A Bit Dusty
2017🏆2019🏆2020🏆
- Oct 6, 2017
- 13,870
- 40,245
- AFL Club
- Richmond
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Yep...On second thought, you're ****ed!You think it looks good… so it could be bad too
I've often wondered about trying this strategy myself, be interesting to see how it works for you.I'll start off by saying that i dont think my strategy will work that well but i am committed to it. In saying that i dont think i will leave as much as 720k but i also think that if i can find the right rookies and mid-pricers early i wont be as far behind as some might think.
Thats because the right mid-pricers will increase their average and price significantly while premiums will generally not improve their average and obviously their prices will drop. A key part of my strategy will be selecting plenty of mid-pricers - this is significant.
What mid-pricers and cash in the bank can do is move forward the trading 'timeline'. Instead of waiting for full cash generation from rookies (which generally takes about 6 games) i can use mid-pricers to bridge the gap. Mid-pricers will take less time than rookies to max out in price, or rather, the cash they generate slows down quicker than rookies (obviously this depends on if they are a cheap mid-pricer or a more expensive one) so you can trade them earlier. Premiums dont take 6 weeks to bottom out in price, again about 4 weeks is average.
So what im saying is that the advantage of a strategy involving lots of mid-pricers and cash in the bank is, is the ability to trade to premiums earlier than the rest of the competition. Generally the first 5-6 weeks is waiting for cash generation from rookies or sideways trading mid-pricers and even premiums. Then, its upgrade season from about round 6. If i can start trading premiums in 2-3 weeks before the rest of the competition, it will start to narrow the gap and the points lost from starting with a cheaper team.
Obviously, this relies on picking the right mid-pricers and assessing quickly which ones are worth keeping and which to cull. I can still sideways trade mid-pricers in the first 3 rounds if need be. If i nail the mid-pricers the gap of lets say 700k in price which equals about 120 points will not equate to that many points lost per week. Im hoping that the difference is about half of that.
So i think, it can work. It probably wont, as it relies on picking the right mid-pricers and trading well...but im committed
Geeez. What a way to start 2025!Yep...On second thought, you're ****ed!
I'll start off by saying that i dont think my strategy will work that well but i am committed to it. In saying that i dont think i will leave as much as 720k but i also think that if i can find the right rookies and mid-pricers early i wont be as far behind as some might think.
Thats because the right mid-pricers will increase their average and price significantly while premiums will generally not improve their average and obviously their prices will drop. A key part of my strategy will be selecting plenty of mid-pricers - this is significant.
What mid-pricers and cash in the bank can do is move forward the trading 'timeline'. Instead of waiting for full cash generation from rookies (which generally takes about 6 games) i can use mid-pricers to bridge the gap. Mid-pricers will take less time than rookies to max out in price, or rather, the cash they generate slows down quicker than rookies (obviously this depends on if they are a cheap mid-pricer or a more expensive one) so you can trade them earlier. Premiums dont take 6 weeks to bottom out in price, again about 4 weeks is average.
So what im saying is that the advantage of a strategy involving lots of mid-pricers and cash in the bank is, is the ability to trade to premiums earlier than the rest of the competition. Generally the first 5-6 weeks is waiting for cash generation from rookies or sideways trading mid-pricers and even premiums. Then, its upgrade season from about round 6. If i can start trading premiums in 2-3 weeks before the rest of the competition, it will start to narrow the gap and the points lost from starting with a cheaper team.
Obviously, this relies on picking the right mid-pricers and assessing quickly which ones are worth keeping and which to cull. I can still sideways trade mid-pricers in the first 3 rounds if need be. If i nail the mid-pricers the gap of lets say 700k in price which equals about 120 points will not equate to that many points lost per week. Im hoping that the difference is about half of that.
So i think, it can work. It probably wont, as it relies on picking the right mid-pricers and trading well...but im committed
Generally that means you will need to trade more players because you dont have as many 'keepers' to start with. Hope it works out for ya though mateI'll start off by saying that i dont think my strategy will work that well but i am committed to it. In saying that i dont think i will leave as much as 720k but i also think that if i can find the right rookies and mid-pricers early i wont be as far behind as some might think.
Thats because the right mid-pricers will increase their average and price significantly while premiums will generally not improve their average and obviously their prices will drop. A key part of my strategy will be selecting plenty of mid-pricers - this is significant.
What mid-pricers and cash in the bank can do is move forward the trading 'timeline'. Instead of waiting for full cash generation from rookies (which generally takes about 6 games) i can use mid-pricers to bridge the gap. Mid-pricers will take less time than rookies to max out in price, or rather, the cash they generate slows down quicker than rookies (obviously this depends on if they are a cheap mid-pricer or a more expensive one) so you can trade them earlier. Premiums dont take 6 weeks to bottom out in price, again about 4 weeks is average.
