- Dec 27, 2016
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The sleeping bag may have simply come along with the child, wedged between he and her.Ok
So he's a career offender of this type of crime, that just happened to be prowling around a camp ground at the exact moment a child wakes to need a drink and hears an exchange between child and Mother.
Even though he's amped up he decides to hide out of sight but close enough to see and hear when all are back asleep and in the dark overcast conditions he concludes that within the tent is a divider that provides him cover in order to unzip the tent and abduct a child a mere meter away from her parent/s, he then creeps over, unzips the tent, see's the child under the unzipped sleeping bag carefully tucked in by Mum and decides rather than simply pull back the sleeping bag and scoop up the child, he takes the child and untucks the sleeping bag which would have disturbed the then light weight air mattress and retreats to his vehicle which by this time has been sitting close by for an hour and disappears into the night and is undetected 12 days later.
I never said ‘petty thief turned child abductor’ myself.Where are we up to now with an abduction scenario?
Looks like we've ruled out petty thief turned child abductor by chance meeting so we'll go straight to child abductor with/without priors.
This guy goes to a camp ground which may or may not contain children, a week after school holidays i might add which you'd assume would be a better time to find children camping but anyway, he leaves his phone at home or switched off, because he doesn't want to leave an electronic footprint on any of those towers, whilst he abducts a child, parks his car well away so it isn't linked to his impending child abduction and goes wandering around a remote campground at 1am in the morning.
By chance he happens to hear a child wake up and the ensuing exchange with her mother who gets her a drink.
He's amped up and decides to hide for however long it takes them to all go back to sleep, but not too far away as he's able to see the divider that provides him the required cover to abduct a child a mere meter away from her parent/s within a tent and he needs to know when they do finally fall back asleep to take his opportunity.
When the coast is clear, he sneaks over, unzips the tent and see's a child lying under an unzipped sleeping bag thats neatly tucked under the mattress by Mum.
He reaches in but rather than pull back the sleeping bag and take the child he decides to untuck the sleeping bag and take that too which naturally disturbs the now light weight air mattress.
He then carries the child and unzipped sleeping bag all the way back to the car he left a long way away to prevent it being seen and linked to the child abduction he's just committed and disappears into the night without leaving a trace and 12 days later is still undetected.
If he had already knocked stuff off, he’d probably be out of there. So I doubt he stole anything prior to the
Was there actual visual footage of Cleo on the CCTV, or was it just audio only?
Were there other young kids at the camp site that could of sounded like Cleo? Could the cops be trying to hide something by saying they have audio of Cleo at the campsite?
Where are we up to now with an abduction scenario?
Looks like we've ruled out petty thief turned child abductor by chance meeting so we'll go straight to child abductor with/without priors.
This guy goes to a camp ground which may or may not contain children, a week after school holidays i might add which you'd assume would be a better time to find children camping but anyway, he leaves his phone at home or switched off, because he doesn't want to leave an electronic footprint on any of those towers whilst he abducts a child, parks his car well away so it isn't linked to his impending child abduction and goes wandering around a remote campground at 1am in the morning.
By chance he happens to hear a child wake up and the ensuing exchange with her mother who gets her a drink.
He's amped up and decides to hide for however long it takes them to all go back to sleep, but not too far away as he's able to see the divider that provides him the required cover to abduct a child a mere meter away from her parent/s within a tent and he needs to know when they do finally fall back asleep to take his opportunity.
When the coast is clear, he sneaks over, unzips the tent and see's a child lying under an unzipped sleeping bag thats neatly tucked under the mattress by Mum.
He reaches in but rather than pull back the sleeping bag and take the child he decides to untuck the sleeping bag and take that too which naturally disturbs the now light weight air mattress.
He then carries the child and unzipped sleeping bag all the way back to the car he left a long way away to prevent it being seen and linked to the child abduction he's just committed and disappears into the night without leaving a trace and 12 days later is still undetected.
The sleeping bag may have simply come along with the child, wedged between he and her.
I guess it’s because it’s likely he didn’t know the child previously so didn’t know that such an opportunity would arrive. If it was opportunistic, why else would someone be at that location. My first suggestion on this board was that he was peeping through caravans. As in a peeping tom. But would you put theft beyond someone like that? I wouldn’t. So I went along with potential thief too. Just a scumbag opportunist who was obviously already with pedophile tendencies.Why is it likely a child abductor/murderer is a campsite thief? I don't see how the two actions are in any way related.
