: AGS $1.17, 2+ $1.88
NM vs Mel
Curtis: AGS $1.32, 2+ $2.65
Zurhaar: AGS $1.24, 2+ $2.30
Johnson: AGS $1.30, 2+ $2.55
Petracca: AGS $1.15, 2+ $1.84
Fre vs Syd
Reid: AGS $1.31, 2+ $2.55
I reckon it’ll be Rayner. Cameron will get Hough who is decent enough as a lockdown defender.
Decent heat map, was busy early (9 disposals 0.2 1st quarter) and did his usual 2nd half disappearing act.
Probably chase Bailey too, he can easily kick 4 again
Modra6
Debutant
This is spot on. No thanks. Ended up in the middle late in the game tagging a north mid which explains the possies forward of centre. Unless he plays that role again he will be half back
Jeremy Cameron 1-3 sgm loophole @ 2.10
Jeremy Cameron 4 bonus bet @ 4
Both with sb. St will be better after last week and back at marvel but 1 a quarter seems reasonable
Jeremy Cameron 4 bonus bet @ 4
Both with sb. St will be better after last week and back at marvel but 1 a quarter seems reasonable
Love this. I’m on him 2-6
what's the loophole here? he's currently $2.15 for 3 goals on SB so you get worse odds
- May 20, 2016
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money back one fail
If he kicks 2 i get money back as bonus bet
Jack Henderson for the dee's had a decent heat map last week kicking 1.
Goes from playing against a top 4 side in gws in the wet to playing norf under roof at marvel.
Hopefully gets a look or 3.
Ags $2.65
2+ $11
3+ $61 b365
Goes from playing against a top 4 side in gws in the wet to playing norf under roof at marvel.
Hopefully gets a look or 3.
Ags $2.65
2+ $11
3+ $61 b365
Your right, Thilthorpe plays less time foward going into the ruck and that's the risk with him, I'm still confident both him and Fog will kick plenty this year
TheCatsMan
Debutant
I'm on the Cottrell train this week - 2/3/4 5.9/21/100 with Bet365. Been wayward, but has had plenty of opportunity. One week he will put it together!
Does Tom Brown go forward with Lynch out? 2,3 @ 12,61 on 365
Only getting 7.40 and 13.74 for those now and Roos line into +18.5, so aging nicely. The teams just gotta get the job done now.