So what im saying is that the advantage of a strategy involving lots of mid-pricers and cash in the bank is, is the ability to trade to premiums earlier than the rest of the competition. Generally the first 5-6 weeks is waiting for cash generation from rookies or sideways trading mid-pricers and even premiums. Then, its upgrade season from about round 6. If i can start trading premiums in 2-3 weeks before the rest of the competition, it will start to narrow the gap and the points lost from starting with a cheaper team.
Obviously, this relies on picking the right mid-pricers and assessing quickly which ones are worth keeping and which to cull. I can still sideways trade mid-pricers in the first 3 rounds if need be. If i nail the mid-pricers the gap of lets say 700k in price which equals about 120 points will not equate to that many points lost per week. Im hoping that the difference is about half of that.
So i think, it can work. It probably wont, as it relies on picking the right mid-pricers and trading well...but im committed
Looking at something similar, even if it’s only for today.View attachment 2196360
This is my first crack at it. As always, going for absolutely value across the lines. Sinclair the only one I currently have who is "top line" and that's because of their fantastic bye, his consistency and the fact that I don't love a lot of the defender options (outside of those who share the R3 bye with Mills and Coleman).
A lot of people will shudder at the lack of tip liners, but I'm a firm believer that they will all have a down game and I'll be able to target them in upgrade season.
Tracs, Dawson, Rozee and Oliver are all budget options, but all are class players and I back them to outperform their price.
Cumming to me is the Nic Martin sytle play from last year. Think he will make 150k and will be able to swing him to the backline eventually.
OG Seagull in the guts is a bold moveVersion 6 or is it 7 ..l'm losing count l'm still not sure on Rivers and am thinking of switching him with Sinclair and finding another mid but not sure who to get . Bank would be around $486K. Any suggestions? View attachment 2196495
Habitual line steppers, mate, cheeky little rascals, some of 'em.
Cream always raises to the top.Habitual line steppers, mate, cheeky little rascals, some of 'em.
But new year, new Scoops, all good
I like this a lot except for S.Darcy. Bloke just can’t stay fit.Version 2 - thought I’d give the players a run we’ve been talking about lately across the threads.
View attachment 2196799
Cream always raises to the top.
The OG Scoops .
Seems a bit of a risk, and he's not coming at a hefty discount or anything. Plus there's a little bit of a question mark with him and Luke Jackson in the one side (I know both have done fine at times in the same side, but it is not ideal)I like this a lot except for S.Darcy. Bloke just can’t stay fit.
Been a big summer....
... time to start getting the reps back in.
BTW: Cam Guthrie, mate: Where's he at? Tempting proice, Franco Cozzo areas, if the body is niggle-free to start.
Love this.View attachment 2196360
This is my first crack at it. As always, going for absolutely value across the lines. Sinclair the only one I currently have who is "top line" and that's because of their fantastic bye, his consistency and the fact that I don't love a lot of the defender options (outside of those who share the R3 bye with Mills and Coleman).
A lot of people will shudder at the lack of tip liners, but I'm a firm believer that they will all have a down game and I'll be able to target them in upgrade season.
Tracs, Dawson, Rozee and Oliver are all budget options, but all are class players and I back them to outperform their price.
Cumming to me is the Nic Martin sytle play from last year. Think he will make 150k and will be able to swing him to the backline eventually.
I picked a heap of rd0 players last year, had a decent season in the end. I'll do the same again this year. Any rd0 player I have my eye on, if they do well in rd0, they're in. I don't think it's as simple as "their total points will be less". With best 18 scores in the bye rounds, you can afford to take them imo.Round 0 has killed variety for SC teams.
Most people are (rightly) selecting their majority of players from 10 teams.
Add in those 4 cut-price forwards, and we have spidermen pointing at each other everywhere (IYKYK).
For rookies/mid priced players it's fine for Premos it's not in theory in R3 you could have multiples of Dunkley/Neale/Stewart/Holmes/Daicos/Houston/Henney/Gulden/Warner,I picked a heap of rd0 players last year, had a decent season in the end. I'll do the same again this year. Any rd0 player I have my eye on, if they do well in rd0, they're in. I don't think it's as simple as "their total points will be less". With best 18 scores in the bye rounds, you can afford to take them imo.
that's the problem with rd0, not avoiding the rd0 players, it's that everybody will pick the good-looking rd0 players if they dominate in rd0.