Yep no argument on that from meI’m saying he’s likely a pedophile who didn’t expect a child when he went to the camp but took the opportunity when it presented itself. He may have been there for theft initially.
could it be that somewhere in the sleeping bag vicinity is where the parents kept their purse/handbag/wallet keys etcNo matter how much thought l put into this case; no matter how much l read about it; no matter how many theories arise; there's one thing that flummoxes me and gets in the way of everything every time.
The sleeping bag. Why take it? It just doesn't make sense. Taking an item of comfort to a child has been historically linked to cases where the abductor has some feelings for the child, or needs a covering for the child because he can't face what he's about to do, or has already done.
Jon Benet Ramsay was found wrapped in her own blanket. Jaidyn Leske was found in his own sleeping bag. This has to be someone who knew little Cleo.
It’s not fool proof to me as I think he will be caught.What do you mean?
Are you suggesting he just reached in and grabbed the whole lot and picked it up?
Im not sure if you've been camping before but sleeping bags and air mattresses make quite a bit of noise when being dragged or moved around against the typical bucket type floor of those tents, i know, i have a Coleman instant up gold series.
And thats before you even consider the noise of the zip being opened before he gets that far and the child when disturbed who's only recently fallen back to sleep.
None of which wakes up either parent who have also just gone back to sleep.
See if were going to accept the abduction theory then there needs to be a scenario that fits all the pieces and is basically fool proof as 12 days later there are virtually no leads.
If he had already knocked stuff off, he’d probably be out of there. So I doubt he stole anything prior to the
I’m saying he’s likely a pedophile who didn’t expect a child when he went to the camp but took the opportunity when it presented itself. He may have been there for theft initially.
You obviously can’t fault the police for this - they are just following every possible lead - but it sends a mixed message. On one hand, we think she’s been abducted but on the other we’ll search the parents’ house for seven hours.
There have been plenty of crimes where the police have been content for someone they suspect of committing a crime to think they are following other avenues, only to charge them when the case is strong enough. Hard not to think that’s possible here.
So if he's not there for child abduction or theft why wouldn't he have a phone, or why would it be switched off and why would he park where no one noticed him?I never said ‘petty thief turned child abductor’ myself.
Likely he is a pedophile but was initially at that location for other reasons. No one here has given good reason to rule that out that I’m aware of.
I just don’t buy that he followed the family or targeted that victim prior to that night. That’s atypical for this kind of crime.
Easier to scoop up a child without disturbing them by taking them and the sleeping bag rather than pulling it off then grabbing them I would suspectNo matter how much thought l put into this case; no matter how much l read about it; no matter how many theories arise; there's one thing that flummoxes me and gets in the way of everything every time.
The sleeping bag. Why take it? It just doesn't make sense. Taking an item of comfort to a child has been historically linked to cases where the abductor has some feelings for the child, or needs a covering for the child because he can't face what he's about to do, or has already done.
Jon Benet Ramsay was found wrapped in her own blanket. Jaidyn Leske was found in his own sleeping bag. This has to be someone who knew little Cleo.
Cleo Smith search: Mother warns of attempted abduction at Blowholes campsite in 2014 https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/cl...-at-blowholes-campsite-in-2014-ng-b882054828zA male aged 40s with a beard driving a small red car was reported to Police in July 2014 for attempting to abduct a girl at the blow holes campsite.
'A social media post on a local Carnarvon chat page revealed a girl was approached by a “male aged in his late 40s with a beard” and who was driving a “small red car” at the popular coastal campground in July 2014.Warning of attempted abduction at Cleo site years ago
Alarm bells of an attempted abduction at the Blowholes campsite — where it is believed four-year-old Cleo Smith was snatched — were raised more than seven years ago.thewest.com.au
The girl’s mother said she reported the incident to police at the time.'
'“ATTENTION PLEASE BE AWARE...” the mother’s post started.
“The man asked her if she would get in the car and go for a drive.
“She said no and took off straight back to camp.
“Sorry I don’t have a better description as she was quite freaked out.
“The police have bn (sic) notified.
“Good time to remind our precious one (sic) of stranger danger.”'
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And thats my point, its ok to say, abduction, but then you have to say ok, how did it unfold in such a manner to leave no trace, no visuals of perp or vehicle, no physical evidence, no electronic evidence, nothing.While most of that is conceivable and likely partly true - at the risk of sounding flippant, if you presented this as part of a screenplay for a TV series or movie, you'd get laughed out of the room, such is the implausibility/unlikelihood of such a scenario - but here we are...
If he’s going to be peeping in caravans or is there for any other nefarious reason, he doesn’t want his phone going off in the middle of it. Nor does he want something that falls out of his pocket if he has to run. He likely wouldn’t carry it. He may carry it in the car but do the towers pick up on phones which are off? He may be out of credit and left it at home. He may have simply forgot it at home.So if he's not there for child abduction or theft why wouldn't he have a phone, or why would it be switched off and why would he park where no one noticed him?
I dont believe it was pre planned either, which leaves only someone already on site who see's her in the brief time before bed and either acts themselves or arranges someone else, both of which should have already found them in the net or its someone who rocks up to a remote campsite for some other reason and decides to park well away and either leave their phone at home or switch it off incase they commit a serious crime that would see a phone leave incriminating evidence on the towers.
Looks like bags contain 'soft' items. Maybe laundry items.A big shoutout to WAPOL - AFP - ADF - Telstra and all the locals and local business with a helping hand or helicopter for all their hard and smart work in this case so far. Including all those who have helped by doing absolutely nothing to help and quietly got out of the way of police investigations.
'But Mr Blanch said the search at the home of Ellie Smith and Jake Gliddon was a routine investigative practice. After seven hours, forensic officers left the home with two evidence bags. It remains unclear as to what was in them.WA’s top cop says Cleo’s parents not suspects
‘The parents have been nothing but helpful. We’ve worked very closely with them, they’ve let us into their home, they’ve let us into their cars, their phones, everything.’thewest.com.au
“We must do a thorough investigation,” Mr Blanch told 6PR. “The parents have been nothing but helpful. We’ve worked very closely with them, they’ve let us into their home, they’ve let us into their cars, their phones, everything.
“Our job is to eliminate everyone that was at that campsite, and that is a systematic and thorough approach in doing so in any investigation. And that really is the focus of the investigation at the moment.”
But Mr Blanch said the search at the home of Ellie Smith and Jake Gliddon was a routine investigative practice. After seven hours, forensic officers left the home with two evidence bags. It remains unclear as to what was in them.
“We must do a thorough investigation,” Mr Blanch told 6PR. “The parents have been nothing but helpful. We’ve worked very closely with them, they’ve let us into their home, they’ve let us into their cars, their phones, everything.
“Our job is to eliminate everyone that was at that campsite, and that is a systematic and thorough approach in doing so in any investigation. And that really is the focus of the investigation at the moment.
Cleo being potentially abducted is the “highest probability” of what happened according to Mr Blanch, but police remain open-minded.”'
'Mr Blanch said the whole of Australia has come forward offering their services to help. Including the AFP who are reportedly using secret technology to aid investigators, as well as Telstra who have offered their phone services and tracking abilities to WA Police.
“Australia has stepped up and come to ask how can we help, and as tragic as this incident is, it is comforting to know that Australians and Aussies and businesses step forward to help when they can,” Mr Blanch said.'
Acting Police Commissioner gives update on Cleo Smith - 6PR Breakfast with Gareth Parker - Omny.fm
Acting Police Commissioner Col Blanch says police are working on eliminating everyone as a suspect at the Blow Holes campsite the night four-year-old girl Cleo Smith disappeared.omny.fm
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It went weird for me when Mum said she tucked the sleeping bag in, and im not doubting her recollection.No matter how much thought l put into this case; no matter how much l read about it; no matter how many theories arise; there's one thing that flummoxes me and gets in the way of everything every time.
The sleeping bag. Why take it? It just doesn't make sense. Taking an item of comfort to a child has been historically linked to cases where the abductor has some feelings for the child, or needs a covering for the child because he can't face what he's about to do, or has already done.
Jon Benet Ramsay was found wrapped in her own blanket. Jaidyn Leske was found in his own sleeping bag. This has to be someone who knew little Cleo.